Flu Flim Flam's First Victim

Originally posted by Eos of the Eons


Isolated incident....hmmm, didn't think of it that way. The seniors just caught the flu, nobody that came in contact with them passed it on to them?
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If it makes you feel any better, I can easily see how it could be taken the way you suggested. Even during the offseason, a few people here and there always have the flu. If one person in a nursing home type setting gets it, it wouldn't be a big surprise to see it spread to other residents.

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The "official" position is that flu levels are still below seasonal baseline
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Where is this at?

This is a pdf file from BC Laboratory Centre for Disease Control

This one just updated, includes the incident you linked.

U.S. CDC map, just updated today
 
Thank you, I wasn't having much luck finding such specific information.

They say it is below for Europe. Anyways, arguing semantics is silly. The flu is here, the strain is out and about. The season is starting early this year, like last year. There are outbreaks in Europe, Canada, USA, etc. It's here. This is not "offseason". It's late October. They suggest get vaccinations early.

I'm hoping this means a mild year this year, with the vaccine shortage and all. It did kill seniors that weren't vaccinated though.

What is the prediction for the severity this year?
 
Originally posted by Eos of the Eons


This is not "offseason". It's late October.
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Well that's true, sort of. The baseline level is different for different times of year. (Last night I found a really cool graph of that, but I forget where... somewhere in one of those sites I think). It starts going up about week 38-39, so we're just heading up slope, but still not near where the real fun begins (usually).
I'm hoping this means a mild year this year
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Me too. Last year was perfect, actually. The peak hit here while the kids were out of school for the holidays, and that probably helped. One thing that makes it hard to avoid the flu is that it is contagious before the actual onset of symptoms. (I go into what I call "Howard Hughes mode" during the peak -- I try to avoid everybody). (If it looks like it may be bad this year, I'm thinking about giving up bathing for like a month. That should do the trick.)
What is the prediction for the severity this year?
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Media people may be able to get this or that health official to speculate on that in front of a microphone, but I think it's all pretty much guesswork until enough cases emerge to enable them to get a good look at which strain is getting traction.

How come the date is:
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Week ending October 9, 2004
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I have no explanation for why you are seeing that. I see it as Week ending October 16. I noticed that Montana was listed as 'sporadic', whereas last night it was 'no activity'.
 
I wonder what it will say for today's date once we get to see it. I don't even want to see my area's. Ack.

I did a "refresh" and it went to the 10-16. I don't know why I had to do this. Will be deleting some cookies darn it.
 
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