Re: Agreed
DialecticMaterialist said:
... one cannot simply throw out evidence without compelling counter-evidence.
Fortunately, we have more choices than simply
throw it out or
accept it. Evidence is not an all-or-nothing proposition. We can consider things, weigh them, even set them aside as undetermined.
Not all evidence is equally good. Some evidence, indeed, is extremely weak. This is something that needs to be taken into account in a weighing process.
For example: suppose someone claims that, 30 years ago, they saw a flying saucer. Their testimony is evidence. I have no complelling counter-evidence, and (30 years later) am unlikely to be able to produce any. Do I therefore have to accept their claim? No. The evidence is simply too weak. There is a reasonable possibility that they are lying or mistaken. Before accepting the claim I would want evidence strong enough to overcome that possibility.
Some people claim Hitler was a Christian. Evidence for this is statements he made for public consumption -- statements which pandered to the beliefs of the people who were supporting him. Is there a
reasonable possibility that these were deceptions? Yes.
To
throw out the claim simply because there is a
possibility it is false would clearly be silly. But to
accept the claim based simply on such weak evidence would be equally silly. If claims of the paranormal were to be judged on such a basis, the JREF would likely have had to pay out many millions of dollars.
Invoking possibility, or the fact that source has lied in the past on other issues does not offer compelling evidence (without further or more specific support) mainly because such an objection can literally be made on any claim one can imagine.
If someone claims they can do something by psychic means, then the fact they have been caught lying about such claims in the past
is a pretty compelling reason to be dubious about the claim. When someone has a past history of lying, that needs to be taken into account in weighing their testimony.
Yes, the possibility always exists that someone is lying. Is it a
reasonable possibility? If so, then we need
strong evidence to support the claim, not simply someone's unsupported word.
Hitler really had no reason to lie about his theism.
Yes, and children who claim to be able to bend spoons with their minds, or to have met Jesus, or to be reincarnations, must be telling the truth. They have no reason to lie...
Perhaps I am more cynical, but I can think of a lot of reasons for people to lie.
...Speer had even less reason to lie on the issue, as when he wrote his book the Reich had already fallen, written while Speer was serving a 20 year prison sentence, and claiming Hitler was a Christian could only at that point harm Speer's already bad image.
People in prison have often written books and given interviews. The idea that, once in prison, they have no more reason to lie and must surely be telling the truth, is interesting.
Now I do realize that religion would have made a good tool for the Nazis and of course Hitler would have realized this, however this fact does not in any disconfirm the idea that Hitler really did not mean what he said concerning the Almighty.
I like that wording:
"does not disconfirm".
You are quite right -- it doesn't. The possibility that Hitler was telling the truth is one we should keep in mind. Before we accept it as true, however, we need
good evidence.
For instance: we know that Hitler was raised a Catholic and that he never quit the church and was never ex-communicated. Do you know whether he continued to attend church regularly, took communion regularly, said confession regularly? If so, do you know what his fellow church-goers thought of him? The priests who took his confessions? These are the kinds of details I would look for in trying to determine if someone were sincere in their stated beliefs.
Truth can be determined, but in order to do so we need to look at the details. Jedi has provided arguments as to why Hitler
must have been an atheist, but backed these up with very few details. Others have provided arguments as to why Hitler
must have been a Christian, but again the details provided are much too weak to let us draw that conclusion.
I will repeat the questions I asked a moment ago: Do you know whether Hitler attended church regularly, took communion regularly, said confession regularly?
If you know, I would appreciate your sharing the details with me, as these will be very helpful to me in forming my own opinion.
If you do not know the answers to questions such as these, then why are you trying to declare the matter settled? Wouldn't it be wiser to leave the matter as a question mark in our minds, something we do not know the answer to yet, until we have enough reliable information to draw good conclusions?