OK, the other problem is that if I had said that I was going to TP a house and it was egged instead (which is not a valid argument), I would be a SUSPECT in the TPing pending further evidense. With no other information the government would be a SUSPECT, but of course there is other information.
A new metaphor: I say that I am going to egg my teacher's house, and indeed it is egged the next day. However, my classmate's belongings and fingerprints are found at the scene and they too not only did not like my teacher, but has also egged the house previously. LCers would have you believe that the most logical explanation would be that I had planted the evidense implicating the other students and that I should be sent to juvie.