No. Obama has nothing won. They are, for all intents and purposes - even. And how would you know how the superdelegates are going to vote? Did they communicate their intentions to you?
Obama, if he selects Hillary as his Veep. But probably Hillary, as a write-in candidate otherwise. Definitely will NOT stay home, and a protest vote in my view is is as valid as any other vote. Nothing is yet etched in stone, with me.
He's not qualified, in my opinion, to be President. Not yet ready. His popularity is based on cultlike factors. And he skillfully used hate and discontent to his own advantage - and within his own party - to gain any level of success. I don't like rewarding that. And he's currently polling behind McCain. Wait til the Republicans pull out the heavy guns, should he get the Dem nod.
At any rate that's how I feel today. I held my nose very tightly with one hand while voting for that idiot, Kerry, in 2004, with the other. So who knows.