Well, to my untrained eye, it does look like a match. There are several caveats one must consider though when looking at evidence like this:
1) Which markers are they using for the samples as references? I am not familiar enough with forensic biology to know if the particular markers have a high degree of variability or not.
2) Along those same lines, was a null control run (IE, DNA from the dried blood of someone other than Meredith)? That way, you could confirm whether or not some of those peaks would have formed simply by chance.
3) Was the experiment repeated? PCR can be extremely sensitive and sometimes even good labs get samples mixed up. Just a single microliter in the wrong tube, and you will get a false positive.
4) Is evidence of blood on the knife compelling enough to determine it as the murder weapon? How much blood was on the knife? How long can blood remain on the knife and still get DNA from it? (I haven't kept up with the case, so I am sure these questions have been answered)
5) Was Meredith's DNA found in the dust on the clasp of the bra? Since it was her bra, it is to be expected. How does that graph of the mixed DNA sample compare to the one from the reference above?
The data does look nice and clean. As I stated, I am not a forensic biologist. I am an immunologist, but I have done a fair amount of PCR from DNA samples.
These are all very good questions and I'll do my best to answer them as accurately as I can. First of all, it must be noted that the knife is one of the most controversial and contested elements in the case, or at least that relating to the 'blade' (all accept the findings from the handle).
It's a 23 cm long blade, a standard cheap kitchen knife, that is a match for the fatal wound to the victim's neck. It was collected by a forensic team from Raffaele Sollecito's apartment (not from the cottage that was the scene of the murder) by the forensic team. The team that collected the knife did so on a different day to examinations at the cottage.
For a better view of the charts, I would suggest you view
HERE
This is the documentation we have to hand, along with some of the testimony.
Was there a negative control? This we don't have the answer to. However, view my previous post in regard to negative controls.
The fact is, chance is virtually ruled out by the noise to peak ratio of the sample. As you can see, the sample is very clean. This is not what we'd expect to see on an item either contaminated, or containing the DNA of multiple persons (which may then for up by 'chance' to match the peaks of the victim) and this same fact counters the argument that it's a low rfu. There is a string argument that a sample shouldn't be judged (or limited to) by the rfu, but actually the noise to peak ratio.
The experiment was not repeated since there was not enough material to retest. But, the judge's report informs us there were 50 passes.
Blood - this matter is complex. The blood test proved negative. However, due to the small amount of material it being blood cannot be ruled out due to the fact the blood tests lack that sensitivity. In short, if the substance was blood, there was not enough to register a positive. However, it is not in doubt the DNA is from the victim and even the defence experts accept this fact. Their contention is instead limited to arguments of potential contamination. And, as we know, the body contains a whole range of biological material that a blade may come into contact with when entering a body. So, some of it may be blood and some may be other biological material from the victim. But, LCN testing does not provide the answers as to which cells are which and at that low level, blood tests are useless.
As for 'dust' on the clasp, there was no dust found on the clasp. The whole dusty argument is simply something thrown out by the defence simply on the basis that 'dust exists', not that the clasp was dusty. This has since been taken up by followers of the defence. Their logic is: Dust exists, therefore it was. That does not sound like a compelling argument to me.
The graph from the clasp has not been released. But, it was noisy. The complete profiles of two individuals were found (Raffaele and the victim Meredith Kercher), a low partial profile matching Amanda Knox and two partial trace profiles matching two unknown females. However, this is to be expected in a household where the victim shared washing and drying facilities with three other women.