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Corbyn's days (very) numbered?

Do you really think that there was no difference between Tony Blair and Ian Duncan Smith, or Michael Howard in the 1990's?

Exactly! I dunno if it is just hyperbole to say there is no difference, I hope so.
 
My problem with this approach is that you are in effect saying that we would have been better off with a tory government in 1997 rather than the Blair government. I fundamentally disagree, and think it is an extremely wrongheaded argument from anyone left of centre. And I really am no fan of Blair, but the New Labour government did a lot of good even if only by virtue of not being as bad as a tory government would have been. For evidence to prove this just look at the record of the tory government(s) since then.

That begs the question that John Smith would have lost the election, I think.
 
That begs the question that John Smith would have lost the election, I think.

By then Kinnock's removal of Militant had set in and Labour was already more rational and electable than under Foot.
 
That begs the question that John Smith would have lost the election, I think.


What I am saying is that there is a significant difference between Blair, and by extension other centre left moderates, compared to any given Tory government hypothetical or real.


John Smith does not enter into it. (And Blair did not beat John Smith in a leadership election... he beat Prescott and Beckett). But if Smith hadn't suddenly died, or someone else had won the Labour leadership election in 94 its possible that Labour might have won the election in 97 and have done a better job than Blair did. That does not change the fact that the Blair government was better (imo) than any possible Tory government in 97 would have been.
 
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What I am saying is that there is a significant difference between Blair, and by extension other centre left moderates, compared to any given Tory government hypothetical or real.


John Smith does not enter into it. (And Blair did not beat John Smith in a leadership election... he beat Prescott and Beckett). But if Smith hadn't suddenly died, or someone else had won the Labour leadership election in 94 its possible that Labour might have won the election in 97 and have done a better job than Blair did. That does not change the fact that the Blair government was better (imo) than any possible Tory government in 97 would have been.

Yes and John Smith was a more electable leader than Foot or Kinnock (who was someone who genuinely got bad press)
 
I really hope Labour can find a charismatic leader who is considerably more left wing than Blair. But I would settle for someone who is centrist as a far preferable alternative to another tory government. What use is ideological purity if you are never in power?

And my problem with this is that it's basically saying 'a left-wing government can never happen again so we'll just give in without a fight and try to get a slightly less bad option elected'

It also seems to suggest at its root that the people who do want a left wing government should put their weight behind policies they don't believe in just because they aren't as bad as the worst option. I don't think that's really going to get them energised or excited and it also, to me, just seems fundamentally dishonest.

And that, for me, is the fundamental problem that New Labour now face. Having spent two decades trying to put forward popular policies they've lost any foundation or principle on which to unite and energise the party. It's hard to say exactly what Labour stands for.

If the future is to split into a centre and left part so be it but pretending to be left while actually being centre or even centre-right can only last so long. I think that approach has had its day. It's time for them to decide what they actually want to be.

I think the UK does actually need a left of centre option though so if Labour are not prepared to provide it they should be honest about that. Equally if the party decides that IS what it wants to be then the MPs need to get behind that or find a new party.
 
Corbyn is not going to do this.

I agree but nor is any one of the other options so what then? And it doesn't follow that because Corbyn isn't a charismatic leader that Labour need to abandon the left.

These two things seem to get conflated in the argument.
 
What I am saying is that there is a significant difference between Blair, and by extension other centre left moderates, compared to any given Tory government hypothetical or real.


John Smith does not enter into it. (And Blair did not beat John Smith in a leadership election... he beat Prescott and Beckett). But if Smith hadn't suddenly died, or someone else had won the Labour leadership election in 94 its possible that Labour might have won the election in 97 and have done a better job than Blair did. That does not change the fact that the Blair government was better (imo) than any possible Tory government in 97 would have been.

Corbyn is centre left. Blair et al were centre right. Blair certainly wasn't "moderate"" He was a hyperviolent extremist.
 
Yes and John Smith was a more electable leader than Foot or Kinnock (who was someone who genuinely got bad press)
That would seem to be saying that Corbyn isn't getting genuinely bad press? That flies in the face of the available evidence.
 
That would seem to be saying that Corbyn isn't getting genuinely bad press? That flies in the face of the available evidence.

If anything Corbyn, because he looks quite amiable, has got a better press than he deserves.

A lot of Corbyn's bad press is either deserved, or self-inflicted.

If the Government is struggling with dealing with severe floods in Cumbria, only a really inept Opposition leader raises the idea that he'd like joint sovereignty over the Falklands.

People mentioning his support for the IRA before it renounced violence is justified.

People mentioning the personal bullying that has taken place under his watch is justified. Obviously Whips tend to put pressure to keep their MPs in line, but Corbyn has not denounced threats of violence in his name. Seamus Milne, told Jess Phillips that she shouldn't take it personally when a leftwinger said that she could have a blowtorch taken to her neck. Apparently this is a well known phrase meining that she has a brass neck, except nobody I know has ever come across it. My colleague's son, told him that during his work experience, lots of the labour staff mentioned bullying from Corbyn and McDonnell.

It's valid to mention how he has alienated many of his natural supporters. It;s valid to point out how he handicapped his own policies - which is incompetence, not malice.

It is valid to point out how his actions hamstrung the Labour Remain campaign, and it is valid to point out how he has campaigned far more effectively for something that he does want. It is valid to question whether he actually supported Remain at all - given his previous stances on Europe.

It's valid for people to mention his idea that he'd not necessarily respond to a fellow NATO member invoking Article 5. It's valid to point out his one-eyed view of Russian actions in neighbouring countries. It's valid to point out his support of Milosevic and of the Kosovo genocide.

It's valid to point out his connection to Press TV, which is a propaganda arm for a highly repressive regime. It's valid to point out the extreme antisemitism of many people with whom he has shared platforms.

It's valid to point out his liking for the Venezuelan regime, which is following on a similar trajectory to Zimbabwe.

I haven't been able to find the more embarassing articles he has written for the Morning Star, - I've seen it claimd that they have been removed from online, but there is enough to say that his views are not democratic, they are not "centre left", and they are viewed through a prism of West Bad, Russia Good.

His views were wrong in the 1980s and they haven't advanced.
 
I suspect that you are confusing fair criticism for bad press. The actual research shows he had been subject to bad press.
 
I suspect that you are confusing fair criticism for bad press. The actual research shows he had been subject to bad press.

Compared to Miliband or Kinnock, it is a lot more justified.
 
Bad press is never justified. Again you seen to be confusing criticism for bad press. They are very different things.
 
I am going to vote for Smith but not out of any great admiration of him, I just don't think he is a proven electoral disaster like Corbyn is. Ironically my politics are probably closer to Corbyn's than Smith's but I am a pragmatist.
Is Corbyn a proven electoral disaster?

I see no evidence of this at all, he seems to be quite good at getting the votes so far.

but whatever, mainstream media likes to create the narrative, just go with it eh'.
 
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Is Corbyn a proven electoral disaster?

No, but neither is he what Labour needs right now, a resounding electoral success.

In the 2016 local elections, Labour overall lost a few council seats and gained control of one council and lost control of another. If these results had come in the middle of a Labour term of government and following historically excellent results previously then they would have been a good set of results. Against a Conservative government implementing "austerity" then IMO they weren't so good.

I see no evidence of this at all, he seems to be quite good at getting the votes so far.

He's very good at attracting the votes of Labour Party members (both the old-timers and the newly recruited "Momentum" members), it is not yet established whether he can capture the hearts of "Middle England" in quite the same way.

but whatever, mainstream media likes to create the narrative, just go with it eh'.

His success at capturing votes has yet to be determined but by any reasonable standard, his performance as leader of the opposition has been pretty poor by any standards. Not only has he not held the government's feet to the fire, he's lost control of his own MPs.
 
Is Corbyn a proven electoral disaster?

I see no evidence of this at all, he seems to be quite good at getting the votes so far.

but whatever, mainstream media likes to create the narrative, just go with it eh'.

He lost seats in the council elections. Oppositions tend to gain unless they're due a drubbing in the the next general election.

He can't lead the parliamentary party, and has missed many open goals, whilst scoring some utterly unnecessary own goals.

He has left lots of skeletons to be raked up against him.

He keeps company with lots of unsavoury people. Being against Israeli settlements in the West Bank is one thing, repeatedly sharing a platform with someone who literally repeats the blood libel is another. His support for the IRA during its bombing campaign would not be ignored in the run-up to a general election.
 
I suppose that Major and Blair negotiating with the IRA and eventually incorporating their representatives into the Northern Ireland Government will be quietly forgotten though.
 
Both healthy fruits. :)

They all helped the IRA to achieve their goals. As a back-bench opposition MP, Corbyn's statements were called "support" by the right wing media. But the secret negotiations undertaken by Major and Blair weren't reported at the time (because they were secret), and when they were reported they were mostly characterized as "Heroic efforts towards a peace settlement".
 
The difference is rather obvious. One supported the anti-democratic terrorist campaign of an organisation also supportedby Gaddafi, whilst the other negotiated an end to that on condition that the IRA renounced violence.
 

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