Continuation The Electric Comet Theory Boogaloo (Part 2)

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Taking a quick look, I notice that it can also be reactions on dust grains, so it need not be the surface of the comet. However, I am a bit skeptical, because they don't really give clear estimates of the production rate, only that the H2O+ flux, could be enough, but then later say that it is too low and other mechanisms are necessary.

Too low is an understatement, if my maths is correct!
If I remember correctly, the O2 production rate was ~5% that of the H2O production rate, on average. Now, around perihelion, the H2O production rate was ~ 1028 molecules per second (~ 300 l/s). Therefore they need ~ 1027 water ions hitting the surface. Not sure how that is happening with a diamagnetic cavity in place, but anyhow; they quote the figures of 3 x 109-3 x 1011 for the measured number of accelerated water ions at 2.0 AU. So even if I guess at ~30 l/s of H2O at 2 AU, that is still ~ 1027 mol/s. They need 5% of that. Their numbers are way out. Or my maths is way out.
 
Too low is an understatement, if my maths is correct!
If I remember correctly, the O2 production rate was ~5% that of the H2O production rate, on average. Now, around perihelion, the H2O production rate was ~ 1028 molecules per second (~ 300 l/s). Therefore they need ~ 1027 water ions hitting the surface. Not sure how that is happening with a diamagnetic cavity in place, but anyhow; they quote the figures of 3 x 109-3 x 1011 for the measured number of accelerated water ions at 2.0 AU. So even if I guess at ~30 l/s of H2O at 2 AU, that is still ~ 1027 mol/s. They need 5% of that. Their numbers are way out. Or my maths is way out.

I think the numbers are correct that you have put up above.
Hitting the surface will be difficult, especially around perihelion.
The mission scientist is aware of this paper and has asked RPC, ROSINA and some other instruments (I did not get the email personally, but it was mentioned at the RPC team meeting) to look into this.
We from RPC were rather skeptical.
 
I think the numbers are correct that you have put up above.
Hitting the surface will be difficult, especially around perihelion.
The mission scientist is aware of this paper and has asked RPC, ROSINA and some other instruments (I did not get the email personally, but it was mentioned at the RPC team meeting) to look into this.
We from RPC were rather skeptical.

Ahh, good to know. I thought I was going crazy when I read their paper, and looked at the mechanism and the numbers!
Also, I'm not too sure of the Rosetta data within the cavity, as the periods inside were relatively short, but Giotto was well within the cavity, and one would have thought that they would have mentioned such an unexpected detection of incoming ions! From memory, they measured overwhelmingly neutral species, heading outward.
One wonders (unless we're missing something) how this got past peer review in such a prestigious journal.
 
The latest issue of Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A is a special issue on "Cometary Science after Rosetta."
http://rsta.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/375/2097

Sadly, and ironically, the last article in that issue is: "Comets: looking ahead", by Mike A'Hearn. Anybody who has followed cometary science over more decades than I care to recall, will know of Mike A'Hearn. Sadly, he died yesterday, aged 76. I personally have read a lot of his papers over the years. Will be greatly missed, I'm sure.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_A'Hearn
 
OK; So somebody tweeted (twattered?) this:
"Okay co-authors, get ready for my @Rosetta_RPC tail excursion paper, 11 pages of deliciousness. #GoPlasma"

Now, the bugger that tweetered that needs to come to the party and give us the first paper on the tail excursion. Methinks ;)
 
OK; So somebody tweeted (twattered?) this:
"Okay co-authors, get ready for my @Rosetta_RPC tail excursion paper, 11 pages of deliciousness. #GoPlasma"

Now, the bugger that tweetered that needs to come to the party and give us the first paper on the tail excursion. Methinks ;)

Oh he is an ass, I tells ya! Don't expect anything.
Waiting for my co-author comments, and for the accompanying paper that will be written in Sweden, so we can submit them together.

Basically, interesting structure of the field behind a very low activity comet, where we don't know exactly what should be expected.

Stay tuned, available at your local magazine store after the summer break.
 
Very much looking forward to the paper Tusenfem!

Everything,s seems to have gone a bit quite :confused:
 
Everything,s seems to have gone a bit quite :confused:
What is confusing you, Sol88?
The fact that the Rosetta mission ended on 30 September 2016 so the flood of analysis of its data has diminished?
That is what happens in the real world of science. When there is new data on a subject there are a lot of papers published on that subject. There will certainly be more papers coming on the enormous amount of data that Rosetta collected during its mission and even during its decent to the comet: Rosetta’s last words: science descending to a comet.

ADS has Rosetta's comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko sheds its dusty mantle to reveal its icy nature (December 2016) as the latest science paper with Rosetta in the abstract. There are 6 papers this year about 67P.

Of interest to people who want to learn: Seasonal exposure of carbon dioxide ice on the nucleus of comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko
Carbon dioxide (CO2) is one of the most abundant species in cometary nuclei, but because of its high volatility, CO2 ice is generally only found beneath the surface. We report the infrared spectroscopic identification of a CO2 ice-rich surface area located in the Anhur region of comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko. Spectral modeling shows that about 0.1% of the 80- by 60-meter area is CO2 ice. This exposed ice was observed a short time after the comet exited local winter; following the increased illumination, the CO2 ice completely disappeared over about 3 weeks. We estimate the mass of the sublimated CO2 ice and the depth of the eroded surface layer. We interpret the presence of CO2 ice as the result of the extreme seasonal changes induced by the rotation and orbit of the comet.

The fact that comets are not rocks?
That is because you are unthinkingly following deluded Thunderbolts dogma and denying the real world of comets.
The parroting of the Thunderbolt cult ignorance, delusions and lies in this thread alone (continuation of a thread that is now 7 years of delusions from Sol88 and Haig!).
10th April 2015: The ignorance, delusions and lies in the Thunderbolts web site, videos, etc.
 
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What is confusing you, Sol88?
The fact that the Rosetta mission ended on 30 September 2016 so the flood of analysis of its data has diminished?
That is what happens in the real world of science. When there is new data on a subject there are a lot of papers published on that subject. There will certainly be more papers coming on the enormous amount of data that Rosetta collected during its mission and even during its decent to the comet: Rosetta’s last words: science descending to a comet.

ADS has Rosetta's comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko sheds its dusty mantle to reveal its icy nature (December 2016) as the latest science paper with Rosetta in the abstract. There are 6 papers this year about 67P.

Of interest to people who want to learn: Seasonal exposure of carbon dioxide ice on the nucleus of comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko


The fact that comets are not rocks?
That is because you are unthinkingly following deluded Thunderbolts dogma and denying the real world of comets.
The parroting of the Thunderbolt cult ignorance, delusions and lies in this thread alone (continuation of a thread that is now 7 years of delusions from Sol88 and Haig!).
10th April 2015: The ignorance, delusions and lies in the Thunderbolts web site, videos, etc.

Yawn...

(c) What are comets made of?

At the simplest level, a very basic question is whether comets are mostly ice or mostly rock/dirt/refractory material. Whipple’s [2] model of the dirty snowball, the first quantitative model, envisioned cometary nuclei as mostly ice, although our understanding has been evolving more toward mostly rock, particularly for 67P/C-G for which refractory/volatile ratios as high as 6 have been cited [3,4].
Comets: looking ahead
Michael F. A’Hearn
Department of Astronomy, University of Maryland, College Park,
MD 20742-2421, USA
 
and just for a bit of left field

But the energy distribution they noted with Pluto’s x-rays were not consistent with this explanation. Another possibility that the team offered is that they could be due to some process (or processes) that focus the solar wind near Pluto, which would enhance the effect of its modest atmosphere. As they indicate in their conclusions:
Did you Know There are X-rays Coming from Pluto? That’s Strange, What’s Causing it?

What process (or processes) could focus the solar wind I wonder?

More or less the same on phenomena happing at comets!

X-Ray and Extreme Ultraviolet Emission from Comets
 
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@Sol,
What the hell are you doing? Do you not remember Tim Thompson actually schooling you on this years ago? Please remind me; what did the uneducated idiots Thornhill & Talbott predict for this encounter? Would you like me to paste it here, in all its glory? Perhaps you'd like me to go through all the people who posted stuff that said; "You haven't got a clue what you're talking about." And turned out to be right. Eh?
Has there ever been a more unsuccessful 'hypothesis' than the 'Electric Comet:? If there has, then please remind me of what it was! It was crap from the get go, yes? Due to the idiot Thornhill failing to understand some fairly basic science. Yes?
It was already a busted flush before the idiot started. Eh? Unfortunately, some people were too damn stupid to figure that out.
So, come on Sol, remind us how solar wind H+ combines with non-existent O- to form water!!!!! According to the eejit Thornhill. Yes?
Remind us all; what is it that this nutjob is actually qualified in? Not science, is it? So why do you believe anything the cretin says? Beats me.
 
OK; Let me post something from way back, because it bears repeating:

http://www.forum.cosmoquest.org/showthread.php?28596-Electric-Universe-Model&p=501658#post501658

VanderL "The EU model is testable and does make predictions, one of them is the way cometary jets are produced."

Tim Thompson:
My central theme is that the EU fails the test of predictions on many levels. The spots on the comets are details that are not important; as predictions, they are quite useless (especially when they are predicted only after they are seen). What is important is fundamentals. Physics is not a random collection of guesses, but a vast cohesive collection of inter-dependent theories. At the core are the well established disciplines, like classical mechanics, thermodynamics, electromagnetism & so on. Then on the frontier there are the more speculative areas; cosmology, string theory & the like. My primary concern is to always look for the fundamentals, the things that are more important, more meaningful than anything else. That's where hypotheses live & die, and that's where I apply my own doctrine of the intolerable conflict.

It is the intolerable conflict between observation & theory (or hypothesis) which invariably leads to discovery or failure. Neutrinos were discovered because of the intolerable conflict between the fundamental principle of conservation of energy on the one hand, and observations that appeared to violate that fundamental principle on the other. The successful solution was to assume that the fundamental principle was inviolate, and to look for the missing energy. Likewise, the discovery of neutrino oscillations came out of the appearance of an intolerable conflict between astrophysical models of a star, and the measured neutrino fluxes, both of which could not be simultaneously true. Eventually, observstion bolstered the astrophysical models, and pointed towards the neutrinos as the source of the problem. As a result of resolving this conflict, we made major new discoveries about the physics of neutrinos.

So, to me, the spots on the comets, in the EU vs physics debate, are meaningless distractions that are not worth the effort. They have nothing to do with fundamentals, and are in no way involved in intolerable conflict. But other parts of the EU hypothesis are, and those are what I want to talk about. So, I try to force the issue that way in order to understand what the putatuve solution to the intolerable conflicts are. After all, if the EU hypothesis fails the test of fundamentals, then the relation between it and the spots is moot.

So, there is a fundamental & intolerable conflict between the claim that the sun has a strong electric field, and the observation that the sun has a charge neutral solar wind. Either there is a huge misunderstanding in physics, as to how electric fields affect charged particles, or the hypothesis of a solar electric field is wrong. Both can't be simultaneously true, no matter how you slice it.

But how wrong can electromagnetism be? how far off can physics be, in its treatment of the relation between electric fields & charged particles? Not far, I think because this relationship has long since found its way into precise engineering applications that are very sensitive to such a large error. The reams of spacecraft data, and our knowledge of physics & engineering simply don't make enough room for the hypothesis of a solar electric field, such as required by the EU comet model, to survive. So I take the position that there is no such electric field. Discussing its affect on comets therefore seems a great waste of time. I don't see how anyone can ignore all that physics.

According to the EU hypothesis, the comet charges up where there's no charge, and then discharges where there is lots of charge. Not only is such a thing in intolerable conflict with physics, it's in intolerable conflict with plain old common sense.

The list goes on, but you get the point. If I seem to be all worked up, it's because I have been in the middle of this EU business for at least 10 years. I don't like the people who put up the webpages (I mean I really don't like them),. and they don't like me either. But we scream at each other a lot less nowadays, primarily because they have learned to ignore me slightly more effectively than I have learned to ignore them.

In any case, my own opinion of the EU business is obvious; I don't think it rises to the intellectual level required to qualify for the lofty status of "bunk". But I'll leave that at that.

Now, about those comets. There is indeed a lot that is not known about comets, especially how the jets get going. There are two real hypohteses in the works. The old standard has the jets outgassing from the dirty snowball kind of comet. But it has been known for a long time that the dirty snowball model, which comes down from the 50's, has a lot of problems. In 1985 the Giotto spacecraft snapped the first close up pictures of a comet nucleus, and revealed a darker surface than anyone expected. So maybe the comets have a harder surface, and the jets are actually more like geyers, breaking through the hard surface from pressurized volumes underneath (the "new" hypothesis). I suspect the real answer will lie in the discovery that there is more than one kind of comet, with more than one kind of jet. In any case, the Rosetta mission is on the way, and will be the first comet lander mission (we hope). But landing on a comet is a real trick, if you can do it.

VanderL: "Why are you asking for calculations when those calculations can only be done with too little data."


Too litle data? Rather say too much data. Spacecraft have been buzzing the solar system for nigh onto 50 years now, and they have lots of data on particles & fields (which are the things most measured). But it's not the data that counts anyway. Just look at the normal progession of any scientific hypothesis.

All hypotheses start out very general, packed with prose, flowery descriptions, and not much information. But that's just the start. The prose used to describe the hypothesis sets the limiting conditions for the hypothesis. So, consider the EU model. The electric field of a charged sphere is definitely lower division stuff, and the EU model claims that the nearly spherical sun has an electric field due to its electric charge. Any beginning university physics student, even some of the better high school physics students, can do that calculation. Make a sphere, give it a charge, calculate a field. It's a piece of cake. but after 10 years the stalwart champions of the EU haven't even been able to do what students do on test problems. This is a real confidence builder. Besides, the EU hypothesis claims that the electric field of the sun is able to cause various phenomena in the solar system. It's strictly back-of-the-envelope stuff to bash out some limitng numbers on charge & field required to do what needs to be done. But that too is not forthcoming. I would say they don't do any of that because they know, as well as I do, that the whole EU thing is just a big sham. Of course, I could be biased, but I would love to hear why such talented & insightful physicists have been unable to come up with a one-liner calculation of a little field yet.

VanderL: "How do you measure the field strength when the probe becomes part of the "circuit" itself?"

Ah, now that's a good question. All measuring devices interfere to some extent with whatever they are measuring. You can't measure water flow, for instance, without sticking something in the water, which of course affects the flow (pictures won't do, they only see the surface, and are hard to do inside a hot pipe). The trick is to be as small as you can be. Spacecraft measure electric & magnetic fields by measuring induced currents, an unavoidable side effect of any field. I am not that familiar with the instruments myself, but the technology is now quite mature, and measuring the fields is an almost routine engineering task (the instruments webpage for the Ulysses spacecraft might provide some insight). Since the spacecraft are quite small compared to the fields they measure, it should not be an issue.

OK, I'm done for now. It's time for the weekend.
__________________________________________________________________

Well said Tim! And that was before we knew that the 'bright spots' on comets were frigging ice! As detected by Rosetta. Now, has anybody, with any sort of scientific clue, got anything else to say? No, thought not.
 
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Sol88: An implied lie about a "mostly rock" quote meaning that comets are rocks

Comets: looking ahead
Michael F. A’Hearn
Department of Astronomy, University of Maryland, College Park,
MD 20742-2421, USA
6 July 2017 Sol88: An implied lie about a "mostly rock" quote meaning that comets are rocks.
This is a comet. It is a lie to cherry-pick an article with a phrase that you went looking for and does not state your delusion that comets are rocks.
 
Sol88: A repeat of the 8 year old delusion of x-rays from electrical discharges

and just for a bit of left field ...
In center field we have 8 year old delusions about comets from Sol88 :eye-poppi!

6 July 2017 Sol88: Looks like a repeat of the 8 year old delusion of x-rays from electrical discharges from comets made of rocks blasted from the planets in recent times.
 
For the information of others (not Sol88!): That is a post by Tim Thompson from 2004-Aug-28 :jaw-dropp!

The bright spots are specifically those on Wild 2, e.g. Stardust encounters comet 81P/Wild 2
The images of the nucleus surface are stunningly dramatic and show that Wild 2 is unlike any other solar system object previously studied. The visible landforms are distinctly better resolved than those of comets Halley and Borrelly and include craters, excavation zones, flat-floor depressions, surface crusts, landslides, lineaments, terraces, spires/pinnacles (100 m in height), steep cliffs, overhangs, and small bright patches which are potential vents. The nucleus does not have regolith normally associated with asteroids. There is evidence of the presence of both ancient and newly modified surfaces. A more detailed discussion of these surface structures and their implications with supporting hypervelocity laboratory simulations are described separately.
 
6 July 2017 Sol88: An implied lie about a "mostly rock" quote meaning that comets are rocks.
This is a comet. It is a lie to cherry-pick an article with a phrase that you went looking for and does not state your delusion that comets are rocks.

Are you saying Michael F. A’Hearn is lying?

He said, and I quote "(c) What are comets made of?

At the simplest level, a very basic question is whether comets are mostly ice or mostly rock/dirt/refractory material. Whipple’s [2] model of the dirty snowball, the first quantitative model, envisioned cometary nuclei as mostly ice, although our understanding has been evolving more toward mostly rock, particularly for 67P/C-G for which refractory/volatile ratios as high as 6 have been cited [3,4]."

and therefore away from your, Reality Check, beloved iceysnowball with dust!

COMETS ARE MOSTLY ROCK!!!

Not mostly hidden subsurface ice. ;)

Comets are rock...as the EU has been saying all along... knee slap!
 
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Ahh, me 'ol mate Tim Thompson...

But how wrong can electromagnetism be? how far off can physics be, in its treatment of the relation between electric fields & charged particles? Not far, I think because this relationship has long since found its way into precise engineering applications that are very sensitive to such a large error. The reams of spacecraft data, and our knowledge of physics & engineering simply don't make enough room for the hypothesis of a solar electric field, such as required by the EU comet model, to survive. So I take the position that there is no such electric field. Discussing its affect on comets therefore seems a great waste of time. I don't see how anyone can ignore all that physics.

No use arguing with some that has the position the Sun as no such electric field!!!!

So please JD116, tell me more about the acceleration of the solar wind from the Sun?

and of course good 'ol Tim states that all in electromagnetism is known and then something like this makes 'ol Tim's sphincter pucker!

But the energy distribution they noted with Pluto’s x-rays were not consistent with this explanation. Another possibility that the team offered is that they could be due to some process (or processes) that focus the solar wind near Pluto, which would enhance the effect of its modest atmosphere. As they indicate in their conclusions:

So maybe Tim would like to weigh in on exactly what in the realm of classic EM theory would focus charged particles!

Jonesdavid116, Reality Check, care to have a crack? or are you going to run and hide behind mums skirt till the scary man goes away?


If driven by charge exchange between [solar wind] minor ions and neutral gas species (mainly CH4) escaping from Pluto, then density enhancement and adjustment of the [solar wind] minor ion relative abundance in the interaction region near Pluto is required versus naïve models.”

versus naïve models, re Tim Thompson
 
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Reality Check, direct question yes or no answer

Is your position on the Solar electric field the same as JD116 and Tim Thompson?

Tim Thompson
So I take the position that there is no such electric field
 
Sol88: A lie that Michael F. A’Hearn stated that comets are rocks

Are you saying Michael F. A’Hearn is lying?...
Comets are rock
I am saying you wrote an implied lie and have just made it clear that it was a lie.
6 July 2017 Sol88: Makes an implied lie into an explicit lie. Michael F. A’Hearn never stated that comets are rocks as in your delusion.

You cherry-picked one quote where standard mainstream science on comets was stated. The evidence in the 1950's was that comets were mostly ices with a smaller component of dust, etc. ("rock") The latest evidence is that the dust etc. component is larger for the comets we have a close look at than was thought.
 
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