This is not clear enough for me to respond to. I'm sure he's just comparing apples to oranges, but you need to tell me specifically what your confusion is. Unless, that is, you're not really interested.
Again, I invite you to read the NIST reports yourself. There's no such discrepancy.
My question is why do the physical tests show sagging of a few inches (unless there is something I don't know about the picture that had NIST listed as the source), but the computer model shows sagging over 40 inches (Ryan's claim about NIST)?