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Cont: Brexit: Now What? The Perfect 10.

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The Bank of England says you are heading for the biggest recession since 1706.

That is not a typo.

Think about that.

To be fair, the government's bungling of the response to Coronavirus is more responsible for that than Brexit - at least for the first year or so of the recession. :(
 
To be fair, the government's bungling of the response to Coronavirus is more responsible for that than Brexit - at least for the first year or so of the recession. :(
In 1706 the UK, oops sorry England, was at war with France.

Which suggests BuBu's next move....
 
That makes more sense, I thought I'd read that we'd past the 'more in total' line some time ago.

It depends on how one does the calculation, and where one decides to start the clock running but if it's "lost GDP growth" then you're right that we've likely already passed it, but the economy isn't 10% smaller than it otherwise would have been - which is what would be required for it to be an annual figure.
 
And yet the farmers voted en-masse for Brexit. I'm finding it difficult to drum up too much sympathy. :rolleyes:

OTOH I am very concerned about food standards but I suppose hundreds of thousands of extra cases of food poisoning and a thousand extra deaths a year is a price worth paying for the blue passports it turns out we could have had all along if we were that bothered about it :mad:

I suppose the large farming companies will be bought off with generous subsidies and the small farms will just go out of business making second homes so much cheaper for the urban wealth creators

To be fair to the NFU, it supported Remain and encouraged its members to vote to stay. Not very successfully, I suppose! Minette (and Meurig Raymond before her) has consistently urged the Government to do a decent deal with the EU, and always warns of the consequences of not getting a deal at all.

But hard to disagree with what Captain Swoop says on the subject.
 
It depends on how one does the calculation, and where one decides to start the clock running but if it's "lost GDP growth" then you're right that we've likely already passed it, but the economy isn't 10% smaller than it otherwise would have been - which is what would be required for it to be an annual figure.

But lost GDP growth, bureaucratic expansion, money spaffed on invisible borders, expensive (if uninformative) advertising schemes......?
 
The Bank of England says you are heading for the biggest recession since 1706.

That is not a typo.

Think about that.

I’ll have to look for that report, because that’s just before the South Sea Bubble, covers the Long and Great Depressions, and obviously both world wars, so you really hope it’s hyperbole.

Depressing.
 
But lost GDP growth, bureaucratic expansion, money spaffed on invisible borders, expensive (if uninformative) advertising schemes......?

Compared to the lost GDP growth, the rest are just rounding errors. The bureaucratic expansion and invisible borders have cost a few million and the advertising is tens, maybe a couple of hundred million.

It's all depressing and pathetic but 3% off GDP is £65 billion - every single year. :mad:
 
I’ll have to look for that report, because that’s just before the South Sea Bubble, covers the Long and Great Depressions, and obviously both world wars, so you really hope it’s hyperbole.

Depressing.

It's not :(

The UK economy is forecast to shrink by 30% or more in half a year, so close to 15% for the whole year.

By comparison:

South Sea Bubble - <10% contraction
WW1 - 7% contraction
WW2 - < 5%

https://www.ft.com/content/734e604b-93d9-43a6-a6ec-19e8b22dad3c
 
It depends on how one does the calculation, and where one decides to start the clock running but if it's "lost GDP growth" then you're right that we've likely already passed it, but the economy isn't 10% smaller than it otherwise would have been - which is what would be required for it to be an annual figure.

True. It's not there yet but it's coming close like a driving train.

Doubly so if you count some of Covid-19 devastation in Britain as due to Brexit. This is impossible to separate with any degree of fairness but it's safe to say that without having to deal with Brexit, Britain would likely be better prepared for the epidemic and better able to take advantage of the common European policies.

If for no other reason then because someone more competent than BJ would likely be PM. This is not difficult to imagine, most farm animals would do better.

McHrozni
 
Just when you thought the current crop of Conservatives was unprecedentedly awful, Norman Tebbit emerges from the crypt to call Hitler a lefty.

And I hammered that stake in really hard.
I’ll never shop at Whitby B&Q again
 
More tech wizardry from our most excellent government -

"The UK government’s plan to invest hundreds of millions of pounds in a satellite broadband company has been described as “nonsensical” by experts, who say the company doesn’t even make the right type of satellite the country needs after Brexit.

The investment in OneWeb, first reported on Thursday night, is intended to mitigate against the UK losing access to the EU’s Galileo satellite navigation system.

But OneWeb – in which the UK will own a 20% stake following the investment – currently operates a completely different type of satellite network from that typically used to run such navigation systems."
 
Yes.

But this is the same british government that invested in a shipping company that not only had no ships, but no port rights for the imaginary ships.

And went, for PPE, directly to a company that doesn't produce PPE ( and had an asset sheet that would just about cover a small car)
 
THE UK Government has said that it will not align with EU chemicals policy, instead bringing in its own controversial system.

The Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) has confirmed that the UK will implement its own version of the EU chemical regulatory system, REACH, at the end of the Brexit transition period on 31 December. The UK is still operating under EU REACH until then, but has no say on the regulations. Despite calls from industry to align with the European regulatory system, the UK Government will implement a UK REACH run by Defra and the Health and Safety Executive (HSE), replacing the European Chemicals Agency (ECHA). The plans for UK REACH have previously been called “vague and insufficient”.

Government may be planning to move to a weaker US-style system which would allow chemicals banned by the EU to be used in the UK.

https://www.thechemicalengineer.com/news/uk-confirms-it-will-not-align-with-eu-chemicals-agency/
 
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