Originally Posted by Cuddles View Post
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Grid stability.
http://www.smartplanet.com/blog/the-energy-futurist/why-baseload-power-is-doomed/
Key word is "ultimately" and "might"
You are over simplifying the problem by not taking into account grid issues and the need for a stable and controllable supply of electricity.
Grid managers have to be able to match power to demand.Short sentence...very large implications.
Storage continues to be an issue, and it never ceases to amaze me that people continue ignore this issue.
The April 2011 issue of ENDs has an article about storage in the UK. Bascially, it says there is no viable method here.
By 2020, the UK will need up to 8GW of reserve if it is to meet its renewable targets. We currently have about 3.5GW, and 15% of that is pumped storage (the rest in gas etc.)
A 2009 study makes the claim that by 2020, there will be wholesale prices of electricity will be zero in the UK (as Denmark has seen), and spikes of £1300/MWh due to sudden shortages each spike occuring several times per year. But by 2030, there will actually be negative prices and short spikes of up to £8000/MWh!
Despite this, it is not felt that storage will play a part owing to the high cost, and capabilities. The technology just isn't there yet, and we cannot assume that a technology will be viable in X number of years.
Even if it was, the only system really up to task is pumped hydro. But with huge capital costs, it is difficult to justify, when additional interconnections are being installed to Ireland, Norway, and France. So we will be importing energy from countries with wind, nuclear and hydro - Bit of an issue on dark windless nights mid-winter.
And with grid connections costing say £15000, then a storage system isn't going to get a look in on most domestic properties. The alternative to is constrain output of new wind farms, which is what National Grid has done for a few (and paid them to do so). The only place they might have a market is on a local level, where small scale renewables require local grid balancing, but this will not solve the problems of time (see below), and cost. It will only mean that in those places, it will be worth the hit.
The other argument against storage is the limited time it can run for. On a national scale, you want that power there 24/7, and the longer the storage can run for, the higher the cost. I read that desert based solar thermal plants with molten salt storage is only viable for up to 18hrs, before the costs really start to escalate.
The following numbers, I have taken from the April 2011 ENDs article regarding the different storage technologies:
Hydrogen
There have been many false dawns, such as hydrogen. Wind Hydrogen was meant to build a 5MW scheme alongside a 48MW wind farm, but was shelved, and the company concentrated on oil exploration.
In 2000, plans for a 15MW/120MWh battery at RWE's plant in Bedfordshire ran into technical difficulties and was shelved indefinitely.
Off-peak electricity is used to electrolyse water to produce hydrogen. This can be converted back to electricity using a fuel cell.
Power rating in theory: 5kw-5MW
Capacity: 1-10MW
Capital cost: £1000-2000/kW
Electricity cost: £5000-26000/kWh
Efficiency: 40%
Status: Small scale plants
There are systems in place though, but most are small scale, such as:
Cryogenic energy storage
A CHP plant in Slough has a 300kw/4MWh system, which uses off-peak electricity to liquefy nitrogen. When demand increases, it gets turned into high pressure gas to drive a turbine.
Power rating in theory: 500kw-10MW
Capacity: 10-100MW
Capital cost: £500-700/kW
Electricity cost: £500-700/kWh
Efficiency: 40-50%
Status: Demonstration units
Flow batteries
The electrolyte is stored in tanks rather than cells, so the capacity of the battery can be easily increased, and do not lose efficiency after repeated discharges.
Power rating in theory: 5kw-4MW
Capacity: 1-10MWh
Capital cost: £1000+/kW
Electricity cost: £470-1125/kWh
Efficiency: 80-90%
Status: Immature
Lithium Batteries
Expensive, and lithium supplies are an issue long term. Although there are a lot of research going on with these.
Power rating in theory: 0-100kW
Capacity: 1-10MWh
Capital cost: £1000-3000/kW
Electricity cost: £130-220/kWh
Efficiency: 99%
Status: Mature
Sodium-sulphur
Power rating in theory: 50kw-34MW
Capacity: 1-34MWh
Capital cost: £1000-2000/kW
Electricity cost: £150/kWh
Efficiency: 80-90%
Status: MW scale example
Compressed air
There are a few plants in Europe, but only a few 100MWs
Power rating in theory: 5MW-300MW
Capacity: 100-1000MWh
Capital cost: £500-600/kW
Electricity cost: £350/kWh
Efficiency: 50-79%
Status: Mature
Pumped Hydro
The last and biggest (Dinorwig - 1.8GW) opened in 1984. No one has felt the need for one since in the UK. Although Norway has 20GW of potential capacity, and with them exporting to the UK and the rest of Europe, they look set to profit from it even more.
Power rating in theory: 100MW-5GW
Capacity: 1000+MWh
Capital cost: £500-2000/kW
Electricity cost: £310-380/kWh
Efficiency: 70-79%
Status: Mature
Heat Storage
Off peak electricity stored in gravel tanks. A heat pump uses mechanical energy to heat up the gravel in on tank, and with compressed gas, cool the other as the gas expands. When electricity demand is there, the difference is used to run a heat pump in reverse creating mechanical energy and driving a turbine. Europe has some similar plants to heat housing during winter.
Power rating in theory: 2MW
Capacity: 16MWh
Capital cost: £354/kW
Electricity cost: £78/kWh
Efficiency: 72-80%
Status: Pilots due in 2014
Flywheel
Up to 16000 revolutions per minute, a flywheel is installed in New York State that can deliver 20MW in 15 minutes. It is just a trial.
http://www.endsreport.com/