Trigood said:
Actually, the great majority of "experts" that day did not predict the collapses of the WTC towers.
If they had, do you think that 343 firefighters and however-many policemen would have died in the towers, Russell?
Do your thought processes have any connection to reality, Russell?
To be fair, it
was known in advance that the towers were going to collapse, hence why the Mayor and others were evacuated from WTC7. However it was hardly a "prediction". The NYPD Aviation Unit saw visible evidence of imminent collapse, and reported it. Simple as that.
Likewise, the Fire Chiefs who ordered an immediate evacuation did so based on actually visible evidence of imminent collapse, not from a "prediction".
There were indeed some structural engineers who say as soon as they saw the fires they knew the buildings were going to collapse - and even tried to get hold of the FDNY to warn them. I suppose technically that's a prediction, though again, really they're responding to actual visible evidence.
-Gumboot
Gumboot,
You must have read the dreck of Pickering to which I was responding? i.e.:
The towers were predicted to collapse too and announced by Gullianai before hand.
There were lots of predictions made that day! Oddly most of them came true.
You will note that I did not say "nobody knew they were going to collapse," so why are you responding as if I did? Note that I said, "The great majority of 'experts' that
day did not
predict the collapses." What you've said hardly contradicts that. Of
course, I am aware that
some knew in advance (although your passive construction is hardly all that illuminating: "it was known in advance" -- by whom? how soon?). In fact, you go on to corroborate what I'm saying by talking about how little "prediction" was taking place that day.
Pickering was the one who used the word "prediction" so loosely and irresponsibly. In spite of that, I am aware of isolated pockets of knowledge of imminent collapse among first responders which, however, did not make it to the radios of most of the firemen, especially in the north tower.
Pickering was implying that everyone in charge, especially Giuliani, knew they would collapse, which is far from the truth. Perhaps at a certain point Giuliani knew. Certainly after the south tower collapsed, he was "in the loop" with the police and they knew the second one was probably going to collapse as well. But Russell was using that one specific instance to imply that the general prediction among all first responders was that there was going to be a collapse.
I was merely emphasizing the fact that it's ridiculous to assume that the great majority of the first responders that day expected the towers to collapse. Otherwise, many more would have gotten out in time to survive.
It's true that certain very knowledgable experts
thought they might collapse after seeing the planes hit, but most had no way of conveying that knowledge to anyone on the ground (I am thinking specifically of Mark Loizeaux of CDI, who wasn't able to get thru on the phones to New York, as you imply).
Also, as the tragedy unfolded, as described in
102 Minutes, the helicopter cops could clearly see that the collapse was imminent (they even warned ahead of time of the first collapse). They got word to their folks and got most of the policemen out, esp. of the second collapse zone. I assume you know that one of the great tragedies of the day was that the police/firefighter communications interoperability was not there to get the warning in to the firefighters, hence 100+ firefighters died unnecessarily in the north tower. They had tried to gain interoperability thru buying new radios (I think they were Motorolas), but as
102 Minutes so poignantly explains, the radios that interoperated were rejected for various reasons and were sitting unused back in station houses or in trunks of cars. In addition, the repeaters in the WTC towers either (1) did not work, or (2) were abandoned because the FDNY couldn't get them to work. It was all so tragic and unnecessary. The terrible thing is, I have no idea if these problems have been fixed or not.
Gumboot, although I agree with your facts, I take issue with how you presented them as if in response to my post, which I stand by. I'd appreciate it next time if you would respond directly to Pickering instead of to me, when it is Pickering with whom you disagree. Sorry if I sound a little testy, but I guess I'm feeling that way, a little. *sniff*
ETA: One very obvious fact that is usually ignored by the CTs is that hardly
any of the first responders even
knew the south tower had even collapsed, because it was impossible to see that it was missing in all that smoke. All they knew was that something had blown up, or that some part of one of the towers had collapsed, or that another plane had hit, or
whatever -- something bad had happened. I think to a lot of the firefighters, especially those who'd lived thru the '93 bombing and seen the towers survive, it was unthinkable that the towers could or would collapse. Of course, everything that happened that day was unthinkable. But I still believe that the majority of the firefighters in the north tower did not realize that the south tower had collapsed. That is my belief, after reading
102 Minutes and lots of other stuff. So clearly, Russell is off his head on this one.