1. Out of all the fortunes rising and falling, one person who's played the game well is Governor Christie. I never thought of him as anything other than a gasbag -- I don't think of him much at all, he's a governor in a state 3,000 km away, so he doesn't affect my life much. But he's proven to be much more intelligent than I would have expected.
He was courted as a VP candidate and gave a high-profile (if dull) speech at the Convention, then he was the only one not lowering expectations before the first Presidential Debate. And now, with the race all but lost, he's seamlessly changed horses and become a newborn moderate again, doing so in a way that is infinitely more convincing than Romney's duplicity. He'll take very little flak from the conservative base, but he's looking very good to independents and moderates... all for doing his job.
I'd keep an eye on him.
2. I have many reasons to vote against Romney, but one additional reason is that I'm not comfortable with President (Hillary) Clinton. If Obama wins tomorrow I expect her to serve and retire, but should Romney win, I believe she'd run to reclaim the White House, and I believe she'd win. Many folks would probably like to see that, but I wouldn't.
Now, understand that I don't hate her guts -- I actually voted for her (holding my nose as I did so) over Obama in the 2008 California open primary. I didn't think Obama was ready, and I wasn't impressed with McCain or Romney. Turned out I was wrong. Obama has his share of failures but he was both competent and moderate.
Meanwhile, Hillary has been decent as SecState, and competent as a Senator before that, but I am still concerned that she'd fall back on (Bill) Clinton-era policies that are no longer relevant. Dynasties in general are bad for the Republic. Her entry into the race would also have a chilling effect on the next wave of Democratic hopefuls. Keep her around, keep her as an ambassador or something, but her "turn" is over.
3. The current Republican closing argument for Romney seems to be that only he can deal with a fiesty, ideologic, intransigent Right-dominated Congress. Why would a moderate or an independent be impressed by this? Doesn't this argument amount to awarding bad behavior?
For that matter, why would a conservative be impressed by this argument? The static Congress is a feature, not a bug, to any strict Originalist. The Tea Party exists in part to prevent new laws and especially anything stinking of "judicial activism" or "executive overreach." So the last thing they want, if consistency is a priority at least, is to elect some waffling weathervane of a dealmaker.
I don't get it. But then, Romney's losing, so I can't be the only one.
4. Much has been made of The Enthusiasm Gap, and clearly Obama never had much chance to repeat the pop culture phenomenon that presaged his 2008 election. Having said that, I've seen about as many signs this year as in 2012, and I saw them earlier. A few days ago I even saw a homebuilt loudspeaker vehicle -- dozens of klaxons mounted on a Scion, Blues Brothers style -- rumbling along Lake Avenue here in Pasadena, preaching the good news for Obama. I've never seen one of those before.
Enthusiasm may have changed, matured perhaps, but it's not gone. Or maybe it's just that nobody was ever excited about Romney.
The potential was there, to be sure. One of the shooting ranges I frequent has a sublease that sports a semi-trailer sized sign, reading "ONE AND DONE: Boot out the Kenyan in 2012" -- it's been there since 2009. The fervor to oppose Obama was frightfully strong, both among the voting public and among elected Republicans, yet it just never felt like it jelled.
5. I'll be standing in line at 0700 tomorrow. I usually vote absentee, but for whatever reason I decided to get a feel for the crowds this year. Not that California's vote is in doubt.
We do have a slate of ballot initiatives, however, subtending the full range of emotions.
Get out and vote. I don't care for who or what, just do it. It's exercise for the mind. It gets you in the mindset of being an owner, not a customer, of these United States. So go already.
He was courted as a VP candidate and gave a high-profile (if dull) speech at the Convention, then he was the only one not lowering expectations before the first Presidential Debate. And now, with the race all but lost, he's seamlessly changed horses and become a newborn moderate again, doing so in a way that is infinitely more convincing than Romney's duplicity. He'll take very little flak from the conservative base, but he's looking very good to independents and moderates... all for doing his job.
I'd keep an eye on him.
2. I have many reasons to vote against Romney, but one additional reason is that I'm not comfortable with President (Hillary) Clinton. If Obama wins tomorrow I expect her to serve and retire, but should Romney win, I believe she'd run to reclaim the White House, and I believe she'd win. Many folks would probably like to see that, but I wouldn't.
Now, understand that I don't hate her guts -- I actually voted for her (holding my nose as I did so) over Obama in the 2008 California open primary. I didn't think Obama was ready, and I wasn't impressed with McCain or Romney. Turned out I was wrong. Obama has his share of failures but he was both competent and moderate.
Meanwhile, Hillary has been decent as SecState, and competent as a Senator before that, but I am still concerned that she'd fall back on (Bill) Clinton-era policies that are no longer relevant. Dynasties in general are bad for the Republic. Her entry into the race would also have a chilling effect on the next wave of Democratic hopefuls. Keep her around, keep her as an ambassador or something, but her "turn" is over.
3. The current Republican closing argument for Romney seems to be that only he can deal with a fiesty, ideologic, intransigent Right-dominated Congress. Why would a moderate or an independent be impressed by this? Doesn't this argument amount to awarding bad behavior?
For that matter, why would a conservative be impressed by this argument? The static Congress is a feature, not a bug, to any strict Originalist. The Tea Party exists in part to prevent new laws and especially anything stinking of "judicial activism" or "executive overreach." So the last thing they want, if consistency is a priority at least, is to elect some waffling weathervane of a dealmaker.
I don't get it. But then, Romney's losing, so I can't be the only one.
4. Much has been made of The Enthusiasm Gap, and clearly Obama never had much chance to repeat the pop culture phenomenon that presaged his 2008 election. Having said that, I've seen about as many signs this year as in 2012, and I saw them earlier. A few days ago I even saw a homebuilt loudspeaker vehicle -- dozens of klaxons mounted on a Scion, Blues Brothers style -- rumbling along Lake Avenue here in Pasadena, preaching the good news for Obama. I've never seen one of those before.
Enthusiasm may have changed, matured perhaps, but it's not gone. Or maybe it's just that nobody was ever excited about Romney.
The potential was there, to be sure. One of the shooting ranges I frequent has a sublease that sports a semi-trailer sized sign, reading "ONE AND DONE: Boot out the Kenyan in 2012" -- it's been there since 2009. The fervor to oppose Obama was frightfully strong, both among the voting public and among elected Republicans, yet it just never felt like it jelled.
5. I'll be standing in line at 0700 tomorrow. I usually vote absentee, but for whatever reason I decided to get a feel for the crowds this year. Not that California's vote is in doubt.
We do have a slate of ballot initiatives, however, subtending the full range of emotions.
Get out and vote. I don't care for who or what, just do it. It's exercise for the mind. It gets you in the mindset of being an owner, not a customer, of these United States. So go already.
