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3 year old boy missing for 3 days in outback found alive.

Isn't it still officially winter until the equinox?
 
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Isn't it still officially winter until the equinox?

As far as I know. Why do you ask?

So far as the case goes, we'll have to wait to see if the family's (or some of the family's?) "own investigation" bears anything. I have a feeling that this is yet another fairly straightforward case - the kid wandered off, luckily survived for three nights, and was found alive - that is going to be kept perpetually alive by certain individuals because of a handful of mildly curious tangential circumstances that they attach an inordinate amount of significance to.
 
Police don't see anything suspicious, and interestingly it seems that his autism may have been a factor in his survival.

https://www.news.com.au/national/ns...h/news-story/0bc409f6ee203f1be62a2a0c395c7813

"Conspiracy theories circulated on social media that his disappearance was staged, and that a young boy could not survive alone with food or water in such inhospitable terrain – where overnight temperatures were as low as 2C.

However, detectives investigating the circumstances of the toddler’s disappearance – said AJ’s injuries and condition when he was found were all consistent with him being in the bush the entire time.

"And, bush survival experts aiding the investigation say his autism may have actually helped him maintain a calm state of mind. “The reality is he didn’t know he was lost, so he wasn’t scared, he didn’t panic,” an investigator told the Daily Mail Australia. “If he was tired, he slept … he had access to water, which is a big thing for survival in the bush.”

When AJ was rescued, paramedics said he ravenously ate an entire pizza and guzzled water – which is indicative of someone who hadn’t eaten for days. “He was starving … it’s all consistent with him being in the bush the entire time,” a paramedic said.

The Child Mind Institute (CMI) says children with autism often have “a weaker sense of danger” than others and enjoy exploration."​

Yeah, just as most of us were thinking, this is a case of Occam's Razor in action - boy goes missing, survives for three days and then is found alive. Nothing nefarious to see here folks.
 
Only just. Winter ended exactly a week ago, and it's still pretty cold. And yes, it definitely goes below freezing in Australia. I get negative temperatures overnight for weeks at a time during midwinter. Not all of Australia is hot. The Hunter Valley is not tropical.
Because of this
 
"Conspiracy theories circulated on social media that his disappearance was staged, and that a young boy could not survive alone with food or water in such inhospitable terrain – where overnight temperatures were as low as 2C.

However, detectives investigating the circumstances of the toddler’s disappearance – said AJ’s injuries and condition when he was found were all consistent with him being in the bush the entire time.

How odd
 

And yet some police had other views:

I know everyone has lots of questions,” Superintendent Tracy Chapman told reporters as she spoke about some of the things police are still trying to make sense of yesterday.

Investigators are still trying to figure out how the three-year-old could have survived without anything to eat for 72 hours in temperatures that dropped to 2C – emerging with just a few scratches from three nights alone in the brutal terrain.

Another mystery is how AJ turned up in a creek just 500m away from the family’s home – meaning he evaded highly trained sniffer dogs since Friday as well as a helicopter fitted with infra-red technology and hundreds of searchers making their way through the nearby bush.

I mean, obviously you will quote only those who echo your thoughts, but don’t pretend there is absolute agreement about this case.
 
Apologies for posting this again, but some friends of mine do search and rescue stuff as part of their regular volunteering efforts.

They've mentioned, on multiple occasions, that searching for small children is particularly difficult, because children may actively hide from the searchers.

One example they gave, was a child that was found, near Gawler, because one of the searchers had sat down to take a break near a tree.

The tree was hollow, and the child's shoelaces were just visible inside the hollow.

The child had climbed up inside the tree to hide, when he heard people shouting his name.

(The child was fine, he'd only been missing for about half a day.)
 
And yet some police had other views:

Welllll.....that's an older quote from a few days ago, though. The new one is a more recent opinion, from just yesterday. Perhaps the change indicates that police are actually coming to believe there's nothing really "there". It contains several supporting statements from not only police, but a survival expert and a child psychology organization.

So far the only thing that seems to be left in the "staged" camp is "well but why didn't the camera work".
 
Apologies for posting this again, but some friends of mine do search and rescue stuff as part of their regular volunteering efforts.

They've mentioned, on multiple occasions, that searching for small children is particularly difficult, because children may actively hide from the searchers.

One example they gave, was a child that was found, near Gawler, because one of the searchers had sat down to take a break near a tree.

The tree was hollow, and the child's shoelaces were just visible inside the hollow.

The child had climbed up inside the tree to hide, when he heard people shouting his name.

(The child was fine, he'd only been missing for about half a day.)
And if the child is autistic, as he is, it can be even more difficult.
 
A cursory check online can find no new information about this incident in Australia. I take it from this that nothing ever came of the investigation into the supposedly "suspicious" circumstances, including the truck that the police found 80km away.

At any rate, here's a very similar case which concluded today in Texas. A three-year-old boy who wandered into the woods near his home on Wednesday was found today, four days later, and five miles from where he was last seen.

Officials say the child is tired, dehydrated, and hungry, but in good spirits and overall healthy. The boy will stay at the hospital for a period of time for observation.

That article is slim on relevant detail, so here's one from yesterday (published while the boy was still missing) that gives more information.

The search for missing 3-year-old Christopher Ramirez enters its third day Friday as rescuers lament a "standstill" in the investigation. The boy went missing Wednesday near Plantersville, a small community in Grimes County northwest of Houston.

Christopher was at his home in the 10000 block of Deer Park Lane when he vanished after chasing a neighbor's dog into the nearby woods. The boy's mother, Araceli Nunez, told reporters she thinks her son was abducted. Grimes County Sheriff Donald Sowell said there's no evidence the child was taken, but he conceded that investigators from the sheriff's office, FBI and Texas EquuSearch volunteers have yet to turn up actionable clues from combing the area.

"We've got federal and international partners helping us in case there's any connection across the southern border," Sowell said. "(The boy's) biological dad lives in Mexico, so we're having people help on that. ... We still have nothing of any substance to follow up on."

Crews are working day and night scouring the area near Christopher's home. That search area will be expanded Friday, according to authorities. Investigative teams will also take another look at areas they've already covered to double check their work, Texas EquuSearch director Tim Miller said.

Notice that again after a certain period of time of investigators not finding him, the missing child's family begins to suspect that he has been kidnapped - but, also once again, that turns out not to have been the case. The boy had just managed to walk farther afield than the search teams presumed.

I think cases like these really go to show that children even this young can be counterintuitively hardy in such situations. If we look at cases like this and the fact that the child survives seems "odd" or "suspicious" to us, maybe that's just our misconceptions being challenged.
 
A cursory check online can find no new information about this incident in Australia. I take it from this that nothing ever came of the investigation into the supposedly "suspicious" circumstances, including the truck that the police found 80km away.

At any rate, here's a very similar case which concluded today in Texas. A three-year-old boy who wandered into the woods near his home on Wednesday was found today, four days later, and five miles from where he was last seen.



That article is slim on relevant detail, so here's one from yesterday (published while the boy was still missing) that gives more information.



Notice that again after a certain period of time of investigators not finding him, the missing child's family begins to suspect that he has been kidnapped - but, also once again, that turns out not to have been the case. The boy had just managed to walk farther afield than the search teams presumed.

I think cases like these really go to show that children even this young can be counterintuitively hardy in such situations. If we look at cases like this and the fact that the child survives seems "odd" or "suspicious" to us, maybe that's just our misconceptions being challenged.


Cue the "OMG how could a child survive for X days in the wilderness" conspiracy crowd to start throwing suspicion on ____________ (insert family member here).
 

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