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Cont: 2024 Election Thread part 2

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Andy_Ross said:
Don't forget Trump will be having a 'live conversation' on Twitter with Elon tonight at 8pm ET.

Apparently it's "completely unscripted with no limits on subject matter, so should be highly entertaining!"

according to Elon
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In the same way that a troop of baboons finding a kilo of cocaine would be "highly entertaining".
 
Parody of “The Farmer and the Cowman” from Oklahoma! (Music by Richard Rodgers & Lyrics by Oscar Hammerstein II)
The Lawyer or the Conman - A Randy Rainbow Song Parody (Randy Rainbow on YouTube, Aug 12, 2024 - 5:48 min.)
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Beelzebuddy said:
The weirdos just keep getting weirder. Trump's plane was grounded last week to get the ketchup stains off the walls, so now he's flying... Jeffrey Epstein's.

https://viewfromthewing.com/trumps-...ding-now-hes-flying-jeffrey-epsteins-old-jet/
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You know, if it were any other candidate, I would just chalk it up as an irrelevant coincidence. Something to maybe snicker at and that's about it. (After all, it would be pretty easy to overlook.... "Hey, this plane that we are chartering, was it once owned by a criminal?" is a question that might not be obvious.

But, given Trump's tendency to engage in various racist dog whistles, make unsupported claims, and basically lie continually, I have no problems using this opportunity to remind people "You know this republican candidate? He once hung out with a child abuser".
 
acbytesla said:
Yes, you're right. I didn't expect Biden to step aside.

Still, this is starting to get weird. Trump isn't campaigning. He's holed up in Florida tweeting
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Remember when he accused Biden of hiding out in his basement in 2020 (which he wasn't, of course, but what do trumpkins care about truth or facts)?
 
The new JD Vance photo leak is even more priceless than the first...:D
 
Segnosaur said:
You know, if it were any other candidate, I would just chalk it up as an irrelevant coincidence. Something to maybe snicker at and that's about it. (After all, it would be pretty easy to overlook.... "Hey, this plane that we are chartering, was it once owned by a criminal?" is a question that might not be obvious.

But, given Trump's tendency to engage in various racist dog whistles, make unsupported claims, and basically lie continually, I have no problems using this opportunity to remind people "You know this republican candidate? He once hung out with a child abuser".
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I know what you mean.

I have no idea if Trump joined in with Epstein's despicable activities. I too chalk it up to coincidences. Kind of like Russian hookers peeing on a bed or Vance having sex with a couch. Funny, but something we shouldn't give much stock to. I'd need a lot more evidence.

But it's not like Trump doesn’t have a very long history of being sexually promiscuous and treating women as notches on his belt. It's not like he didn't rape a woman and defame her over and over.
 
Of course Epstein's plane is no longer his, and it should, perhaps, just be another plane. But it sure does seem clueless in this case. I mean, on one level these things shouldn't matter, but on another, they do and he should know they do.

I'm reminded of long ago when I was more involved in partisan politics, and worked with a couple of campaigns at the state level in Connecticut. When discussing the printing of literature, an unbreakable rule was that every printed thing must have the "union bug" on it. It's important if the people you're trying to influence believe it is important, and it's important if the people who are looking to find any knothole in your wall think it is.
 
Donnie is going to fume over this. You know how he loves his TIME Magazine covers! Even he fake ones.

Kamala Harris has appeared on the latest cover of TIME magazine which credited her with pulling off “the swiftest vibe shift in modern political history.”

Harris declined to be interviewed for the article, which featured a striking front-page image of the vice president sketched in black and white while surrounded by supporters holding up signs bearing her name next to the words “Her moment.”

The story, entitled “The Reintroduction of Kamala Harris”, even went as far as comparing her Philadelphia campaign rally on August 6 to a Taylor Swift or Beyoncé concert.

More than 14,000 people attended the event, displaying a kind of enthusiasm last seen during former President Barack Obama’s 2008 campaign.
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(The Independent)
 
Number 1 reason why Harris is likely to win.

The GOP is the greyhound that caught the proverbial rabbit.

I'll leave it up to you to decipher what that means.
 
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Outstanding!

Just how big will the tsunami be?

If the Dems aren't already casting their eyes at Republican seats, they bloody well ought to be. I'd like to think the wave won't be confined to the presidential election and you could end up with a clean sweep of WH, Senate + House.
 
The Atheist said:
Outstanding!

Just how big will the tsunami be?

If the Dems aren't already casting their eyes at Republican seats, they bloody well ought to be. I'd like to think the wave won't be confined to the presidential election and you could end up with a clean sweep of WH, Senate + House.
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Well .. most of the time, tsunami warning are just warning .. calm your horses. Harris still doesn't have general poll advantage Biden had. So far the only place she's winning is betting markets, and only slightly.
 
Dr.Sid said:
Well .. most of the time, tsunami warning are just warning .. calm your horses. Harris still doesn't have general poll advantage Biden had. So far the only place she's winning is betting markets, and only slightly.
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Again, I understand people's reticence to write Trump off yet, but it's only at the beginning, and her support will keep swelling.

Ask me again at the end of the month and see how numbers look.
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Meanwhile the pathetic fat orange **** is being so stupid even Kevin McCarthy is calling on him to stop: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/aug/12/kevin-mccarthy-trump-harris-ai-crowd
 
The Atheist said:
Again, I understand people's reticence to write Trump off yet, but it's only at the beginning, and her support will keep swelling.

Ask me again at the end of the month and see how numbers loo
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I'll dance when it's won. Not a second earlier. 2016 celebrations hours before elections were pathetic and embarrassing, everybody should learn from that.
 
Dr.Sid said:
Well .. most of the time, tsunami warning are just warning .. calm your horses. Harris still doesn't have general poll advantage Biden had. So far the only place she's winning is betting markets, and only slightly.
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No, she's ahead in the polls.

Nate Silver: Harris leads by 2.8%
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

538: Harris leads by 2.7%
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/

RealClearPolitics: Harris leads by 0.4%
https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris
 
The Atheist said:
Outstanding!

Just how big will the tsunami be?

If the Dems aren't already casting their eyes at Republican seats, they bloody well ought to be. I'd like to think the wave won't be confined to the presidential election and you could end up with a clean sweep of WH, Senate + House.
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Keep in mind that Harris needs to win by the popular vote by at least 3 percentage points in order to overcome the structural advantage the Republicans have in the Electoral College. Hillary won the popular vote by 2 points and lost the EC by 14 points.

As for the tsunami, she's had about as good a three weeks as can be imagined and is still only up slightly. It's great that she's up, but there are a lot of weeks left and she is bound to have some bad ones along the way. I would expect her to do very well in polling coming out of the convention, but remember, Michael Dukakis came out of his convention up 17 points.

The House of Representatives is certainly in play and it would be quite odd if Kamala won without getting a majority there. But the Senate is going to be difficult; the Democrats are defending too many seats (as a result of their success in the 2018 midterms). Manchin's seat is gone and Sherrod Brown and Jon Tester are in difficult races. A 50-50 split is all the Democrats can hope for; I'd say 49-51 is more likely.
 
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