The Biden Presidency: The Pause Before the Storm
I wish Biden well, and Harris even more so, given it is she who most likely will run in 2024 against Trump or his White supremacists replacement.
I retain, however, the same sober regard as
most Europeans, firmly believing Trump marked the definitive end of the postwar order, and new strategic alignments must be made.
At the end of the Obama admin, the US was on the brink of signing the TPP and was a seen as a solid, trusted, and oft-admired partner to most of the free world.
Oops! Trump strangled that baby in the bathtub, along with 70 million other hicks, savages, and backstabbing Libertarians.
Post-Putin, my bet is on a Russia-EU reconciliation and partnership, able to offset and compete with either the US or China. I am quite certain Germany is now hard at work grooming potential new Russian leaders, and it is already seen as the primary haven for its dissidents. Such a partnership would be quite a bit more formidable than a nativist, science-phobic US no longer able to attract the
free infusions of brain power and know-how it has
vitally depended on since the last major war.
The US could, maybe, perhaps yet manage a win, but it would truly take flushing "true" America down the toilet and finding a way for the remaining locals to compete with far larger numbers of better-educated scientists and engineers elsewhere, all hell-bent on surpassing them. Won't be easy without the dollar as reserve currency, paying top euro and yuan for loans on ballooning debt.