Three new cases on which to decide the sentence. All come from today's paper. Please guess before googling and please also refrain from publishing the actual outcomes for a page or two:
Case A
Graffiti - respectable 30 something surveyor convicted of an extended campaign of defacing railway architecture and rolling stock over a period of years, causing damage costing many thousand of pounds and putting some items out of service. Criminal damage. Also perverting the course of justice in posting film on youtube purporting to show someone else using his distinctive signature.
If "respectable" means no criminal record, then I think a stiff fine, full restitution, and a year or two probation seems all right. Maybe 30 days of jail on the perversion charge. Or I guess I should say "gaol"?
Case B
83 year old man, well known and respected BBC TV and radio presenter of long standing. Pleaded guilty to 14 counts of sexual assault on minors all committed many years ago in the 60s and 70s. Activity included unwanted kissing and touching. Ages of victims range from 9 to 17. An allegation of rape ordered to lie on the file (so he was not convicted of that one).
Are you asking what I think he
should get or what I think he
did get? Seems to me like he should get something like 10 years on each, served concurrently. Doesn't matter much, he'd die in prison I suppose. I'm not saying he deserves a life sentence, but if a fair sentence is transformed into a life sentence by his age, it doesn't bother me at all. He could have avoided that by reporting his crimes earlier!
What I think he did get is a difficult question because I don't know UK law on concurrent vs. consecutive sentencing. I tend to assume that most western countries have more lenient sentencing than the US. So I could see him being sentenced to something like 3 years on each count. If the UK does concurrent sentencing, then that's 3 years in prison (which is pretty lenient by my standards and by US standards), but if they do consecutive sentencing, now he's doing 42 years, which is fairly draconian even by US standards.
What does "An allegation of rape ordered to lie on the file" mean? I take it to mean either that there was a rape charge that was dismissed in exchange for his guilty pleas in the sexual assault charges, or that there was a rape charge that was dismissed for lack of evidence. (If this has been answered already, please ignore; I'm obviously typing this before reading the thread.)
Case C - Jeremy Forrest
Even I get to answer this one as the trial is ongoing. 30 year old married maths teacher accused of child abduction after eloping with a 15 year old pupil to France. His defence (which she supports) is that he went with her to stop her committing suicide. As they had sex I assume he is also charged with having sex with a minor. 4 years is my guess.
Have at it.
So there's four questions here - conviction or acquittal on each charge, and sentence as to each charge. Or--eight questions, I guess, because there's what I think should happen, and what I think will happen.
As far as conviction vs. acquittal, I have no opinion on what should happen. That's up to the trier of fact, judge or jury (I should know whether the UK has juries in criminal trials, but ... I don't!). I have some sympathy with his defense on the abduction charge, but it's the judge or jury's job to decide if it's true. I also don't have much opinion on whether he will be convicted, at least on the abduction charge. The sex charge seems pretty easy.
If he's convicted, I would think 15 years seems harsh but fair on the abduction charge, and 15 on the sex charge, concurrently. Mitigated by the victim's story, aggravated by the fact he took her out of the country.
Again, though, my prediction would be much lower. I would think 5 years on each, and again, I don't know if those would be concurrent or consecutive.
Okay, now I get to read the thread.