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School shooting: but don't mention guns!

I've given more than a little thought as to what might constitute an "effective" legislation set designed to reduce homicides, and yet remain constitutional.
Not easy.
Consider that in both New York and Chicago, for many years, it was essentially illegal to possess a handgun. Simply not possible. No permits, nothing. You simply couldn't have one unless you were a police officer or something similar.
Yet, during this period, both these cities had extremely high homicide rates and police annually took many thousands of handguns from individuals "on the street".

Obviously merely outlawing the possession of weapons was not having the desired effect.

When states began to veer away from the general prohibitions for owning and carrying weapons, it was predicted by many that the level of violence would increase. It was predicted by those that were in favor of increased "carrying" that crime rates would be reduced.
So far as I know, there has been little indication of either. The streets have not run red in states that allow concealed carry, but neither has there been any particular reduction in violent crime, other than long-standing annual decreases trending for many years.

As the "pro" side points out, crimes are not generally committed by responsible individuals using firearms legally purchased by themselves. Rather, crimes are committed with stolen or illegally black-marketed guns that are used by....Criminals who couldn't legally own them anyway. In that they are criminals, they are unlikely to be concerned with such niceties.

So, increased regulation on the legal purchase of firearms by ordinary citizens is unlikely to have much effect on crime.

The NRA has long championed the idea of severely punishing the illegal use of firearms, rather than mere ownership. Use a weapon in a crime...Severe additional penalties attach.
Many states have such legislation. "Armed criminal action" statutes and similar labels.
Problem... Often, the additional charge is used as a bargaining chip by prosecutors. "Plea to the burglary, and we'll drop the ACA charge."
Everybody happy. Junior does 3 years instead of 10, prosecutor gets a conviction, gun is off the street.
Making such charges mandatory results in a situation where all such cases are litigated out to the end, and costs for strapped local governments go through the roof and long backlogs and delays result in cases dragging on for years.

Let's move on to mental illness. Only a tiny percentage of the mentally ill are violent, but when incidents such as the one we are discussing take place everyone wants to do "something".
What? Often (as I've pointed out before) perfectly normal people who are legally and properly in possession of firearms for years will "go bad". They suffer breakdowns, mental illness... They "snap" due to unknown causes... And tragedy results.
How can you screen for such things?

We already have provisions that mentally-ill persons may not in most cases possess firearms, but how do you screen for that? Unless the individual has been legally committed, there is no easily-accessible record of his mental problems, and his physician is likely prohibited from discussing it at any rate. Doctor/patient privilege. Patient confidentiality.
So....Require everyone purchasing a weapon to obtain some sort of "certificate of mental health"? Who is going to do that? Who is going to pay for it? It would almost certainly fall under the "shall not be abridged" section of the 2nd Amendment.
Not easy. No one is going to call for general prohibitions or confiscations; SCOTUS has already ruled that individual possession of firearms is an "individual right", sanctified by the Constitution.
I daresay the chances of amending the Constitution in this regard is....Unlikely.
 
The real protection is the fact that the armed forces of the US are drawn from the general population of the US. This makes them a poor tool for any potential tyrant to use against the people of the US.
What population are drones, or their more autonomous successors, drawn from?

I think I just got an idea for a movie script -- Dick Cheney uses virtual reality framework to make soldiers think they're attacking Kabul, but they're really hitting Cleveland.
 
I totally agree that gun control would not stop somebody going on a rampage if they so wished. They would use homemade boms, cars, knife or fire.

However I firmly believe there would be less of them and what is wrong simply aiming for less? Ask the parents of the 20 dead kids. I am pretty confident that they would have settled for less.

Endlessly arguing that gun control won't be perfect so why bother is disingenuous at best.

Why not approach if from will gun control make it better?

My personal and unsubstantiated theory of why it gun deaths are sp prevalent in the states is simply access without pre-planning coupled with depersonalisation. Get in an argument and in the heat of anger grab a gun. Not in the heat of anger go out and source everything for a bomb, then come back for revenge. Grabbing a knife and stabbing someone would seem to me to be a bit more up close and personal, much less so than a gun. I helped my dad skin animals (deer) when I was a kid, always felt visceral and intimate.

Doesn't account for pre-planned spree killers, but I cannot help but think making it more difficult to get a gun would at least make it harder, which is a victory in itself.
 
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What I was trying to get to is this.

At the time of the invention of reliable manually operated multi shor firearms, whether handguns, rifles or shotguns, they were in effect the "AW's" of their day - "load on Sunday and shoot all week" is how the soldiers of the time described the Henry lever action rifle.

Those same original rifles today, even in California that has a A+ rating on gun control laws from the Bradys, are cash and carry curio and relics.

What was once the state of the art killing machine of their day is now not even considered a viable weapon.

(disclaimer, I'm a big fan of lever action big bore rifles, and a Marlin 1895 Guide gun in 45/70 would scare me in the hands of an enemy a hell of a lot more than an AR or AK platform rifle)

This "high-capacity" this and that is just jargon - the way the weapon looks scares the ill-informed, and even though I have a load of sympathy for Carolyn McCarthy, I would prefer that someone writing gun control laws actually knows wtf they're talking about:


Well semi automatic would be a start. I am not sure why bolt action magazine weapons would be needed for hunting either. If they are for target shooting, then allowing them in licensed premises and stored on the premises seems like a good idea.

That leaves target shooting or defence against a tyrannical government. As handguns are pretty poor against armour and aircraft I'd say that state-controlled military technology has moved beyond the capability of a militia level force without external support.
 
Look at the resources of the US military. If that was in the hands of a tyrannical government they would piss all over what ever guns happened to be in the hands of private citizens. Sure the guns might cause complications, but the private citizens would be overwhelmingly outgunned in a way that I don't think would have been true when the constitution was written.

Also, you are far more likely, surely to have some nut, or group of nuts try to take down the ligitimate government.

If people think their gun ownership is something to do with defending their country from tyranny then they have confused themselves with Mad Max, or Snake Plissken.
The guns in the hands of private citizens would probably have to be used to leverage acquisition of larger armaments.

The nut or group of nuts who attempt to take down the legitimate government will not have effective numbers, and should be quashed quickly.

I don't see any danger of a tyrant coming to power in my lifetime, but I think it's important to preserve the right to bear arms against the day when that might change.
 
We already have provisions that mentally-ill persons may not in most cases possess firearms, but how do you screen for that? Unless the individual has been legally committed, there is no easily-accessible record of his mental problems, and his physician is likely prohibited from discussing it at any rate. Doctor/patient privilege. Patient confidentiality.
So....Require everyone purchasing a weapon to obtain some sort of "certificate of mental health"? Who is going to do that? Who is going to pay for it? It would almost certainly fall under the "shall not be abridged" section of the 2nd Amendment.

This is actually incredibly easy:

1, Anyone who's receiving mental health services for a psychotic or behavioral disorder is registered with the Feds.
2. Any firearms purchase requires a Federal background check.
3. If the person is on the mental health registry, Fed returns "rejected" notice, no other information given to gun dealer.
4. As in all similar situations today, failed applicant is permitted to personally request the details of the rejection for himself.
 
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It's my impression that the medical establishment would be more than a little upset by the prospect of turning their patients in to a "federal registry" of the mentally ill.
I'm inclined to think that the ACLU would be more than interested in the sure-to-follow legislation.
As most know, only the tiniest percentage of the mentally ill are even potentially violent.

Now, individuals who have been assigned to a "mental health court" will in fact have a permanent record of this; but often such people are placed in this situation not for violence but for mundane situations like trespassing, public disturbances, or substance abuse.
Likely they should not possess weapons... But in many cases that's more than a bit of a stretch.
 
anglo

Yeah I mentioned earlier that I suspect the Mexican Drug Cartels would start shipping guns into the USA the second a ban took place. I suspect I would be proven correct if a ban ever occurred.

At the moment the flow is overwhelmingly the other way:

http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5guv1zxttoSAF-NOJzZkAJV2R93mg

According to Justice Department figures, in the past five years 94,000 weapons have been recovered from Mexican drug cartels, of which 64,000 -- 70 percent -- come from the United States.
 
This is actually incredibly easy:

1, Anyone who's receiving mental health services for a psychotic or behavioral disorder is registered with the Feds.
2. Any firearms purchase requires a Federal background check.
3. If the person is on the mental health registry, Fed returns "rejected" notice, no other information given to gun dealer.
4. As in all similar situations today, failed applicant is permitted to personally request the details of the rejection for himself.

We have patient's rights, privacy laws. I am upset by what happened and want a solution that can prevent something like this from ever happening again, as much as the next person. Let's not start lining up to sacrifice our rights, just yet.
 
The guns in the hands of private citizens would probably have to be used to leverage acquisition of larger armaments.
I don't see a lone militia managing to aquire enough larger armaments for it to matter. Is this really how tyrants fall? Surely an externally supported rebelion, or the tyrant losing the support of the army is how these things go down.

The nut or group of nuts who attempt to take down the legitimate government will not have effective numbers, and should be quashed quickly.
The issue for me is more what support the tyrant has. If the army etc is on side and there is no external support, I don't see the tyrant being in that much trouble. Without external support, you'd just have a bunch of dead rebels in syria right now.

I don't see any danger of a tyrant coming to power in my lifetime, but I think it's important to preserve the right to bear arms against the day when that might change.
If you ask me, the only scenario where private gun ownership would actually matter for freedom etc... is some kind of post apololyptic fall of western civilization scenario in the manner of Mad Max . Short of that, I really don't see it.
 
Carnivore's post #778 is spot on and in the UK a similar massacre of children resulted in a quick, pretty much unprotested wholesale change to what guns were in circulation.
Well, the law-abiding gun owners were a bit pissed-off, I can tell you, both with the ban and the compensation offered; but their numbers were small, and they did not have a great deal of visibility.
There was also an increase in the checks on people applying for or renewing firearms licences to try and find out social/mental health issues whereby referees have to people who actually know the person and not just local dignitaries who maybe only see them occasionally.

Some think the previous checks would have been enough, in the Thomas Hamilton case, if they had been properly applied. This is always going to be the problem when a judgement has to be made.
 
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Nothing however will completely prevent gun massacres in any country. Germany has banned paintball and laser tag on the grounds that they "train people to kill"
Citation needed.

In fact, I'm pretty sure you're wrong:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paintball#Germany
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laser_tag#German_law

Might want to do some fact-checking next time... ;)

( while studiously ignoring much more realistic and violent -and lucrative - video games).
Sarcasm... right?
 
that's quite a broad brush yer swinging around there

Penn and Teller actually highlighted the "tyrannical government" argument as the major reason for preserving gun ownership on their "BS" show. I think it's a very mainstream idea among gun enthusiasts.
 
So, is a cowboy's six gun a semi?

No, but if the user of a Colt 1873 or clone simply holds the trigger to the rear and manually "fans" the hammer (fast movement bringing the hammer to the full cock position) the piece will fire until the shooter releases the trigger or exhausts the ammo supply - and real 1873's or clones should only be loaded with five rounds of ammo - hammer down on an empty chamber.
 
Over 200 million guns in the US, ammo for them is unlimited, No new laws will help for a long long time, we need another fix.

As an outside observer I agree. Start at the other end of the problem. Instead of trying to make it harder for people who want guns to get them, try to dissuade more of the people who don't really want a gun but imagine they need one or that having one will solve their problems. And invest owning a gun with more social responsibility; having guns and not keeping them secure should be as unacceptable as drunk driving.

I'm not sure how you go about changing a culture like that, to make gun ownership feel more like a responsibility with an onerous duty of care, but if you can tilt things that way, in the long term you'll reduce gun ownership generally, reduce the numbers of stolen guns, eventually reduce the fear of gun crime from those stolen guns and de-escalate the whole national arms race. And all without stopping shooting fans from doing what they want to do. Everyone keeps the right to bear arms, but most don't feel the need to own them.
 
Well, the(UK) law-abiding gun owners were a bit pissed-off, I can tell you, both with the ban and the compensation offered; but their numbers were small, and they did not have a great deal of visibility...........

And that is the point, of course. A minor sacrifice by a tiny minority for the greater good of society.

The gun owners didn't squeal much because they knew they were on the wrong side of history.

Mike
 
What population are drones, or their more autonomous successors, drawn from?

I think I just got an idea for a movie script -- Dick Cheney uses virtual reality framework to make soldiers think they're attacking Kabul, but they're really hitting Cleveland.

That's a really rather good plot idea. Good enough that even if you don't work it up to a screenplay, I expect the idea to be stolen and on-screen within the next year or two. :)
 

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