The only true God can prophesy whereas the false gods cannot.
Well just before the goalposts move to the paralympic games I think it's high time someone picked you up on this.
If someone makes an accurate prediction about the future. That does not make them either a true god or their messenger.
Australia and England cricket teams compete for a trophy called the Ashes
WP
I predicted that in the 2010-2011 series England would prevail, in doing so I channelled the spirit of old Albion.
My friend Bruce on the other hand predicted that Australia would prevail by interpreting a Takalarrara type cracking in the nose.
These predictions were documented by noted bookmaker William Hill.
Were you correct in your assumption that only the one true god could prophesy then at that stage with only two possible outcomes, both covered by one or other of our prophecies, one or other of us must therefore have been the one true God.
As it turns out mine was the true prophecy and so the spirit of old Albion is the one true God.
Or is it? Because in very similar circumstances my cousin Waldo proved himself to be a prophet channelling a spirit called Uncle Sam and correctly predicting the outcome of the 2008 Ryder Cup. So "Uncle Sam" is the one true God except two years later my Dad proved himself a prophet channelling the Spirit of Europa in predicting the outcome of the same competition.
Surely the sheer number of spirits and people capable of such prophesy is logically consistent with there being only one of them.
This appears to be the converse error. By many definitions of God any prophecy made by that God must be a true prophecy. (else God is not perfect which is a contradiction of the definition we've chosen)
If P then Q
Where P is "the prophecy comes from a perfect God" and Q is "the prophecy is true"
The converse error or affirming the consequent
WP is where someone takes this and assumes that it follows that:
If Q then P
i.e. The converse statement must therefore be a valid deduction. If "the prophecy is true" then "the prophecy comes from a perfect God"
This is clearly not the case. It may not be you who has made that error. I note that the Bible makes a similar claim and you may just be repeating it. That's just one of many reasons why I understand the Bible to be demonstrably fallible and pity those who hold its inerrancy above verifiable fact.
I for one, am quite happy to wait until after the paralympics before I kick up a stink about your shifting goalposts. Yes your previous statements have been falsified and so you've chosen to refine rather than abandon them. I'm OK with that so long as they remain falsifiable by practical means. However after the paralypics end you'll have far more limited options. At that stage I imagine you'll go down the well travelled path of further denial. There's a fork in that path where you must decide whether you're going to say that God spared us due to blah blah blah, your faithful devotions, divine mercy etc; or that the seeds have now been sown and though we didn't notice the start of WWIII, whatever remains of future historians will no doubt see the root causes as starting in the middle of 2012 blah blah. It's at that stage that your once falsifiable predictions degrade to worthless blather.
You might want to consider another path at that stage. The one where you admit the logically inescapable fact that you were wrong. Admit that Ka Apaz was wrong and that she was therefore not channelling an infallible spirit. You will recall that you received a good deal of support and encouragement from myself and others when you took a tentative step along that path earlier. I cannot guarantee that you will get that from everyone, but you'll improve your chances if you seriously consider the overwhelming likelihood that she has not been channelling any sort of spirit at all or even that such things don't exist. For those who have lived their lives in the comfort of false certainties, stepping out into the light can be scary but there will be others to support you if you choose this path.
And so I guess we wait as I initially thought we would have to, until the end of the paralympics. In the extraordinarily unlikely event that by awarding you this extra time you get to be right about the end of the world within your umpteenth choice of time-scales I'll have more to worry about than the strategies of debunking supposed prophets. So I'll say it now. Even getting a billion to one prophesy correct is no proof of divine origin. There are many from Epicurus onwards who would claim that a being who foresaw such a tragedy and did nothing about it cannot deserve the title of God.
Being right is not proof of being God, and I say that as someone who is right quite a lot.
