My Current Plan
Your post provided a good overview of the situation Ian. Thank you.
When I couldn't find any documentation beyond the Rogers/Schwalbe claim that the testing was done on the Raes threads and any information about what the quantitative results were I felt that there wasn't much to be made of this argument. Your post made me rethink that view. Rogers/Schwalbe are very clear that the testing was done and what the nature of the results were. They made a serious mistake or they lied in the first paper or the testing was actually done and whatever the case is Rogers made a serious oversight (intentionally or not) when he didn't mention this result in his later paper. Whatever the case, Rogers' credibility is shown to be suspect by this issue alone.
To his credit, Jabba has conceded that what Rogers/Schwalbe reported in the earlier paper is evidence against the invisible patch theory.
ETA: The issue for Jabba, which I think is reasonable, is that no one participating in this thread has found information about what the quantitative results were for the Raes thread tests. If the invisible patch theory hung on what the Raes thread X-ray fluorescence test results I would agree with Jabba that there is some wiggle room as to the possibility that there was truth to the invisible patch theory. This is certainly not the situation. The invisible patch theory has been shown to be false many times in this thread for many different reasons.
Dave,
- I accept your point about Rogers' credibility -- just wish he was still around.
- I do take issue with your last sentence -- I accept that it has been
reasonably argued that the patch theory is false, but I don't accept (yet) that it has been "
shown" to be false.
- A ways back, Pakeha asked me to provide citations for my claims about the blood -- that's what I'm working on for the moment. My opponents don't understand why these things take me so long -- but they do.
- I should probably repeat my excuses:
1) I haven't kept a very good bibliography.
2) My memory isn't so good these days in general.
3) I seem to remember generalities much better than I do specifics (maybe, everyone does?).
4) I was supposed to have a team helping me with such things
5) It's hard to stay on track when so many serious tangential questions are being raised along the way...
- Here, more specifically, is how I see what's been going on:
1) I've been trying to focus on one "small" issue at a time
2) I had been working on the the trace element issue, but recently set it aside -- having nothing more to say for the time-being.
2) I then started on the issue of how a patch could get past the experts.
3) But then, various contributors started asking me about my evidence contradicting the carbon dating results.
4) In my plan for effective debate, the two sides need equal chances to pursue the sub-issues they prefer (the ISSUE being the authenticity of the Shroud of Turin), and this contradictory evidence sub-issue would be my choice for now (more specifically, re the blood), so I decided to try to multi-task. Probably, not a good idea, but I think I'll stick with it for the moment.
5) I've had a stomach virus the last couple of days.
--- Jabba