Tony Szamboti
Illuminator
- Joined
- Jun 2, 2007
- Messages
- 4,976
It's nice that you ask that.
The "alleged walk-off" triggered the collapse of a floor.
That floor collapse caused the rest of effects that NIST explains well (more floors fell, leaving column 79 unsupported laterally, causing it to buckle, causing the penthouse to fall, and causing a cascade collapse that progressed horizontally until the core gave way, pulling the façade down).
But, the most important point here is that it's irrelevant if NIST got the initiation event wrong. All it took for that chain of events to develop was the collapse of a floor at or around floor 13 by whatever means.
Read that? By whatever means. Floor collapses happen during fires; there is abundant proof in the WTC5 photos from FEMA. NIST elaborated a theory for the mechanism that triggered floor collapse: the girder walk-off. No matter if it's right or wrong, the rest of NIST's theory isn't refuted by disproving their initiation mechanism (the subject of this thread), but by showing that a floor collapse was impossible during the fires.
Good luck with that to those who try.
Finally, it is the columns which need to fail to cause collapse of a building.
Using the AISC criteria for buckling, it is found that column 79 would not buckle unless it was laterally unsupported for at least five floors. So there would need to be a lot of floors and their supporting framework failing around column 79 for a significant number of stories to cause it to become unstable.
The lateral support also only needs to be from two orthogonal sides, and we now know the lateral support from at least one side (provided by the girder to the north of column 79) could not have been removed. So this means all of the connections from the south and west to column 79, for at least five stories, needed to be removed.
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