Wowbagger
The Infinitely Prolonged
Our ability to build conscious computers is dependant on our understanding of how consciousness works. It is probably NOT dependent on computing ability.I agree that this is an abstract discussion. The optimism of the early days of Artificial Intelligence has disappeared now. We didn't get conscious computers after thirty years, or fifty years. We can settle down for a long wait.
(There might be a performance threshold we would have to get passed, but chances are, we passed it already.)
The more we learn about how consciousness works, the more conscious-like our computing can become.... and guess what... this trend works! We ARE learning more about how consciousness works, every year; and our computers ARE becoming more intelligent and conscious-like as a result of some of this research.
We can't expect fully conscious computers to sprout overnight, one amazing day. This is a technology that will.... emerge... over time, over various stages.
Your appeal to "optimisim disappearing" is irrelevant.