London John, could you please elaborate on your statement that you do not think it is a fact that Knox/Sollecito are innocent?
The evidence leads me to conclude that they are innocent. Would you mind describing a scenario that both allows for their participation in the murder and fits the constraints of the (admittedly relatively sparse) established facts?
I am extremely curious.
This is a very important point. TO start with, understand that I believe that Knox and Sollecito had nothing whatsoever to do with the murder of Meredith Kercher (or the aftermath). The issue is one of
certainty. In the absence of a cast-iron alibi, it's impossible for anyone outside of Knox/Sollecito themselves (and probably also Guede) to know with absolute certainty whether or not they are innocent.
It's not important to know with certainty that someone is innocent of a crime in order to a) believe that they are almost certainly innocent, and b) to know with certainty that they should be acquitted of that crime. To illustrate this , let me re-use an analogy. Suppose you lived in Boise, Idaho ten years ago. Suppose that someone was killed in Boise ten years ago, and the case remained unsolved. Suppose the police knocked on your door tomorrow and arrested you for the murder, and you were subsequently charged with the murder. Suppose that the evidence against you were that a) you had know the victim, and had had a visible argument with him in a bar the day before the murder, and b) a car of same common make and colour as yours was seen near the remote rural spot where the victim's body was dumped.
Now, it's likely that this evidence would be insufficient to convict you of the murder. But if you didn't have an alibi for the night of the murder, you wouldn't be able to
prove your innocence. Your friends and family would hopefully believe strongly that you were totally innocent, but only you would know that for sure. But that's not the important point here: the point is that if the state charges someone with a criminal offence, the state has to prove beyond all doubt (based in reason) that the person committed the crime. Otherwise the person should be acquitted and
presumed innocent. Whether the person actually
is innocent or not is not the issue - either from a legal perspective or from an ethical perspective.