PhilosophicalCaveman
Critical Thinker
- Joined
- Apr 13, 2011
- Messages
- 263
Things China will gain if it starts a war:
Oil (as you say, though you don’t realize that China has other assets)
Things China will lose if it starts a war:
Facing the Allies & another Worldwar
Drop in Trades with the West
Break in the relationship with the West.
--Yes, I’m always 2+2=4, while you’re 2+2=22.
like I said you seem to fit in more into the Religious Forum. Tying yourself up again, you contradict yourself. Possibilities vs Probabilities.
IF China is harassed then it will hit back, this doesn't make them a threat or a danger. You show possibilites with no backing, you create a situation for reprisal, doesn't make China a threat.
Ps. In response to China's interest you stated: Oil, for US' interest it is a stable, democratic Taiwan(what a coincidence that Taiwan are rich with oil and the US wants to help) . If you still believe that the US' interest is only to help, keeping in mind that their economy is collapsing and needs oil.
Then any further talks with you is useless. Everything you've stated is based on your opinion, with that I leave you to have your own view and I'll keep mine.
Oil (as you say, though you don’t realize that China has other assets)
Things China will lose if it starts a war:
Facing the Allies & another Worldwar
Drop in Trades with the West
Break in the relationship with the West.
--Yes, I’m always 2+2=4, while you’re 2+2=22.
Whether or not WE think that China has more to lose than gain, they may not feel the same way. They may, in fact, be making that calculation based on entirely different priorities than we think are. The idea that war cannot break out because the agressor would lose just doesn't withstand scrutiny. It's happened time and time again. And it WILL happen again. I do not know if it will happen with China. I never claimed to know. But you certainly cannot know that it will not.
like I said you seem to fit in more into the Religious Forum. Tying yourself up again, you contradict yourself. Possibilities vs Probabilities.
IF China is harassed then it will hit back, this doesn't make them a threat or a danger. You show possibilites with no backing, you create a situation for reprisal, doesn't make China a threat.
Ps. In response to China's interest you stated: Oil, for US' interest it is a stable, democratic Taiwan(what a coincidence that Taiwan are rich with oil and the US wants to help) . If you still believe that the US' interest is only to help, keeping in mind that their economy is collapsing and needs oil.
Then any further talks with you is useless. Everything you've stated is based on your opinion, with that I leave you to have your own view and I'll keep mine.
