Obama tied with generic Republican candidate

[applecorped]

http://www.gallup.com/poll/148076/2012-Voter-Preferences-Obama-Republican-Remain-Close.aspx

"PRINCETON, NJ -- Forty-four percent of registered voters say they are more likely to vote for "the Republican Party's candidate" and 39% for Barack Obama in the 2012 presidential election, according to Gallup's June update. The current five-percentage-point edge for the generic Republican is not a statistically significant lead, and neither side has held a meaningful lead at any point thus far in 2011."

It's early but he should be doing better than this.

 

[A'isha]

Meh. Closer than this to the '04 election, Bush was also in a statistical dead heat in polling against a generic candidate of the opposing party.

 

[leftysergeant]

Some of those forty-odd percent are going to have a major holy crap! moment when they see what sort of lunatic the GOP finally puts forth.

 

[Travis]

So the take away lesson here is that 44% of the people polled were complete idiots that want to see America go down in flames.

 

[Tricky]

Myself, I'm far more fond of generic Republicans than specific Republicans. They're less prone to mood swings.

 

[Tsukasa Buddha]

How are we arriving at the "should"? Are we talking about re-electability, a sort of presidential approval, or something else?

 

[MattusMaximus]

Meanwhile, over at the Intrade prediction markets, President Obama is riding consistently at about 60-61% on getting re-elected.

 

[BenBurch]

Myself, I'm far more fond of generic Republicans than specific Republicans. They're less prone to mood swings.

Exactly.

 

[Trakar]

http://www.gallup.com/poll/148076/2012-Voter-Preferences-Obama-Republican-Remain-Close.aspx

"PRINCETON, NJ -- Forty-four percent of registered voters say they are more likely to vote for "the Republican Party's candidate" and 39% for Barack Obama in the 2012 presidential election, according to Gallup's June update. The current five-percentage-point edge for the generic Republican is not a statistically significant lead, and neither side has held a meaningful lead at any point thus far in 2011."

It's early but he should be doing better than this.

Now, if only the Republicans could come up with a generic candidate instead of the clowns and stooges they have currently with their hat in the ring!

 

[Undesired Walrus]

http://www.gallup.com/poll/148076/2012-Voter-Preferences-Obama-Republican-Remain-Close.aspx

"PRINCETON, NJ -- Forty-four percent of registered voters say they are more likely to vote for "the Republican Party's candidate" and 39% for Barack Obama in the 2012 presidential election, according to Gallup's June update. The current five-percentage-point edge for the generic Republican is not a statistically significant lead, and neither side has held a meaningful lead at any point thus far in 2011."

It's early but he should be doing better than this.

A week is a long time in...

Remember when McCain was up by 10 in early september 08?

 

[leftysergeant]

A week is a long time in...

Remember when McCain was up by 10 in early september 08?

Right. Before people realized that Gramps was losing his marbles and that Ms Moosemeat really was the blithering idiot the media had suggested she might be.

 

[Biscuit]

"Generic/Stereotype for president in 2012! Guiding America in a non specific direction that we think may be better!"


Now thats a catchy bumper sticker!!!

 

[A Laughing Baby]

Clearly the lesson here is that Republican candidates should try to be more generic.

 

[cwalner]

Now, if only the Republicans could come up with a generic candidate instead of the clowns and stooges they have currently with their hat in the ring!

I don't know. Except for the whole Mormon thing, Romney seems pretty much a generic Republican to me.

 

[ArchieGoodwin]

I don't know. Except for the whole Mormon thing, Romney seems pretty much a generic Republican to me.

That's a pretty big exception. Also, Romneycare/Obamacare comparisons are going to be tough for him in the primaries.

Still, I expect him to win the Republican nomination.

 

[Brainster]

Meanwhile, over at the Intrade prediction markets, President Obama is riding consistently at about 60-61% on getting re-elected.

At this point, the market is still pricing Obama as a generic president. Most presidents get reelected for a second term, and the election is sufficiently far away that the specifics of the race aren't as much a factor as historical trends.

 

[truethat]

The country seems to do better when we have a republican president in office and a majority of democrats in the congress etc.

I'm not sure why. I think Obama is bombing as a president. He's like Jimmy Carter part two. I think he and Michelle will wind up doing much more when they leave office than they did IN office.

 

[leftysergeant]

The country seems to do better when we have a republican president in office and a majority of democrats in the congress etc.

That did not hod true under Reagan. The president sets foreign policy and picks the heads of regulatory agencies. Even with a large number of Democrats in congress, Reagan was able to give away vast tracts of public land to his masters and appointed some disasterous cabinet secretaries.

Remember Chainsaw Jimmy Watt?

There is no way that the country can survive having two more right wingers on the Supreme Court. Any Republicon POTUS is just going to appoint more business friendly clowns and lock in corporate personhood and power to the penny.

 

[Upchurch]

At this point, the market is still pricing Obama as a generic president.

Source?

 

[JoeTheJuggler]

Source?

I think he was referring again to the prediction markets (such as Intrade).

ETA: That is, it's a sitting president's election to lose. The default is a win for the incumbent.