If we count up the number of times DNA labs have made a mistake on one hand, and the number of times two university students with absolutely no history of violence or antisocial behaviour team up with a local crook they do not know to brutally sexually assault and murder a friend of theirs for no reason, which count do you think will be higher? Which option should a rational person believe to be more probable?
This a perfect example of your penchant for over-simplification in defiance of both rationality and common sense:
1) Sollecito has, in point of fact, a documented, pre-homicide history of "antisocial behavior" per the Court's judgment (starting at page 61):
- Police Station Commander testified that Sollecito was, in 2003, found in
possession of 2.67 grams of an illicit narcotic
- Sollecito had history of drug abuse including the use of
cocaine and
LSD (per Mignini's closing argument)
- tutors at Sollecito's college instituted "an active monitoring" on the "taciturn, shy, introverted" loner because of his interest in "hard-core"
animal porn
- Sollcito, despite pleadings from his own father, insisted on collecting and
wearing flick knives
2) Knox, too, has a documented, pre-homicide history of "antisocial behavior":
-
Municipal Court of Seattle "finding" that Knox "committed" the civil infraction/ quasi-criminal "offense" of "
residential deisturbance" in connection with a rock-throwing incident/ complaints from frightened neighbors
- Knox has admitted to using
illicit narcotics (to the point of memory loss on the night of the murder)
- Knox
taunted a Jewish coworker about "her people" (of German ancestry) "killing his people" (the story has never been retracted)
- Knox posted the 'stranger on a train incident' where her family could see it (to their dismay/ disgust)
3) per the Court's judgment: Amanda knew Rudy, and Rudy knew Amanda
- Looking at Knox's 6 weeks in Perugia,
she knew Rudy longer than she knew Raffaele (just 8 days or so)
- Rudy let everyone in the cottage know he was interested in Amanda/ he was infatuated
-
Rudy and Amanda smoked dope together on several occasions
- Indeed,
ab initio Amanda began downplaying these facts using measures that included an expensive PR campaign that represented to CBS News that she'd "never laid eyes on Rudy"
- to dismiss Rudy as nothing more than a "crook" elides the fact that he moved in
the same Perugian milieu as Knox did: he was a friend/ basketball pal of the boys that shared the downstairs of Knox's cottage; a repeat visitor to the cottage; and a regular in the basketball court next to the cottage
PS That
some DNA labs, somewhere in the world, at some point in time, have made errors is in no way proof that
this particular DNA lab made an error in
this particular case.
PPS Why are you continuing to struggle with the notion that the correct application of the RD standard to the totality of the evidence is nothing more than a question of statistics and probability theory? Shall we dispense with courts and juries and replace them with statisticians?