I enjoy the fact that you think that someone who has worked on burglary cases for 20 years, describing the MO of burglaries is "ridiculous" compared to... precisely what extensive experience on your part? Ask any law enforcement officer what burglars do before committing a day time or earlier evening break-in and you'll get precisely the same answer from the vast vast majority of them. They make damn sure no-one is in precisely through the methods described. You look ridiculous making unfounded counter-assertions without experience simply because they support the raft you're clinging to. Do you see me asserting DNA judgement against Chris H or calling his position ridiculous? No, because even though I have quite a lot of experience in it, in my opinion, only expert witnesses are qualified to opine on it. I don't know what you do for a living, but you would probably view counter-views to everything you know from great experience as the way-things-work to be very silly.
We can also leave aside silly distinctions between ringing bells versus knocking on doors

- come on people...
What you argue is possible - it's always possible. But you lost the jury a long time ago on plausibility. The balcony is not a little or a lot but a factor better protected from being overlooked. It is the area of the cottage Rudy was familiar with since you say he did the break-in. It is a factor easier climb which anyone can see from the pictures whether you like to pretend otherwise or not. It is a factor easier to break in (shutters like that you yank apart with your hands
if they were locked, which is
pure conjecture - crowbars please.). As you open the shutters you get to see inside the cottage to see if there are any lights on at all. *If* there are none *then* you break the glass with your jacketed-elbow or a small rock and reach in directly to undo the handle. Once a burglar has thoroughly assessed that there is (beyond bad chance and coincidence) no-one in a property, they are overwhelmingly concerned with ease of entry and not being seen entering. There isn't any jury in the world that is going to believe Filomena's is the better choice on these considerations. Sorry, I know you need it to be true but seriously no-one in the real world is buying not even close.