Hello, SomeAlibi, and welcome to the JREF forum.
I am interested in your posts because you say that you are a lawyer and you are clearly advocating the "Ms. Knox and Mr. Sollecito are guilty" position, but as a lawyer myself, I do not find the evidence against Ms. Knox and Mr. Sollecito compelling enough to warrant convictions beyond reasonable doubt.
I'd like to discuss this further with you, from one lawyer to another. And I'd like to start with this: What is it from the evidence adduced at trial that convinces you of their guilt?
Hello LashL
When I came to the case, I had a lot of questions about the conviction which saw me get a rough ride at the beginning of posting on PMF. I came to a very firm conclusion on the case after a fairly long time. It is, without doubt a tragic set of circumstances for four young people whose lives have been wrecked.
The parts I find most compelling are the "issues" I raised in this post:
http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showpost.php?p=6446896&postcount=10933
to which I will also add what does look to me fairly clearly like a staged break-in and the absolute tangle and mass of contradictions that come across in the diaries of Amanda and Raffaele and the multiple contradictory alibis which were serially changed in very short order.
There are also a number of "tells" in the case which work very badly against defendants when they are caught out on them. Amanda said under oath that she had *one* joint that night. It is plainly untrue given that they both speak in their diaries and witness statements of their utter confusion and inability to remember details of the night of the 1st. When you have a defendant on the stand perjure themselves that way - and it is absolutely a slam dunk - then juries start wondering why they are doing it. The diaries are a toe-curling set of evidence which I've found many proponents of Raffaele and Amanda's innocence have not read. But they are evidence in the case and they are awful from an evidential perspective. We have the "pricking" with the knife story from Raffaele which sounds frankly just like rubbish. We have the extremely weird scenario by which he relates his father is delighted that they have caught the "real" perpetrator of the crime in Rudy Guede but instead of giving thanks to God (since Raffaele is religious) and celebrating wildly in terms "thank God my nightmare is over, I'm going home, I'm so happy", instead Raffaele's
immediate response is that he is worried about that "strange stories" this guy,
he says he doesn't know, may "make up".
Innocent people don't do that. They really don't. Is it remotely credible? I really think it isn't. It's another big "tell" which are very important when juries are deciding on the credibility of the accused.
Other bits like the "bathmat shuffle" also ring extremely hollow to a jury in a real-life scenario imho. Mignini's astonishment when Amanda raises it with him on the 12th of December would be comic if it wasn't such a tragic case.
Other matters: Raffaele said on four different occasions that Amanda left the flat on the night of the 1st. The cellphone data places her near Via Aquila when she receives Patrick's call. She repeatedly stresses she didn't leave her flat in her testimony you can watch on youtube. Repeatedly. Yet neither her co-accused nor the cellphone data, nor her written admissions of the 6th agree with that. Again, there's a reason for it.
Another area is Amanda's extraordinary email home written at about 3 o'clock in the morning when she writes down the events of the 1st according to her in micro-detail saying she is going to recall it "slowly". To me, it looks a pretty crystal clear attempt to set down a highly detailed alibi because she knew she was under pressure already on her version of the story. She writes 1,900 words on the events of her going to the flat on the 2nd and absolutely no words whatsoever about the emotional trauma of having her next-door room-mate murdered in terms of feelings of bewilderment or grief. This is not a question of being "close" to someone: in normal circumstances, a person who has had that happen in their flat will talk at length about how they themselves feel upset, bewildered or threatened. Instead she is dealing with tiny minutiae, all written in the early hours. It really doesn't add up.
Most of these areas have an answer in the case for the defence of course. The most promising avenue for the defence will be the DNA arguments by which I don't raise a personal issue with the evidence, simply that it is relatively low count and therefore it must be challenged. However the bathmat is a case-closer and I have yet to see anyone deal with that on the basis of measurement and proportion which, unless it can be done, clearly show it is Raffaele's footprint to a millimetre in several parts and also that the proportion of the length to width cannot make this Rudy's footprint however you scale up or down the measurements. That's terribly damning.
The other very damning area is the story of the 2nd. I have been asked this question directly so I am going to answer it in my next post. The sheer number of events in computer and cellphone records mean that it is simply impossible Raffaele simply picked up a phone and went back to sleep - there are many many more interactions which require him being out of bed and for some time. Again, in real jury environments, if you have an area of the case which has a manifest untruth being told by a defendant, the jury will start looking at that person very dimly.
Lastly, and this you may consider a little fluffy, I thought her testimony - the parts of it we can see on youtube etc was weak. We have to watch out for confirmation bias of course here but I showed the video to a number of colleagues and said "how do you think she comes across?" with no preamble. It's a valid exercise because we are perpetually trying to get clients arranged so they will give themselves their best shot in the box if they have to go in. From junior to senior solicitors, the answers ranged from "not terribly well - looks like she's hamming it up" to "car-wreck, bloody awful". This stuff really matters with juries. She simply doesn't look or sound credible and she gets snarky with the prosecutor which is astonishingly foolish. I've also tried it with lay people, also with no preamble and the reaction is universally the same. The smiling, singing, laughing and 'dancing' she did at times in the courtroom is also extremely foolish and makes you wonder where on earth her head was at.
I firmly believe the only reason there is so much doubt about this case in the english speaking world is simply because the case was conducted in Italian and therefore the primary facts have been obscured to most of us. The PR campaign is a very interesting lesson. We discuss it a lot. I think it's been extremely badly handled *at points* and I don't think it's in any doubt that it's hurt Amanda's chances in the only place it matters - in Italy - but we can learn from it.