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OOS Collapse Propagation Model

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R Mackey how about this statement:

"What BZ proves

BZ certainly does show that a cascading failure is most probable once condition "A" is met for any tall office building, but why would we be surprised at this finding? It proves that tall office buildings cannot be expected to bounce, before or after 9-11-01.

A standard tall office building shouldn't be expected to bounce. What does that have to do with the question of controlled demolition?

What BZ doesn't prove:

It offers no provable explanation for the collapse initiation mechanism of WTC 1 or 2 (the "how" of condition "A" for WTC1 and WTC2).

It provides a narration of what he believes happened during the collapse initiation sequence, yet states it as fact. It provides no proof for this narration.

For these reasons, BZ cannot even remotely be considered as providing proof that no CD occurred on 9-11-01."



No mention of WTC7. Just WTC1 and 2. I'd say these words may not make you happy, but the statements in quotes are true.

R Mackey, are we in agreement that BZ addresses the "bouncing building" question well, but is a pretty useless tool to determine whether CD did or did not occur on 9-11-01?

Remember R Mackey, I am not the person who cannot admit the papers contain any errors. You are.

I am not the one who thinks they prove no CD occurred on 9-11-01. You are.

There are so many holes in these papers I could drive a truck through them. You can call me "stupid and "an idiot", but I can answer every question I have posted to you whereas you haven't answered much of anything.

How much longer can you avoid that by calling me names? BV is next to be reviewed where Dr Bazant introduces "crush down, then crush up". You will have a lot more avoiding to do.


R Mackey writes: "It has been abundantly clear from the beginning that you don't understand it, or indeed the body of literature as a whole. But I never dreamed that your illogic was this fundamentally screwed up. I never would have guessed it possible."

Please enlighten us little people by answering these questions:

1) In BL, can you explain why Dr Bazant insists that crush down must be complete before crush up occurs. Does he mean this literally?

2) Do you consider the equations of motion in BV, equations 12 and 17, to be accurate for WTC1 considering the information in the ROOSD study?

3) Does Dr Bazant believe crush down, then crush up applies literally to WTC1? (or as just a "limiting hypothetical case in which the structure is best able to resist collapse")

4) Are the findings in the OOS study consistent with the claims of crush down preceding crush up in BV and BL?

5) Where in the BLGB arguments is the possibility of a CD based on ROOSD, exploiting the natural weaknesses of the building with minimal explosives, addressed?

If it is not, is it not true that the the arguments in BLGB are largely irrelevant when considering this type of controlled demolition?

6) When Bazant makes the following statement in BL, what does he mean?:

"So it must be concluded that the simplifying hypothesis of
one-way crushing (i.e., of absence of simultaneous crush-up),
made in the original paper, was perfectly justified and caused
only an imperceptible difference in the results. The crush-up
simultaneous with the crush down is found to have advanced
into the overlying story by only 37 mm for the North Tower
and 26 mm for the South Tower. This means that the initial
crush-up phase terminates when the axial displacement of
columns is only about 10 times larger than their maximum
elastic deformation. Hence, simplifying the analysis by neglecting
the initial two-way crushing phase was correct and
accurate."

Is he applying this to WTC1, or to just a hypothetical extreme case?

>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

Condition "A" is explained in the BZ review available here
http://www.the911forum.freeforums.org/review-of-bazant-and-zhou-t375.html

Just a quick question from the peanut gallery.
Why are you asking ANYONE here what BZ intended? Why don't you email him and ask him directly?

Better yet, please submit your critiques of Dr. B to any peer reviewed engineering journal in the world and let them publish them. I'd love to see it. There have been several attempted truther critiques of Dr. B and all of them have been thoroughly crushed in the literature.

As I have stated numerous times, to numerous twoofs. Get it in a peer reviewed engineering journal and it may have some merit.

I for one believe there are issues with NIST and some of what Dr. B has written. The issues I have are minor, mainly cosmetic and could just be due to a poor explaination. But I don't have the necessary experience nor education to go after them. And I also know one of the easiest ways to get that Masters of Engineering or the PhD is to take someone who is well known and show they are wrong. So do it.
 
A standard tall office building shouldn't be expected to bounce. What does that have to do with the question of controlled demolition?
To disprove controlled demolition, you only have to look at the devastation. It was anything but controlled, therefore it was not a controlled demolition. QED.

What BZ doesn't prove:

It offers no provable explanation for the collapse initiation mechanism of WTC 1 or 2 (the "how" of condition "A" for WTC1 and WTC2).

It provides a narration of what he believes happened during the collapse initiation sequence, yet states it as fact. It provides no proof for this narration.

For these reasons, BZ cannot even remotely be considered as providing proof that no CD occurred on 9-11-01."
And BZ doesn't disprove Mothra as an initiator. Does that mean that Mothra is a probable cause?

But still, the explosives hypothesis is brought up without a single shred of evidence to support it, pushed only by beliefs and not by facts. Explosives is on par with Mothra with respect to the available evidence. On the other hand, fire was observed and is known to cause collapse of buildings, so fire does have evidence support as an initiator, and it takes far more than a belief to rule it out.
 
To disprove controlled demolition, you only have to look at the devastation. It was anything but controlled, therefore it was not a controlled demolition. QED.


And BZ doesn't disprove Mothra as an initiator. Does that mean that Mothra is a probable cause?

But still, the explosives hypothesis is brought up without a single shred of evidence to support it, pushed only by beliefs and not by facts. Explosives is on par with Mothra with respect to the available evidence. On the other hand, fire was observed and is known to cause collapse of buildings, so fire does have evidence support as an initiator, and it takes far more than a belief to rule it out.

Are you now a mothra believer? The number of mothra did 9/11 members grows daily!!!!
 
It takes a rare idiot indeed to criticize Bazant & Zhou because it doesn't cover WTC 7. That's not the focus of the paper.

He wasn't criticising Bazant for not covering WTC 7. He simply wants to make it clear exactly what Bazant does and does not cover, since some idiots seem to think his papers rule out controlled demolition on 9/11.
 
If you want to investigate "CD," take off your silly deerstalker cap and do it right. Come up with a hypothesis. Present your evidence. Evaluate your hypothesis against others using proper tests. Make predictions. Try to confirm your hypothesis based on those predictions.

You've done none of these. You have no hypothesis and no evidence. You've tested nothing, predicted nothing. Without this, all your complaining has absolutely no bearing on Dr. Bazant, his work, or the implications of that work. None of which appears to bother you, of course. This is why you're a Truther.

This is probably the biggest lie ever told by a debunker. If Bazant is wrong, he's wrong regardless of whether his critics have a fully-tested alternative theory or not.
 
I posted the study in the OP and many people attacked it and me on the basis of misreading Bazant's papers. Nobody has corrected these posts, so the misrepresentations of the Bazant papers stand. If we do not clear away all the BS we will never be able to address the real issues concerning the possibility of CD.

It sounds like you have a perfect excuse for never moving on, then. When you've got over your annoyance that your genius is so deeply and tragically misunderstood, can I suggest that you start a new thread? That way, I don't have to follow your tantrums in this one.

Dave
 
It takes a rare idiot indeed to criticize Bazant & Zhou because it doesn't cover WTC 7. That's not the focus of the paper.

Oh, it's better than that. It's the perfect get-out. Bazany & Zhou doesn't cover collapse initiation or WTC7, therefore Bazant & Zhou isn't a complete explanation and can be ignored. The NIST WTC1/2 report doesn't cover collapse propagation or WTC7, therefore NIST WTC1/2 can be ignored. The NIST WTC7 report doesn't cover collapse initiation or propagation in WTC1/2, therefore NIST WTC7 can be ignored. There is therefore no complete explanation of the events of 9/11, because in truther world an official explanation (unlike a conspiracy theory) has to explain everything in one go. Apparently, it's too much to ask that all three together could be considered to present a complete understanding; it all has to be in one place, or it doesn't exist at all.

And the greatest irony is that these people will happily accuse us of failing to see the big picture.

Dave
 
Oh, it's better than that. It's the perfect get-out. Bazany & Zhou doesn't cover collapse initiation or WTC7, therefore Bazant & Zhou isn't a complete explanation and can be ignored. The NIST WTC1/2 report doesn't cover collapse propagation or WTC7, therefore NIST WTC1/2 can be ignored. The NIST WTC7 report doesn't cover collapse initiation or propagation in WTC1/2, therefore NIST WTC7 can be ignored. There is therefore no complete explanation of the events of 9/11, because in truther world an official explanation (unlike a conspiracy theory) has to explain everything in one go. Apparently, it's too much to ask that all three together could be considered to present a complete understanding; it all has to be in one place, or it doesn't exist at all.

And the greatest irony is that these people will happily accuse us of failing to see the big picture.

Dave

By the Perfection Fallacy it follows that the 'official story' is false.
By False Dillema it follows that the events of 9/11 are an inside job.

QED.


See? Mathematical proof.

Now, you are in denial, baby.


The good thing about twoofs is that they have a simple and predictable thought process.
 
Oh, it's better than that. It's the perfect get-out. Bazany & Zhou doesn't cover collapse initiation or WTC7, therefore Bazant & Zhou isn't a complete explanation and can be ignored. The NIST WTC1/2 report doesn't cover collapse propagation or WTC7, therefore NIST WTC1/2 can be ignored. The NIST WTC7 report doesn't cover collapse initiation or propagation in WTC1/2, therefore NIST WTC7 can be ignored. There is therefore no complete explanation of the events of 9/11, because in truther world an official explanation (unlike a conspiracy theory) has to explain everything in one go. Apparently, it's too much to ask that all three together could be considered to present a complete understanding; it all has to be in one place, or it doesn't exist at all.

And the greatest irony is that these people will happily accuse us of failing to see the big picture.

In a roundabout way, you've confirmed that only a complete idiot or a liar would make the following claim:

2. The closest there has ever been was a belief that only explosives would cause collapses like that.

3. This belief is false. Dr. Bazant's papers prove this.

4. Therefore, his papers rule out a controlled demolition.
 
In a roundabout way, you've confirmed that only a complete idiot or a liar would make the following claim:

Sorry, what? Bazant's papers prove that global collapse is an expected result of collapse initiation. This refutes the truther argument that only explosives could produce global collapse. The lack of evidence for explosives is itself conclusive evidence; explosives would cause unmistakeably loud sounds immediately before the collapses, and no sounds of the required timing and intensity were observed. Therefore, CD is refuted, and the rebuttal to that refutation is rejected. And there seems to be no connection whatever between my post and R. Mackey's reasoning; it would be impolite to comment further on whether only a complete idiot or a liar would suggest that the above non sequitur was a rational argument.

Dave
 
Sorry, what? Bazant's papers prove that global collapse is an expected result of collapse initiation. This refutes the truther argument that only explosives could produce global collapse.

Global collapse depends on collapse initiation. Bazant's papers don't prove that collapse initiation was possible without explosives.


The lack of evidence for explosives is itself conclusive evidence; explosives would cause unmistakeably loud sounds immediately before the collapses, and no sounds of the required timing and intensity were observed. Therefore, CD is refuted, and the rebuttal to that refutation is rejected.

And Bazant's papers prove this?


And there seems to be no connection whatever between my post and R. Mackey's reasoning; it would be impolite to comment further on whether only a complete idiot or a liar would suggest that the above non sequitur was a rational argument.

You appear to accept that Bazant & Zhou doesn't cover collapse initiation. That means Bazant & Zhou doesn't rule out controlled demolition.
 
Oh, it's better than that. It's the perfect get-out. Bazany & Zhou doesn't cover collapse initiation or WTC7, therefore Bazant & Zhou isn't a complete explanation and can be ignored. The NIST WTC1/2 report doesn't cover collapse propagation or WTC7, therefore NIST WTC1/2 can be ignored. The NIST WTC7 report doesn't cover collapse initiation or propagation in WTC1/2, therefore NIST WTC7 can be ignored. There is therefore no complete explanation of the events of 9/11, because in truther world an official explanation (unlike a conspiracy theory) has to explain everything in one go. Apparently, it's too much to ask that all three together could be considered to present a complete understanding; it all has to be in one place, or it doesn't exist at all.

And the greatest irony is that these people will happily accuse us of failing to see the big picture.


You appear to accept that Bazant & Zhou doesn't cover collapse initiation. That means Bazant & Zhou doesn't rule out controlled demolition.


No comment needed, really.

Respectfully,
Myriad
 
And the greatest irony is that these people will happily accuse us of failing to see the big picture.

Personally, I thought the greatest irony was that the Truthers have yet to provide even the faintest whiff of their own hypothesis. Even a piece of one. Anything at all solid enough to test, in fact.

If there's anyone in the world more hypocritical than the Truthers, I'm not aware of them.
 
Personally, I thought the greatest irony was that the Truthers have yet to provide even the faintest whiff of their own hypothesis. Even a piece of one. Anything at all solid enough to test, in fact.

There was more than a whiff of a hypothesis in the first post in this thread, but you're too busy smelling your own farts to notice.
 
Dave writes: "Apparently, it's too much to ask that all three together could be considered to present a complete understanding"

Dave, I'll gladly discuss each Bazant paper and the NIST reports on WTC1 and WTC7 collapse initiations separately and combine what we learn together.

It is not hard to show that together they do not provide a complete understanding of anything, especially of the process of early deformations and collapse initiations in each building.

I had no intention of having to write short reviews on each of the Bazant papers to explain the study in the OP, but the early posts showed a poor understanding of the arguments in the papers, with people freely mixing quotes with no understanding and subject to no correction.

Now, I'm forced to write small reviews of each paper to expose that many of your early posts are just plain wrong.

I write a review of BZ that people can no longer hide behind the paper, attributing properties to it that do not exist.

Next I'll do the same for BV. Then BL, then BLGB. As I do this, you will see there are less and less places to hide.

This is why I couldn't release a second paper until the first is understood (and the first is clearly not yet understood). I'd like to present it faster but the understanding of the Bazant papers is so poor in this forum that I must correct these mistakes first.

R Mackey writes: "If there's anyone in the world more hypocritical than the Truthers, I'm not aware of them. "

You try to slither out of just about every question I've asked. None of the posters that had so much to teach me about what Bazant "intended" have yet to admit they made mistakes in their earlier posts.

I haven't seen anyone admit that Dr Bazant's papers contain mistakes and actually avoid the issues most central to CD.

You can call me names, but you cannot hide behind BZ anymore. We'll next remove BV and BL from the places to hide.

Don't worry, Dave. Every paper will be covered and then taken as a whole.


Bardamu writes: "There was more than a whiff of a hypothesis in the first post in this thread"

I thought so too, but then came the absurd defense of Dr Bazant's every word. So many papers to hide behind!

When I criticize BZ, nobody responds with argument, just with insults.
 
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I haven't seen anyone admit that Dr Bazant's papers contain mistakes and actually avoid the issues most central to CD.
CD? Where the hell did that come from?

Are you going to answer the questions about the decibel levels or not?
 
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