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Wtc7 fea

You got to admit that there is a marked improvement here (I can't make any definitive judgment because I haven't read any of his posts concerning Hugo Chávez). At least Hugo Chávez is real, that has to account for something. :)

Lol. Yes defending something that actually exists is quite a step up.
 
He still lives in Fantasy Land, DC is a staunch supporter of Hugo Chávez.

no, i would say i im favor of the Bolivarian movement. I told you i hope the Bolivarian movement gets a new face. so no, im not a supporter of Chavez.

but i see suddenly you have no problems with OT post........ very telling.
 
This is a good point in the discussion to squash a twoofer point.

Check this again, and follow along:

http://wtc.nist.gov/NCSTAR1/PDF/NCSTAR 1-9A.pdf

Now obviously, Fig 4-63 is "the smoking gun proof" that twoofs say proves that NIST can't get their sims correct cuz reality didn't look anything like this, , so why should we believe them, they're all incompetent, or they're in on it, or scared to speak up, or blah,blah, blah. This Fig is contained in section 4.5. But it's clearly stated that section 4.5 is an analysis of the building without impact damage from WTC1.

Therefore, the rational among us realize that this isn't meant to be a depiction of reality.

The relevant ones are Fig 4-43 to 4-46, taking note of the 2 from the left side, since these are the only views I'm aware of.

and what do you think about the FEA with impact damage? also this has no displacement scaling.
 
but the arrogance of alot JREF debunkers is amazing. No wonder you guys were not able to convince me.
 
someone should really PM R.Machey about it. i saw he posted in other topic. i guess you dont want one of the top debunkers to keep embarrassing himself with his false claim.
 
and what do you think about the FEA with impact damage? also this has no displacement scaling.

You mean the figures I mentioned?

They look fine to me.

NIST details what they looked like at lower levels during the collapse initiation.There's no video of that so I have no opinion of how close to reality it was.

The upper ~ 1/2, the parts seen on video, look fairly close. So I'm satisfied.

Also note that these commenst regard the building exterior only, since nobody saw the interior to be able to make a judgement call on the int columns.
 
but the arrogance of alot JREF debunkers is amazing. No wonder you guys were not able to convince me.

What a bizarre post.

Who are you respnding to?

The voices in your head?

And you weren't comvinced of what?
 
but the arrogance of alot JREF debunkers is amazing. No wonder you guys were not able to convince me.

I've noticed that a lot of Truthers cannot be convinced of even the simplest points (Like Derek and his "Molten Steel". I suspect that is much more a failing on the truthers part than any failure of the debunkers.

I suspect there is a fundamental difference in thought processes at play here (and we are all guilty of them to some extent). Truthers KNOW what happened (of course this varies by Truther!) so any incontrovertible evidence like the Naudet Video must be faked if you are a no-planer like Jammonius and therefore can be simply discounted without further thought (why waste time on what MUST be fake?) and not the slightest worries. Similarly the slightest morsel of evidence that could be remotely conceived of as evidence assume the greatest importance because it MUST be true.
Similarly antone who argues against what is OBVIOUSLY true (to the Truther) must therefore be a shill working for the NWO, the Wombles or whomever the Truther thinks is behind the whole thing. Its possible this all stems from being a failure in life and the need to have someone or something to blame for this rather than have to face up to the fact that its their own fault.
 
So you're still a truther then?

Why your sudden interest in WTC7?

It appears to be attention seeking behaviour.
He isnt a truther anymore, he figured it out himself because he knows a little bit about FEA and not because of any "arrogant" debunkers on here, of course.
;)
Not sure what swayed him from believing that flight93 shouldnt be sticking out of the ground like a cartoon plane.
The finer points of displacement scaling?
 
What a bizarre post.

Who are you respnding to?

The voices in your head?

And you weren't comvinced of what?

Try reading the OP, it is both relevant and necessary. And I'm somewhat ashamed in that I am the originator of this particular error.
 
And I'm somewhat ashamed in that I am the originator of this particular error.

Scaling?

Ah.

There will be remedial stuff to do. Last time I checked, it involved bowing towards Toronto, something about throwing kitty over your left shoulder, and a couple of other things that I forget.

I'll get back to you on that. Unless someone's got a sharper memory than I.

:boxedin:
 
This ain't a playground, folks

:mad:

It was brought to my attention via PM that this thread is actually a "Call Out" thread. I suppose I ought to respond.

I had DC (formerly Dictator Cheney) on Ignore for his strange behavior some time ago -- my Ignore list is a one-way ticket, following years and years of experience with Truthers. Having said that, I understand that DC is no longer a Truther, and for that I offer my sincere congratulations. I may want to make an exception and take him off my list.

On the other hand, a thread such as this strikes me as in poor taste. Look, I make mistakes too. If you read through my whole posting history, I've made quite a few. The difference between myself and a Truther is that, if I am mistaken, I want to know about it so I can fix it. You won't hurt my feelings. Just... tell me. No theatrics, like this thread for instance, are necessary.

On to the issue at hand:

Most FEA's use indeed Displacement scales, so you are able to see the deformations / displacements.
this is mostly needed as the FEA's are used to simulate the part when they are in use under normal loads. so the deformation is very tiny and cannot be seen with your eyes. so the Software does scale those deformations so you can clearly see them.

Minor quibble: FEA doesn't assume normal loads. One can input abnormal loads if desired. But structures that aren't actually collapsing tend to exhibit small strains and small displacements, so it is often useful to magnify them on a computer screen, yes.

But there are some FEA's that come without such displacement scalings, because it makes no sence.
for example a total collapse of a building or a crashtest of a car.
in those cases the deformation is so huge you can clearly see them with 1:1 scaling. and other scalings would only confuse.

Anyone can make a bad graph with any data. Sometimes magnifying displacement is counter-productive, yes.

a total collpase FEA of a building with other scales than 1:1 would mean that while the simulatiopn is only at 50% the animation would already show a total collapsed building. or the other way, while the simulation is already done the animation still shows half a building instead of a totaly collapsed building. that would make no sence at all.

This makes no sense at all, if I understand it properly.

The question is whether certain pictures were magnified to better illustrate displacements. But if they were, all that is magnified is the picture. The magnification does not mean the displacements themselves, as part of a working model, are increased.

Think of a three-dimensional topographic relief map of the world. If the vertical scale wasn't exaggerated, it would be a very boring map, because the Earth is extremely flat compared to its radius, even at its most mountainous and the deepest abysses. But all we're doing is changing the look of the map. Same thing applies to NIST's result.

My original comment, an offhand one that seems to have started all this, is as follows:

We saw a similar bit of silliness with the WTC 7 collapse graphics in NCSTAR1-9. Those too are greatly exaggerated in scale, so naturally they look quite a bit strange, giving the collapse more of a crushing beer can look than what we saw in reality. Took quite some time for the Truthers to grasp this little detail.

Now, just to be clear, the specific pictures I was referring to include Figure 4-43 through 4-47 in NCSTAR1-9A. These pictures describe the predicted displacements of the outer perimeter of WTC 7, as modeled by NIST, as collapse of the perimeter set in.

Many folks criticized these pictures on the basis of their "looking funny," viz. the typical Truther appeal to ignorance. However, in the case of 4-43 to 4-46, there is a scale included with the picture that shows the maximum displacement contour is only +/- 1 meter. There does indeed appear to be some magnification here, perhaps best seen in the right side of Figure 4-44, showing the modeled southwest face starting to lean inward, dragged by the core collapse. The light blue contour corresponds to a displacement of only 20 to 60 cm, and is nearly into the plane of the picture, but is clearly visible. Thus, it seems quite likely that some sort of magnification was used in the picture only, not the raw data. And that's why it "looks funny." One has to read the numbers, not just critique the image.

Figure 4-47 does not include an explicit scale, as it is intended to provide a geometrical view of the structure without color coding for any measured quantity. Since this picture is similar to 4-46, which is scaled as above, I assumed it was scaled in the same way.

This assumption could be wrong. I do not know what magnification factor was used. It could even be that I'm totally wrong, it's 1:1 and geometrically perfect. However, this kind of enhancement is extremely common. It often doesn't take much displacement to turn a sound structure into an impending collapse.

Does it matter? Not really. I'm not the one claiming NIST's FEA is bogus solely on its appearance. It's the numbers underneath that count.

I have yet to see a single critique of NIST's FEA that wasn't based on ignorance -- either complaining idly that they didn't hand the Truthers all of their tools, all of their data, and so on; or complaining prematurely that it simply "looks wrong." This kind of criticism is worthless. If you want to challenge NIST's FEA, by all means do so, but do it right. Run your own. Many teams have done this for WTC 1 and 2, and in many cases did so without any detailed knowledge of the blueprints themselves. Some of these critiques were even in two dimensions. And some of them were even valid, in my opinion more accurate than NIST's own. I don't expect to find anything differently for WTC 7. What is of greater relevance, however, is the thing the Truthers don't seem to grasp: None of these varying results supports any conspiracy hypothesis.

Hope that clears it up. If anyone knows for certain how the images I mentioned above were constructed, please feel free to correct me. I don't like being wrong, so if I am, just show me. Thanks.
 
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:mad:

It was brought to my attention via PM that this thread is actually a "Call Out" thread. I suppose I ought to respond.

I had DC (formerly Dictator Cheney) on Ignore for his strange behavior some time ago -- my Ignore list is a one-way ticket, following years and years of experience with Truthers. Having said that, I understand that DC is no longer a Truther, and for that I offer my sincere congratulations. I may want to make an exception and take him off my list.

On the other hand, a thread such as this strikes me as in poor taste. Look, I make mistakes too. If you read through my whole posting history, I've made quite a few. The difference between myself and a Truther is that, if I am mistaken, I want to know about it so I can fix it. You won't hurt my feelings. Just... tell me. No theatrics, like this thread for instance, are necessary.

for it to be a real call out thread i would have had to include your name in the thread title.
but yes the tastefull way to do it would have been PM someone to PM you.

but i choosed to make a thread about it. because Debunkers spoting an error of Truthers usualy dont PM the truther to correct him.
but its unfair because you was not the kind of poster here that would open call out threads. so yes it was tasteless and i feel bad about it now, well only a bit to be honest :)

and also, the FEA scale issue was the only point i was able to debunk the JREF debunkers while i was a truther myself. and one of the top debunkers doesnt even know it. that hurts :D

and thanks for removing me from your ignore list. But i warn you, i am still a strange guy ;)


On to the issue at hand:



Minor quibble: FEA doesn't assume normal loads. One can input abnormal loads if desired. But structures that aren't actually collapsing tend to exhibit small strains and small displacements, so it is often useful to magnify them on a computer screen, yes.

I know FEA softwares dont assume normal loads. how would it even know...
what i ment was the normal use of FEA software is not collapses but Analyses of structures behavior under certain loads, and not loads that lead to a total collaps. and especially you dont compute the total collapse usually.

thats why i said, mostly they do indeed use Displacement scales.


Anyone can make a bad graph with any data. Sometimes magnifying displacement is counter-productive, yes.

sure

This makes no sense at all, if I understand it properly.

The question is whether certain pictures were magnified to better illustrate displacements. But if they were, all that is magnified is the picture. The magnification does not mean the displacements themselves, as part of a working model, are increased.

thats why i said, the sim is done, while the graph still shows only a partially collapsed building.
you could argue only the Y axis is 1:1 scale and X and Z are a specific scale.
but afaik therre is no option to do that in LS_Dyna. and it would be confusing.

Think of a three-dimensional topographic relief map of the world. If the vertical scale wasn't exaggerated, it would be a very boring map, because the Earth is extremely flat compared to its radius, even at its most mountainous and the deepest abysses. But all we're doing is changing the look of the map. Same thing applies to NIST's result.

in the case of WTC7 FEA it does not apply to NIST's results.


My original comment, an offhand one that seems to have started all this, is as follows:



Now, just to be clear, the specific pictures I was referring to include Figure 4-43 through 4-47 in NCSTAR1-9A. These pictures describe the predicted displacements of the outer perimeter of WTC 7, as modeled by NIST, as collapse of the perimeter set in.

Many folks criticized these pictures on the basis of their "looking funny," viz. the typical Truther appeal to ignorance. However, in the case of 4-43 to 4-46, there is a scale included with the picture that shows the maximum displacement contour is only +/- 1 meter. There does indeed appear to be some magnification here, perhaps best seen in the right side of Figure 4-44, showing the modeled southwest face starting to lean inward, dragged by the core collapse. The light blue contour corresponds to a displacement of only 20 to 60 cm, and is nearly into the plane of the picture, but is clearly visible. Thus, it seems quite likely that some sort of magnification was used in the picture only, not the raw data. And that's why it "looks funny." One has to read the numbers, not just critique the image.

Figure 4-47 does not include an explicit scale, as it is intended to provide a geometrical view of the structure without color coding for any measured quantity. Since this picture is similar to 4-46, which is scaled as above, I assumed it was scaled in the same way.

This assumption could be wrong. I do not know what magnification factor was used. It could even be that I'm totally wrong, it's 1:1 and geometrically perfect. However, this kind of enhancement is extremely common. It often doesn't take much displacement to turn a sound structure into an impending collapse.

Does it matter? Not really. I'm not the one claiming NIST's FEA is bogus solely on its appearance. It's the numbers underneath that count.

I have yet to see a single critique of NIST's FEA that wasn't based on ignorance -- either complaining idly that they didn't hand the Truthers all of their tools, all of their data, and so on; or complaining prematurely that it simply "looks wrong." This kind of criticism is worthless. If you want to challenge NIST's FEA, by all means do so, but do it right. Run your own. Many teams have done this for WTC 1 and 2, and in many cases did so without any detailed knowledge of the blueprints themselves. Some of these critiques were even in two dimensions. And some of them were even valid, in my opinion more accurate than NIST's own. I don't expect to find anything differently for WTC 7. What is of greater relevance, however, is the thing the Truthers don't seem to grasp: None of these varying results supports any conspiracy hypothesis.

Hope that clears it up. If anyone knows for certain how the images I mentioned above were constructed, please feel free to correct me. I don't like being wrong, so if I am, just show me. Thanks.

No, non of the FEA prints in the report has displacement scalings.

I still think NIST didnt find the collapse progress correctly. because there is alot displacements that cannot be seen in videos of the collapse.
But i think it is pretty close and i no longer belive it to be a CD.
I think they should further Investigate it. but that is only my oppinion, to them it seems to be enough. and im pretty happy with the result.
but bevore i would change Building codes i would further investigate, but thats alot money it will cost. And to experts it is propably really close enough to come to conclusions about improvements of buildingcodes.

and yes i know exactly that no displacement scales have been used.

From NIST :
The results of both the ANSYS and LSDYNA analyses had no normalization, amplification, or any other modification in the analyses or plots showing results in the WTC 7 reports.

I think the NIST mails are pretty clear.
 
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Try reading the OP, it is both relevant and necessary. And I'm somewhat ashamed in that I am the originator of this particular error.

no you arent. when i remember correctly it was someone else.
 
It appears to be attention seeking behaviour.
He isnt a truther anymore, he figured it out himself because he knows a little bit about FEA and not because of any "arrogant" debunkers on here, of course.
;)
Not sure what swayed him from believing that flight93 shouldnt be sticking out of the ground like a cartoon plane.
The finer points of displacement scaling?

funny thing is, mainly people that are still considered truthers here are the ones that convinced me most.
 
but its unfair because you was not the kind of poster here that would open call out threads. so yes it was tasteless and i feel bad about it now, well only a bit to be honest :)

Fair enough. Not a big deal.

and also, the FEA scale issue was the only point i was able to debunk the JREF debunkers while i was a truther myself. and one of the top debunkers doesnt even know it. that hurts :D

There's probably a few other things I have wrong as well. It happens.

I don't know the NCSTAR1A report as well as NCSTAR1, for the simple reason that there was so little challenge to it from Truthers. I had a lot of arguments about the WTC 1 and 2 reports -- which are much more relevant from a criminal perspective -- so I wound up learning it better. I think the Truthers mostly gave up or went mad before the WTC 7 report was even released.

and thanks for removing me from your ignore list. But i warn you, i am still a strange guy ;)

Nothing wrong with strange. Crazy, I avoid. :D

Iwhat i ment was the normal use of FEA software is not collapses but Analyses of structures behavior under certain loads, and not loads that lead to a total collaps. and especially you dont compute the total collapse usually.

Yeah, there is a bit of a language problem. The above makes perfect sense. Most FEA start going unstable as you approach the point of collapse and become unreliable. LS-DYNA, however, configured correctly can avoid this problem, but it limits the type and complexity of model one can use.

No, non of the FEA prints in the report has displacement scalings.

I hadn't seen your earlier posted e-mails. That surprises me, but I never asked them, so unless something better comes along I'll accept that as fact.

I still think NIST didnt find the collapse progress correctly. because there is alot displacements that cannot be seen in videos of the collapse.
But i think it is pretty close and i no longer belive it to be a CD.

Remember, though, simulating a full-blown collapse of such a complex object is really, really hard. If we built another WTC 7 and hit it in exactly the same way, it might collapse at a much different time, in a different looking fashion, out of sheer chance.

Also, the simulation that comes closest to matching any given set of features may in fact not be the best answer. There are so many possible input variables that we can "overfit" the problem. This is a scientific variant of the Texas Sharpshooter Fallacy. What NIST did was provide inputs that were at least plausible from the known construction and condition of the building, and from there picked a scenario that matched observations reasonably well.

This is the right way to do it. I have no doubt that if they'd run hundreds and hundreds of cases, they could refine their model even further, but one rapidly hits the point of diminishing returns.

This is what Purdue did with the WTC 1 model -- they ran many more cases than NIST did, and ultimately came up with a different answer. NIST says that with light impact damage (corresponding to their one-sigma lower bound of aircraft speed), the fire would not have destroyed the structure. Purdue says, even with no impact damage to structure, the fire would have eventually destroyed the structure. Purdue also went on to describe how the damage caused by impact is extremely sensitive to some inputs, in particular the failure strain, viz. how much the columns would "stretch" before breaking completely. Tiny changes to the inputs can have large changes in the number and placement of structural damage.

But, and this is the key point, they still found the collapse would be reasonable and expected over a very wide range of inputs.

I think they should further Investigate it. but that is only my oppinion, to them it seems to be enough. and im pretty happy with the result.
but bevore i would change Building codes i would further investigate, but thats alot money it will cost. And to experts it is propably really close enough to come to conclusions about improvements of buildingcodes.

It is pretty expensive. There are also larger political issues, like do we really want to require skyscrapers to be collapse proof? It can be done, but it costs a fortune, and very few structures will ever face anything like what happened to WTC 7. While we're at it, why don't we lower the speed limit to 10 km/hr? Think of all the lives it would save! ;)

funny thing is, mainly people that are still considered truthers here are the ones that convinced me most.

That doesn't surprise me, and that's another reason why I post so rarely these days. The Truthers are their own worst enemies. When we argue with them, to a casual observer it makes them appear more rational... but when we ignore them, they fester and fight with each other, and then the real lunacy starts pouring out.

I've had little success in reaching Truthers, but I'm still glad to help others who are actually trying to learn. I still have a few things to learn as well. Thank you for your letters to NIST.
 

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