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WTC 2 Progressive Tilt

Sure, though the NIST model predicts uneven creep...

Yes, but notice the values for the perimeter columns; there's a corner-to-corner difference of about a foot. The creep of the core, presumably, would mostly have been accommodated by unloading through the hat truss, so the differential across the core won't give you the tilt. The corner-to-corner height difference gives a tilt angle of 0.2º, and you'd need to be looking due north-west or south-east for the apparent tilt to match the actual tilt. Looking square on to a face you'll see an apparent tilt angle of 0.14º; you may be able to resolve that, but it's a worryingly low value given that your best estimate threshold is tenths of degrees.

Dave
 
Yes, but notice the values for the perimeter columns; there's a corner-to-corner difference of about a foot. The creep of the core, presumably, would mostly have been accommodated by unloading through the hat truss, so the differential across the core won't give you the tilt. The corner-to-corner height difference gives a tilt angle of 0.2º, and you'd need to be looking due north-west or south-east for the apparent tilt to match the actual tilt. Looking square on to a face you'll see an apparent tilt angle of 0.14º; you may be able to resolve that, but it's a worryingly low value given that your best estimate threshold is tenths of degrees.

Dave

Can but try.

Will see if any appropriate high resolution images emerge.
 
NIST suggested ~12inches.
3% of a 36ft column is ~13inches.

What level of bow in a CC would you suggest with that level of drop ?

Wow, 12 inches is a lot. But having one side of the building get shorter by 12 inches would still be a tilt angle of only 0.28 degrees.

Off the top of my head, if we take the distance from impact to the top of WTC2 to be 400 feet, that would be a sideways movement at the top of 24 inches.

That much would be very difficult to notice on a video, unless the video was taken from the bottom corner of a building, sighting straight up it. I don't think you could get this kind of resolution from any videos we have.
 
Wow, 12 inches is a lot. But having one side of the building get shorter by 12 inches would still be a tilt angle of only 0.28 degrees.

Off the top of my head, if we take the distance from impact to the top of WTC2 to be 400 feet, that would be a sideways movement at the top of 24 inches.

That much would be very difficult to notice on a video, unless the video was taken from the bottom corner of a building, sighting straight up it. I don't think you could get this kind of resolution from any videos we have.

Video is very unlikely to reveal such low displacements, but am hoping some decent resolution photo's will surface. A helicopter crew took some of WTC 1 that proved very useful for the purpose, so hopefully something similar for WTC 2 exists...(was a rough test image btw)

684947397.jpg

2190x2921px/1308.0Kb
 
Drawing straight lines into a photo to prove much is never a clever idea, for it always neglects the possibilitie of all sorts of optical distortions: Camera lenses almost never map straight lines in 3D to straigh lines in 2D.

Also, can we rule out that heat from the fires creates some sort of refraction?
 
All I'm after really is high resolution photos of WTC 2 from a viewpoint similar to the one of WTC 1 that I posted, that have a known timeframe. I've looked at a lot of photos in detail, but perhaps one of you folks have some I may have missed.

If I do manage to get some new images, then I suggest critique of any methods that may be employed to determine plumbness should only begin afterwards.

If you're aware of such good quality photos, great, links would be handy. If not, nothing really to see here.
 
All I'm after really is high resolution photos of WTC 2 from a viewpoint similar to the one of WTC 1 that I posted, that have a known timeframe. I've looked at a lot of photos in detail, but perhaps one of you folks have some I may have missed.

If I do manage to get some new images, then I suggest critique of any methods that may be employed to determine plumbness should only begin afterwards.

If you're aware of such good quality photos, great, links would be handy. If not, nothing really to see here.

NIST is the best place to get these videos and photos.

http://edocket.access.gpo.gov/2009/pdf/E9-19535.pdf

Here you can see others who haved filed FOI requests. You can ask them.
http://wtc.nist.gov/FOIA/FOIArequests09_15_42_63_88.pdf
 
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Femr,

I figured out exactly what's going on here.

I also figured out why I thought that there was more tilt than there really is.

And why we both misinterpreted the data.

(In an attempt at a spirit of congeniality, I'll do this without snark. As long as you reciprocate.)

It's perception. And the fact, femr, that you work with images, not with steel.

The source of the "misunderstanding" (for both of us) is the NIST report.

But NOT thru any deviousness or deception. In their attempt to clarify, they implanted a misimpression in everyone who read the report.

And "reading the report" is exactly the source of my (& yours, I suspect) misimpression that there was a lot more tilt to the towers than there really was.

I got my misimpression from here:

picture.php


"Total displacements of WTC 2 above Floor 86 at 43 min of Case D conditions (deformed shape magnified 20 times). Note the tilt toward east and south."

Fig 1.
NIST image, NCSTAR1-6D, Fig 4-90, WTC2 tilt, 43 min.tiff

I've overlaid a fine cyan line onto the original shape & a red square on the top of the 20x tilted position.

That imprinted on me, without my even noticing, the impression that there was a lot more tilt than in reality. EVEN THO I RECOGNIZED that NIST plainly states that the deflection has been magnified 20x.

They magnify the deflection, NOT to deceive anyone, but to show clearly what is impossible to see otherwise.

I've got CAD software that allows me to ACCURATELY change the 20x tilt into 1x tilt.

I'll put the details at the end, but here are the results. And they explain ALL of your "missing tilt anomalies". And why there is no missing tilt. ("Holy Szamboti, Batman!!")

Fig 2 shows the NIST image (at 50% transparency, with 20x deflection) with blue lines overlaid on the original shape & red lines overlaid on the CORRECTED 1x deflected shape. This program was not a CAD program, but it allowed me to drop the intensity of the graphic, and show the results clearly. I was not certain of the absolute accuracy of the program, so I redid the results in the CAD program, Vellum Graphite. It is exact.

picture.php


Fig 2.
NIST image (50% transparency), straight shape (blue), true (1x) deflection (red).


Below (fig. 3) is the original shape of the tower in cyan. (I've added extensions to the side walls for a specific purpose that will be obvious later.

picture.php


Original shape.
Fig 3.

Fig 4, below is the ACCURATE (1x) tilted shape, as NIST reports it at this time. I've doubled the vertical length of the tower from the image shown above. The smoke was pouring out of the mid height of these figures.

picture.php


Fig 4.
Tower 2 with NIST claimed tilt.

THE TILT IS THERE in fig 4, femr. The exact amount that NIST claims. Show it to me...

You can see exactly why the tilt is "invisible". I drew these on a high def screen computer screen. And yet, if it were not for couple of 1 pixel jogs, I'd see no difference.

Fig 5 shows both the straight (cyan) & tilted (blue) graphics superimposed. This is real scale. Show me the tilt on a video monitor.

picture.php


Fig 5.
Straight & tilted WTC2

There is no mystery here. There is no conspiracy of deception.

When you show the real deformations of stressed parts in FEA programs, frequently you can see little difference between unstressed parts and parts stressed to their limit.
___

Finally, it is evident that you're right. Before collapse initiation, WTC1 tilted very little (less than 0.5°). And WTC2 less than 1°.

But even if there is some error in NIST's statements about tilt, that isn't going to make one iota of difference to my conclusion that there were no demolition techniques of any sort. Because there is still a mountain of irrefutable evidence that there was no demolition of any sort.

What it WILL mean is that I learn that a massively damaged, burning building built in a lattice structure like the towers can deform less than - well, less than I never really considered before now. And less than I fooled myself in imprinting the image & forgetting the NIST "20x" qualifier.

It does not change the fact that the columns were stressed well beyond their plastic limits. It doesn't change the fact that they underwent a huge amount of creep. Both of these factor are clearly shown in NIST's FEA analysis & graphs.

Here is the info that was important to me. This graphic shows the creep in WTC2 at 20 minutes & 43 minutes. (43 being the same time as the tilted images above.) Note that the creep was NOT progressing linearly, but accelerating.


picture.php


Fig 6
Plastic strain & creep
Top (20 minutes). Bottom (43 minutes)
___

In essence, you stumbled on something that appeared to be a giant "GOTCHA!" to you.

And you cajoled me into looking into it with persistent, insulting badgering. And it took all of about 45 minutes to figure out what was really going on. And about an hours to draw up the graphs to show it.

There is a lesson here, femr.

You work with graphics.

You don't work with steel. Especially steel buildings.

You thought that you had caught them (& me) in "a lie". A deception. And you thought that you had us "back-peddling". That you had your exposee of NIST's perfidy.

And the end result is "you didn't understand & the professional got it right".

You'd do well to learn a global lesson from this.
(I learned this lesson the hard way over my career.)


Tom
 
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Good catch! And props for the frank admission.

We saw a similar bit of silliness with the WTC 7 collapse graphics in NCSTAR1-9. Those too are greatly exaggerated in scale, so naturally they look quite a bit strange, giving the collapse more of a crushing beer can look than what we saw in reality. Took quite some time for the Truthers to grasp this little detail.
 
Good catch! And props for the frank admission.

We saw a similar bit of silliness with the WTC 7 collapse graphics in NCSTAR1-9. Those too are greatly exaggerated in scale, so naturally they look quite a bit strange, giving the collapse more of a crushing beer can look than what we saw in reality. Took quite some time for the Truthers to grasp this little detail.

the Collapse FEA of WTC7 in the Final report was not scaled, the displacement scale was and is 1:1.
 
But still, it seems possible that such a tilt could be visible in photographs - provided we have 2 photos at high enough resolution and with good enough focus taken from the exact same location 20 minutes apart. If the pixel size of the tower is at least that of the wire model in the above post, then 2 pixels tilt could be made visible by superimposing the 2 photos on top of each other.


(I am not saying that lack of such photos indicates no tilt; but finding such photos could strengthen the case. I just don't think any such photos exist.)
 
Good catch! And props for the frank admission.

We saw a similar bit of silliness with the WTC 7 collapse graphics in NCSTAR1-9. Those too are greatly exaggerated in scale, so naturally they look quite a bit strange, giving the collapse more of a crushing beer can look than what we saw in reality. Took quite some time for the Truthers to grasp this little detail.

Thank you for your inquiry regarding the analysis of the collapse of World Trade Center 7. In answer to your questions regarding displacement scaling, there was no displacement scaling in any of the figures shown for the ANSYS analyses (NCSTAR 1-9, Chapter 11) or the LS-DYNA analyses (NCSTAR 1-9, Chapter 12 and NCSTAR 1-9A). With respect to the large deflection (NLGEOM) this was set to to “ON” so that large deflection effects were captured by the analyses. I hope this answers your questions.



Regards,



Steve Cauffman
Deputy Chief
Materials and Construction Research Division
Building and Fire Research Laboratory
National Institute of Standards and Technology
100 Bureau Drive, Stop 8611
Gaithersburg, MD 20899-8611

displacement scaling in a total collapse simulation would be of no use at all.
Displacement scaling is used when you cannot see the displacement in normal scale. That is usually the case, but not with a total collapse or crash test FEA.
 
Tom,

Not too good at refraining from *snark*, as you put it, are you.

Yet again you're *creating* inferences.

I'm fully aware that the amount of tilt may be slight.

I'm fully aware it may be *invisible*.

I've made that clear since the earliest end of our discussion on the topic.

I've also made it clear that even if it CAN'T be found, then it still does not mean there was no creep.

I've certainly not looked at diagrams in the NIST report that clearly state 20x amplification and gotten the *wrong impression*. That would be quite, er, silly.

You really should get out of the *arguing* game for a while.

Attributing your own misinterpretation onto me, then declaring yourself a hero and you've *solved the mystery* because you've (re?)read the NIST report is a joke. You repeatedly stated Progressive Tilt was a factor which was visible for WTC 2 (originally you included WTC 1 on that, but during our discussion it became clear there is no visible progressive tilt. Note, that I was fine with that, there is no visible progressive tilt of WTC 1).

I've looked for it for WTC 2 and can't find it. And yes, I'm looking for pixel-level changes on the highest resolution photo's available. I'm not looking for big changes. Never was.

But thanks for clearing up your misunderstanding.

Perhaps there are images around of suitable resolution and viewpoint that I've not seen, and which may allow identifying such potential tilt for WTC 2.

If not, then *that's fine*. The conclusion would then be full acceptance that there is no detectable progressive tilt for either tower.


If you've got any obscure photographs, great...
 
But still, it seems possible that such a tilt could be visible in photographs - provided we have 2 photos at high enough resolution and with good enough focus taken from the exact same location 20 minutes apart. If the pixel size of the tower is at least that of the wire model in the above post, then 2 pixels tilt could be made visible by superimposing the 2 photos on top of each other.


(I am not saying that lack of such photos indicates no tilt; but finding such photos could strengthen the case. I just don't think any such photos exist.)

Fingers crossed. Even if the photo's are not from the exact same location, there's ways of solving 3D perspective issues.

I agree that finding progressive tilt would strengthen the case for core column creep.
 
Tom,

Missed this amongst your creative *conspiracy* narrative...

Before collapse initiation, WTC1 tilted very little (less than 0.5°). And WTC2 less than 1°.

Such amounts should be possible to detect.

I suggested earlier that 10th of a degree changes might be the limit, but thinking it through, much smaller scale changes should be detectable wit the right images.

The excellent quality and high resolution photographs of WTC 1 taken by the helicopter crew do not show tilt. I'll gather some resources together to confirm that. The time of each image is known, well, stated by NIST.

Will keep looking for super-duper quality imagery.
 
Such amounts should be possible to detect.

I suggested earlier that 10th of a degree changes might be the limit, but thinking it through, much smaller scale changes should be detectable wit the right images.

The excellent quality and high resolution photographs of WTC 1 taken by the helicopter crew do not show tilt. I'll gather some resources together to confirm that. The time of each image is known, well, stated by NIST.

Will keep looking for super-duper quality imagery.
Respectfully, why?
 
Respectfully, why?

Simple really...

Was there any progressive tilt, yes or no ?

If so, how much ?

I want to use the available visual evidence to fully (or as near to as possible) confirm it one way or the other.

The NIST model predicts it, and I'm looking for it.

I'm not looking for opinion, I'm looking to actually find it, or find it's not there.
 

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