Jeff Corey
New York Skeptic
- Joined
- Aug 2, 2001
- Messages
- 13,714
Once again, n=3, not 36. There are 3 trials, each with a probability of success of 1/12, or 0.0833333.
Also, you have to calculate the odds of getting 1 or more correct, not exactly 1 correct.
with n=3, p=0.08333, and x=1, you get 22.97%.
http://www.stat.tamu.edu/~west/applets/binomialdemo.htmlhttp://stattrek.com/Tables/Binomial.aspx
The odds of getting exactly 1 correct is 21%
No. There were 36 separate judgments, each with a p=.0833, and 1 hit..
