Well quite. It's interesting that Astro Teacher chose to pick out that unimportant detail from my post and ignore the substance of it, isn't it?
Indeed.
Let us look at what has happened so far in this thread:
1. Neally cites several tests which were designed, with astrologists, to determine if they can do what they say they can do. No evidence in support of their claims was found. Notice the burden of proof is with the astrologers.
AT dismisses these and insists one must prove a negative: the burden of proof is shifted.
2. JoeTheJuggler points out some of the more obvious flaws such as retro-fitting and information leakage
AT says astrology does not work like this. It seems that the purpose is to identify "auspicious" times for doing things: anything else is junk. She likens true astrology to a "weather report": although the information given must be of practical help we are not to consider it in terms of being right or wrong, for that is misguided. Thus there is no possibility of getting a claim out of a true astrologer: much less testing it. We rely on the report of those who are given advice: but all failures are attributed to their not following the advice: Heads I win: tails you lose
3.Curiously AT then gives an example of a very specific prediction based on her astrology: it turned out to be true. Many people took that to mean that specifics could in fact be derived, but that is at odds with earlier statements.
And this is the problem: the whole nature of the claim shifts in the course of the thread. What seems to me to happen is that AT is very careful at first to ensure that her claims are inherently untestable: unfortunately that makes them a lot less saleable. Specifics are much more impressive, and it seems he or she cannot resist them.
At refuses to answer any of the questions about the implications of these specific outcomes for testing: instead we get blather about "blindness" and an assertion that there is no point in trying as it would be a waste of time. We have seen this kind of evasion before too.
It may be that her reading said: "it is going to be pouring on x date and so you should stay home": but the particular analogy sadly makes it sound more impressive than it is. In fact it is a prediction that " this would be a good day to do something about the loss of your keys": so arranging to have the locks changed would be a hit: staying in and catching a thief would be a hit. In short a burglary or no burglary would be a hit. And the only determinant of a hit is the view of the person who interprets what the astrologer says. And those who say they were not helped are lying, apparently.
4. AT claims that there is no such thing as consensus on any question. This is not true, as Foster Zygote and others point out. He or she then repeats that it is necessary to prove a negative; and throws in the notion that we are not competent to speak on the subject unless we have made a study of it: it does not appear to occur to her or him that it is perfectly reasonable to ask an expert serious questions: and perfectly reasonable to expect to get comprehensible answers. We all spoke common before we spoke jargon.
Many on this board who are experts in various fields manage to convey why current thinking is as it is. But this is not possible for this busy professional. Generally I find that experts know they are experts and they are prepared to explain what they know to lay people. I am not very trusting of those who say this cannot be done: and less trusting of those who engage with lay people voluntarily and then refuse to try to communicate. We have seen this before.
5. Although AT demands that others study, he or she does make quite specific scientific claims:and when these are rebutted he or she does not do what she recommends. Neither does he or she support those claims with evidence, even when they relate to the material world.
6. As well as dismissing anything scientific as irrelevant to astrology's claim there is also a sustained attempt to say that science has no more validity than any vague and untestable claim. All belief is of equal status: which sits rather oddly with AT's use of the cliche, " you are not entitled to your own facts".
7. Numerous appeals to authority. It is interesting to note that AT tries to co-opt great figures from the past. It is true that Newton studied alchemy: he had no way to know it was a dead end. But his lasting contribution did not come from alchemy. And this is true of all the examples given which are not wholly speculative
8. And then the focus on small details rather than the substance of a post. We have, as PA notes, seen that before too.
This is all very familiar. I wonder what AT thinks of bee dancing
