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Plasma Cosmology - Woo or not

dude good try, but no dice. A black hole is unfalsifiable, and confirmation bias riengs supreme wrt abstract math and unfalsifiable predictions.

No, just present some testable theory that prevents catastrophic gravitational collapse and you can easily falsify the notion of a black hole. Of course it must explain the observational data as well, if not better.


Such as

Dark matter
Dark energy
Neutron stars
Pulsars
Black holes
Nebula collapse
et cetera

Well here is your confusion, by considering such tests of “abstract math” (as you put it) as attempts to confirm, as opposed to attempts to falsify both the abstraction and the math. That all such falsification attempts have failed (at least for math) does not abdicate your responsibility to present falsifiable tests for your EU/PC conjectures (or at least a self consistent theory), if you want them to be considered science. Some of those considerations you listed did in fact demonstrate a falsification of conjectures, theories, abstractions and math, by many people, some quite prominent. That math survives and accommodates such physical considerations (meaning observable data) simply demonstrates that it is not as abstract as you might like to think. This “abstract math” constitutes the very basis of the technological society we now live in. Hardly ‘abstract’, unless you think a cell phone, computer, TV, flash drive, GPS and perhaps even some medications are abstractions. The large (cosmology) and the small (microchips, chemical and nuclear properties as well as more specifically particle physics) are now related to each other to degrees of precision never known before because of this “abstract math“. What is this abhorrence that EC/PU proponents seem to have for math? Are pictures and subjective interpretations to be the only things considered valid for them (including the plasma ball some might have gotten at Wal-Mart)? ‘Looks like is like’ is more in the realm of sympathetic magic then science.
 
No, just present some testable theory that prevents catastrophic gravitational collapse and you can easily falsify the notion of a black hole. Of course it must explain the observational data as well, if not better.




Well here is your confusion, by considering such tests of “abstract math” (as you put it) as attempts to confirm, as opposed to attempts to falsify both the abstraction and the math. That all such falsification attempts have failed (at least for math) does not abdicate your responsibility to present falsifiable tests for your EU/PC conjectures (or at least a self consistent theory), if you want them to be considered science. Some of those considerations you listed did in fact demonstrate a falsification of conjectures, theories, abstractions and math, by many people, some quite prominent. That math survives and accommodates such physical considerations (meaning observable data) simply demonstrates that it is not as abstract as you might like to think. This “abstract math” constitutes the very basis of the technological society we now live in. Hardly ‘abstract’, unless you think a cell phone, computer, TV, flash drive, GPS and perhaps even some medications are abstractions. The large (cosmology) and the small (microchips, chemical and nuclear properties as well as more specifically particle physics) are now related to each other to degrees of precision never known before because of this “abstract math“. What is this abhorrence that EC/PU proponents seem to have for math? Are pictures and subjective interpretations to be the only things considered valid for them (including the plasma ball some might have gotten at Wal-Mart)? ‘Looks like is like’ is more in the realm of sympathetic magic then science.

did they or did they not "find" black holes on paper first? You played with SR and GR till whalla!!! an infinitely small and dense object was achieved, when object where observed that are so dense they appear to be made entirely of neutrons, the maths was fiddled to allow for this to happen.

Mainstreams problem is it's reliance on maths for "proof"!

Then when we found extremely small (relatively) highly energetic objects in space, there was only one source for their energy output, gravity!

Then we discovered plasma and magnetic fields (and there attendant electric currents) in space, which we can study in situ as well as in the lab, but gravity well who knows if it could ever be studied in the lab.

the variables for the maths wrt plasma are so dynamic that the maths becomes extremely difficult and only approximation will do!

Maths has it's applications, obviously, but it does not "run" the universe! plasma is like life on Earth, how can you mathematical model that with an equation! It's just to dynamic!
 
The Man wrote:
(including the plasma ball some might have gotten at Wal-Mart)? ‘Looks like is like’ is more in the realm of sympathetic magic then science.

Which brings up a very interesting point, doe's the plasma ball use shocks, collisions and gravity to produce it's plasma? :rolleyes:

Or does it use an electric current? :D flick a switch and bingo, plasma!!! :cool:
 
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Cosmology

Field of study that brings together the natural sciences, especially astronomy and physics, in an effort to understand the physical universe as a unified whole. The first great age of scientific cosmology began in Greece in the 6th century BC, when the Pythagoreans introduced the concept of a spherical Earth and, unlike the Babylonians and Egyptians, hypothesized that the heavenly bodies moved according to the harmonious relations of natural laws. Their thought culminated in the Ptolemaic model (see Ptolemy) of the universe (2nd century AD). The Copernican revolution (see Copernican system) of the 16th century ushered in the second great age. The third began in the early 20th century, with the formulation of special relativity and its development into general relativity by Albert Einstein. The basic assumptions of modern cosmology are that the universe is homogeneous in space (on the average, all places are alike at any time) and that the laws of physics are the same everywhere.


Is that Ok? See that last bold laws of physics are the same everywhere. What laws are applicable over the event horizon?

The 4th revolution began in 1959 when we discovered space was a plasma!
 
Cosmology

Field of study that brings together the natural sciences, especially astronomy and physics, in an effort to understand the physical universe as a unified whole. The first great age of scientific cosmology began in Greece in the 6th century BC, when the Pythagoreans introduced the concept of a spherical Earth and, unlike the Babylonians and Egyptians, hypothesized that the heavenly bodies moved according to the harmonious relations of natural laws. Their thought culminated in the Ptolemaic model (see Ptolemy) of the universe (2nd century AD). The Copernican revolution (see Copernican system) of the 16th century ushered in the second great age. The third began in the early 20th century, with the formulation of special relativity and its development into general relativity by Albert Einstein. The basic assumptions of modern cosmology are that the universe is homogeneous in space (on the average, all places are alike at any time) and that the laws of physics are the same everywhere.
Ok. Thats more like something from an encyclopedia than a dictionary definition but anyway... could you now tell us, given the above, what moons and the rings of Saturn and comets have to do with cosmology?

Is that Ok? See that last bold laws of physics are the same everywhere. What laws are applicable over the event horizon?
Of a black hole? All of them. Its only and the singularity where our mathematics describing the laws of physics break down.

The 4th revolution began in 1959 when we discovered space was a plasma!
That is just nonsensical.
 
did they or did they not "find" black holes on paper first? You played with SR and GR till whalla!!! an infinitely small and dense object was achieved, when object where observed that are so dense they appear to be made entirely of neutrons, the maths was fiddled to allow for this to happen.
This is called 'making a prediction from theory' and 'adjusting theories based on evidence' and it's a fairly key part of the scientific process. There is also no 'fiddling' of maths involved. Changes of models perhaps (I've not checked the precise history surrounding the discovery of neutron stars), but this is not fiddling of maths.

And by the way - whalla is not a word. Voila is, however. http://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/voila

Maths has it's applications, obviously, but it does not "run" the universe! plasma is like life on Earth, how can you mathematical model that with an equation! It's just to dynamic!
That's very much arguable - the fact that some system is too complex (I would not say 'too dynamic') to be precisely modelled by us does not mean that mathematics is not fundamental to the universe, nor does it mean that approximate models are not useful and do not provide insight.
 
p19/Borrely was found to be HOT and DRY, please explain?
Citation for "HOT and DRY" ?
How hot and compared to what is it "HOT"?
How dry and compared to what is it "DRY"?

Lumps of rock would be an even better description, made at the same time and place as chrondite asteroids! the only difference is the eccentricity of there orbits.


Can you read Sol88? The in-situ composition of only 1 (one, a number between zero and two) comet has been measured. The puzzles observed were
  • the number of jets
  • their appearance on the dark side of the comet as well as on the light side
  • their ability to lift large chunks of rock from the surface of the comet
  • the fact that comet Wild 2 is not a loosely cemented rubble pile
Comets are definitely not made at the same place as chrondite asteroids because they have different orbits from asteroids. Objects that are made at the same place tend to share the same type of orbit (e.g. eccentricity). For example the results of the Deep Impact mission to comet 9P/Tempel suggests an origin in the Uranus and Neptune Oort cloud region of the solar system.

The Deep Impact mission showed that that comet is not a "lump of rock" (and yes the results suprised the scientists).
A total of 250 million kilograms (551 million pounds) of water[35] and between 10 and 25 million kilograms (22 and 55 million pounds) of dust were lost from the impact.[33]

Initial results were surprising as the material excavated by the impact contained more dust and less ice than had been expected. The only models of cometary structure astronomers could positively rule out were the very porous models which had comets as loose aggregates of material. In addition, the material was finer than expected; scientists compared it to talcum powder rather than sand.[36] Other materials found while studying the impact included clays, carbonates, sodium, and crystalline silicates which were found by studying the spectroscopy of the impact.[11] Clays and carbonates usually require liquid water to form and sodium is rare in space.[37] Observations also revealed that the comet was about 75% empty space, and one astronomer compared the outer layers of the comet to the same makeup of a snow bank.[11] Astronomers have expressed interest in more missions to different comets to determine if they share similar compositions or if there are different materials found deeper within comets that were produced at the time of the solar system's formation.[38]

ETA: Note that this directly contradicts the thunderbolts "prediction".
 
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did they or did they not "find" black holes on paper first? You played with SR and GR till whalla!!! an infinitely small and dense object was achieved, when object where observed that are so dense they appear to be made entirely of neutrons, the maths was fiddled to allow for this to happen.

Mainstreams problem is it's reliance on maths for "proof"!

Then when we found extremely small (relatively) highly energetic objects in space, there was only one source for their energy output, gravity!

Then we discovered plasma and magnetic fields (and there attendant electric currents) in space, which we can study in situ as well as in the lab, but gravity well who knows if it could ever be studied in the lab.

the variables for the maths wrt plasma are so dynamic that the maths becomes extremely difficult and only approximation will do!

Maths has it's applications, obviously, but it does not "run" the universe! plasma is like life on Earth, how can you mathematical model that with an equation! It's just to dynamic!


Actually a mathematician (which I’m sure does not surprise you) Pierre-Simon Laplace, I think was the first person to seriously propose the idea of a body so massive that even light can not escape, back in 1796. However no theoretical model existed at that time to describe their formation and properties. It wasn’t until general relativity provided that framework in 1916, yet even then it was not considered “proof”. It was not until observational evidence supported those models that it became generally accepted. Still even today, as I said, if you could provide a theoretical model the supports the observational evidence and perhaps explains it better, science is always looking for better explanations. I do not know what ‘fiddling’ around you are referring to, it is just a consequence of general relativity which so far has been the best explanation for the observational data that we have. Gravity is being studied in labs around the world, particularly to find its quantum mechanical aspects, and Galileo Galilei was perhaps studying gravity experimentally back in the 1600’s. Plasma was first identified and studied in 1879 by Sir William Crookes as ‘radiant matter’ and it has been the backbone of integrated circuit production since the 1970’s. Apparently it is not “so dynamic that the maths becomes extremely difficult and only approximation will do” since it results in the most precise and intricate electrical circuits we can produce. Micro machines are also being experimented with that result from the same production techniques. As far as your last remarks go, it seems as if you are trying to equate plasma with life. The former we have had considerable success modeling, creating and using while the latter we have as yet been far less successful with.
 
This is called 'making a prediction from theory' and 'adjusting theories based on evidence' and it's a fairly key part of the scientific process. There is also no 'fiddling' of maths involved. Changes of models perhaps (I've not checked the precise history surrounding the discovery of neutron stars), but this is not fiddling of maths.

And by the way - whalla is not a word. Voila is, however. http://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/voila


That's very much arguable - the fact that some system is too complex (I would not say 'too dynamic') to be precisely modelled by us does not mean that mathematics is not fundamental to the universe, nor does it mean that approximate models are not useful and do not provide insight.

This is called 'making a prediction from theory' and 'adjusting theories based on evidence' and it's a fairly key part of the scientific process.

How many adjustments need to be made before the model is abandoned?

Seems mainstream can ad hoc till their hearts content! when faced with a problem that would falsify that model new physics is invoked or some other fudge factor is "made".

The dirtysnowball theory of comets should have been falsified long ago but ad hocs have kept it together, P19/Borally was one such case as well as Deep impact.

Thornhill made falsifiable predictions wrt Deep impact and others, but seeing how that would make a laughing stock of the mainstreams model, we'll just sweep it under the carpet and hope no one notices!

Oh and thanks for the English (french) lesson, but in Oz we say whalla!!! whalla whalla bing bong! Well north west Oz anyway.
 
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How many adjustments need to be made before the model is abandoned?

Seems mainstream can ad hoc till their hearts content! when faced with a problem that would falsify that model new physics is invoked or some other fudge factor is "made".

The dirtysnowball theory of comets should have been falsified long ago but ad hocs have kept it together, P19/Borally was one such case as well as Deep impact.

Thornhill made falsifiable predictions wrt Deep impact and others, but seeing how that would make a laughing stock of the mainstreams model, we'll just sweep it under the carpet and hope no one notices!

Oh and thanks for the English (french) lesson, but in Oz we say whalla!!! whalla whalla bing bong! Well north west Oz anyway.

Huh? Edd was responding to your ramblings on black holes and you respond with claims about comets? You do know that blackholes and comets are completely different entities don't you?
 
How many adjustments need to be made before the model is abandoned?

Seems mainstream can ad hoc till their hearts content! when faced with a problem that would falsify that model new physics is invoked or some other fudge factor is "made".

The dirtysnowball theory of comets should have been falsified long ago but ad hocs have kept it together, P19/Borally was one such case as well as Deep impact.

Thornhill made falsifiable predictions wrt Deep impact and others, but seeing how that would make a laughing stock of the mainstreams model, we'll just sweep it under the carpet and hope no one notices!
The dirty snowball theory of comets has been "falsified" (it was waiting for better data). Deep Impact showed that comments are more like icy dustballs.

This definitely falsified Thornhill's prediction that comets are rocky bodies.
 
G'day Sol88. Since we are forgetting about the cosmology bit of plasma cosmology and derailing into planetary and stellar physics (or that absolute woo that is the Electric Universe) what do you think about gyrochronology as a viable means of estimating the age of stars?

How does the EU model of star formation (whatever it is) affect this?
 
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How many adjustments need to be made before the model is abandoned?
My personal standpoint is that you should abandon it in the face of a better model (I cannot even take plasma cosmology as a model at all as you've presented it so don't try to argue that case), and you should have substantially fewer parameters than data - if you need to add parameters to your model to the point where it'll fit anything then you might as well not be bothering.

There's nothing wrong straight off with continuing to refine a model indefinitely however.

There's no rule like "if you've adjusted your theory 100 times it's clearly wrong".
 
Mainstreams problem is it's reliance on maths for "proof"!

No. Mainstream physics relies on math for two rather fundamental reasons, neither of which is "proof". It relies on math so that its predictions are quantifiable and hence testable (which is part of what makes it falsifiable), and it relies on math for logical consistency. Math is logic, and we assume that the universe operates in a logical manner. Do you assume otherwise?

the variables for the maths wrt plasma are so dynamic that the maths becomes extremely difficult and only approximation will do!

Ever hear of the three-body problem? Making approximations isn't a problem. We do it all the time.

Maths has it's applications, obviously, but it does not "run" the universe! plasma is like life on Earth, how can you mathematical model that with an equation! It's just to dynamic!

Nonsense. Not only is plasma far more predictable than life, but population biologists model life with mathematical models all the time. Your ignorance is showing again.
 
DeiRenDopa said:
I have a general question concerning any flavour of Plasma Cosmology.

Or rather, concerning any living proponent of any such flavour.

Has there been any suggested tests of PC? If so, some details please.

Some background: in all the hundreds of posts on PC, in this thread and several others; in all the papers cited in those posts I did not read a single, specific, concrete test of PC! As in, "if only astronomers would point the HST at {insert RA and Dec here}, using {insert instrument here}, they would observe {insert expectation here}, which would test the following hypothesis {insert details here}, derived from PC as follows {insert more details here}."

Generalise the HST to any of the thousands of astronomical facilities, covering wavebands from TeV gammas to ~100 MHz radio; generalise a single observation to any observational program; etc.

And not just astronomy; generalise to any space mission (e.g. what commands to send to Cassini, or MESSENGER), or any Earth-based physics facility (e.g. what signals to look for when the LHC gets up and running).

And not just current facilities; generalise to any feasible research program.

But perhaps I missed something; perhaps Thornhill or Scott have published detailed programs, and there are a half-dozen papers by Peratt and Lerner on just how they'd test PC if only they were granted telescope time, and ...

So, does any reader know of any such material/proposals?

And is any other reader curious as to why there is such a dearth of interest, by PC proponents, in actually testing their pet ideas?
Well the usual counter argument, I infer from what I have read on these threads, is the lack of funding or resources to get that ‘testing’ done. As I have said before, for funding, just write a book called “Big Bang Cures They Don’t Want You to Know About” and have Kevin Trudeau do an infomercial, but just don’t let him do the accounting. As most of us know, some who have actually been involved in testing ideas (even our own), some ideas can be tested with minimal expenditure, effort and with existing data, but of course you need an idea to be tested. As you note DRD, most PC/EU claims are such generalizations and we have seen a consistent problem on these threads just trying to pin down what constitutes EU/PC that testing is superfluous until you have something to test. So it remains up to the PC/EU proponents to come up with falsifiable tests. Until then it is not science but just woo and of course a falsifiable test puts one’s idea at risk of being falsified. So I see no mystery as to why such testing is avoided.
This is pretty close to the tentative conclusion I'd come to; namely, that yet one more reason why PC is scientific woo is that none of its contemporary proponents show any interest in having their ideas tested, whether by astronomical observation or laboratory experiment.

There are many aspects to this.

For example, from the hundreds and hundreds of posts here, by PC proponents, it's pretty obvious none of them have more than the vaguest idea of what observational astronomy actually is, as in what telescopes actually are, what the instruments attached to them actually do, how one goes about deciding what to point at, what the data from the instrument is, how it needs to be processed, etc, etc, etc, etc ... and I suspect much the same staggering ignorance prevails wrt in situ space probes, experiments in labs, etc (among contemporary PC heros, Peratt is an obvious except wrt this last).

Then there's how one goes about devising a test, from formulating a hypothesis to obtaining data to analysing it to dealing with confounding factors and statistics to ...

Take part of Thornhill's so-called prediction re the Deep Impact experiment; it illustrates well just how wide and deep the gulf is between, in this case, EU proponents and standard science:
Thornhill said:
X-rays will accompany discharges to the projectile, which will not match X-ray production through the mechanics of impact. The intensity curve will be that of a lightning bolt (sudden onset, exponential decline) and may well include more than one peak
"X-rays will accompany discharges to the projectile" -> the detection of a single x-ray photon thus confirms the prediction

"which will not match X-ray production through the mechanics of impact" -> and what is the expected "X-ray production through the mechanics of impact"? and how was this determined? Thornhill does not say, so no one can independently check his work; in particular, no one is able to say whether the method he used to determine what was expected is valid (or not)

"The intensity curve" -> what is this? no definition, so it's impossible to independently verify

"will be that of a lightning bolt (sudden onset, exponential decline)" -> no reference given, so no way to independently check; for example, AFAIK lightning bolts do NOT, typically, have an "intensity curve" that has "a sudden onset and exponential decline", but the so-called prediction is impervious to such an objection

"and may well include more than one peak" -> if there were one peak, EU proponents could claim it was spot on; if there were two peaks, EU proponents could claim it was spot on; if there were 42 peaks, EU proponents could claim it was spot on ... only if there were no peaks could the prediction have been said to have failed.

It would seem that Sol88 is among the EU adherents who proudly markets this non-science, rather than hanging his head in deep embarrassment and shame.

PC and EU proponents also put Birkeland on a pedestal. Aside from the intellectual dishonesty of radically re-writing history (for example, Birkeland did not study plasmas, and certainly never used the term "plasma cosmology"), the conspicuous absence of an active, science-based testing program among these folk shows they have failed, dismally, to learn from the core part of Birkeland's work (it is also richly ironic; one can only wonder how severely he'd've ripped Thornhill's so-called predictions to shreds, for example).
 

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