Someone else (maybe most people here), have no trouble with adding that they believe another creative power exists that they have evidence of. That other creative power is a mechanism of random-mutation/natural-selection (RM/NS). Please understand that I think it would be super-cool if RM/NS had this power. I've believed it much of my life but now I dissent. It is too damn simple. (argument from incredulity - there: I beat you to it

). But my incredulity lies in having played with the arithmetic enough know that the required "credulity" that I lack must come from wishful thinking. So call it an argument from lack-of-wishful-thinking.
I would be interested to know how you could play with the mathematical probablities when i don't think we know all the mechanisms by which genetic change occur. Any mathematical modelling seems, at least to me, premature and a bit presumptuous, as though we know more than we really do. We are still children playing on the shore with this stuff.
Now. Since I am skeptical that RM/NS is sufficient to explain a mechanism that has creative power (I believe RM/NS has a very limited ability to readjust parametrics that are already present in the genome in order to adapt organisms), I try to come up with some idea of what might be missing.
How does the human mind create. I don't know, but whatever it does and how ever it does it, that is where, I believe, we need to look. I don't expect the answer is going to drop in to SciAm's June issue.
That's fine, but I don't think a human-like mind is necessary for creative potential. The very obvious counter regarding the creation of new information is gene duplication with mutation. That process leaves the native gene product in place, but creates a new gene product with new potentials with no loss of function and a clear gain of function (new information).
What we call higher organisms also have an ingenious system for alternative gene splicing so that a single gene, through other regulatory mechanisms, can produce numerous gene products (proteins).
We have also recently learned that supposedly silent mutations (mutations in which the nucleotide change results in a slightly different codon, but one that codes for the same amino acid) can actually produce slightly different proteins -- not different in terms of the amino acid content, but different in terms of protein folding. The change depends on the speed with which the protein folds -- the way I envision it is that the less common transfer RNA needs more time to be recruited by its local ribosome for incorporation into the nascent peptide strand. That extra time can result in more folding of the peptide such that the protein has a slightly different function -- which could be either a loss or gain of function.
So, the emerging picture includes an incredibly complex system with gene duplications with modification that create new proteins (new information), alternative splicing (which creates new information), and alternative folding of proteins (which can create new information). And the way that proteins interact is incredibly complex and very poorly understood to date, at least for most systems. A single protein in the milieu of one set of information can act in ways very different from what it will do in another slightly different environment -- also new information with the same players, but in different contexts. So bone morphogenic protein very early in fetal development can stymie the development of neural tissue, but later it is critical for ventral (or dorsal, I can't remember which is BMP and which is sonic hedgehog) neurvous system development.
I've long made my "incredulous" comments about creation of new information by RM/NS and have long been dismissed as a bible-thumper for saying it. What's so intolerable with my dissent? Isn't this a "skeptic's" forum? Skeptic? Can't I be a skeptic here? The attacks I receive are from those who consider themselves the true skeptics. I see them as heavily saturated in dogma so thick they can't think for themselves anymore. ...or at least, they will not reveal their own diminuative doubts for fear of condemnation for thinking outside the dogmatic box.
I can understand the "argument from incredulity" but I think it largely rests on a lack of information. None of that means that you are a bible-thumper. Whether you are or not is beside the point. Ultimately, for this issue, what we need is more information. It is very clear to me that we cannot simply say that information cannot be created by natural processes. We have far too many examples of new information creation to deny it.
Of course you can be a skeptic here and you are welcome to ask any question you would like. Part of the tit for tat is that someone may be able to answer and someone may not be able to do so. I have been extraordinarily impressed by the level of knowledge and accumen of the folks in this place. This is a very good place to be skeptical and to ask questions. If someone is able to answer your questions, though, you must then make a decision about how you want to deal with the information. But you are an adult and you get to make that call.
So, to me: minds create. Therefore, RM/NS, a hugely complex network far beyond a single human neural network in complexity, must have properties of "mind".
Well, we part company there. Minds can create, but it does not follow that creation, especially of new information, is restricted to minds.
Well, it could, but it isn't necessary for us to postulate a "mind" behind natural selection, so I don't. There are natural processes that can account for it that I have no reason to associate with mind. If you wish to see it as being directed by a mind, then that is fine. I doubt you could convince many others of that fact, though, especially if they wish to be parsimonious in their explanations.
Aren't most organisms more complex than a single human neuron? ...or at least of the same order of complexity?
Yes.
In the competitive landscape, aren't the interconnections more complex than all the synaptic connections of the human brain?
Depends on the ecological niche. For some, yes, for others, most definitely no. But I think the analogy fails for this reason......it isn't simply complexity that is important for cognition. We require a certain architecture with neurons linked in very precise ways for us to be able to think. It isn't necessarily the numbers of neurons, the numbers of synapses, the amount f neurotransmitters available, etc, but the ways that all of this is linked together in chains that determines human thinking and creative ability. Kids with hemimegancephaly have far too many neurons in one hemisphere, but all that hemisphere can normally do is produce seizures. Complexity is important, but it can never be the complete story.
Funny that this super complex mechanism of RM/NS, many of orders of magnitude more complex than the human brain, evolved (created) the human brain, yet the complex RM/NS itself lacks the ability to be self-aware.
I don't particularly think it is strange simply because complexity is only one part of the puzzle. Is it somehow possile that the universe, in its complexity, is self-aware? I cannot rule out that possibility. In a way, it is, without question -- because we are self-aware and we are a part of the universe. But could there be a mechanism by which the universe, independent of us, could be self-aware? Possible. I think, unlikely, though because it would require a particular structure and I don't see a reason why it would have that structure. There is certainly no reason why the universe as a potential cognitive entity would have a limbic system. A cognitive entity without a limbic system would more closely resemble a CPU than a human.
How can RM/NS produce a self-aware machine after billions of years of "work", a self-aware machine that has only been around for a fraction of the existence of RM/NS, yet RM/NS has not yet, itself, achieved self-awareness. The self-aware machine, the human, possesses "will" and "intent" and yet RM/NS lacks these properties.
Because the underlying structure of the nervous system of that self-aware machine allows it to survive and pass on its genes. I know that is not a satisfactory answer for you and essentially amounts to "well, because", but that seems to be the way that the world works.
Addressing generally, any and all: Is any of this stuff interesting to you, or do you dismiss it easily? Do you never dissent? Isn't science tentative by definition? Shouldn't you be thinking about these things?
Sure, I think it is very interesting. Sure, I dissent. Yes, science is tentative by definition. Yes, we should all be thinking about these things.
About a self-aware universe, again, I would like for that to be the case, but my desires don't enter the picture as to how the universe actually is. I think the universe is much stranger than any of us realize, so I will never dismiss this possibility out of hand. My guess would be that if there is a greater consciousness that encompasses or is or involves the universe as a whole, then it is very different from human consciousness and we would probably not be able to understand it at all.