drapier wrote:
Once the skeptics to admit to a certain probability that a sighting or other piece of evidence is in fact evidence of bigfoot, then the believers will add up all the 1% and 2% figures across the thousands of footprints and inconclusive hair samples and claim that there's a quadrillion percent likelihood that bigfoot exists.
The scientific mind doesn't look at the evidence and "weigh" it according to what someone else is going to say about it afterwards.
Only "intellectual cowards" do that.
Since we don't know whether bigfoot exists at all, it's impossible to speculate on probability.
This is the CLASSIC skeptic's mantra...."without PROOF....there is no EVIDENCE".
They have it exactly backwards.
People don't go looking for PROOF of something, without there
first being EVIDENCE of it's existence.
So, the correct statement would be..."without EVIDENCE...there'll never be any PROOF."
A good example is the Great Pumpkin.
Nobody actually goes out looking for the Great Pumpkin at Halloween....because there is NO evidence for it's existence.
Without any evidence....there'll never be any proof of it's existence.
If eyewitnesses to robberies or murders are correct in their identifications of the criminal X% of the time, then that percentage might be meaningful, but only because sometime in the past a study has been done that compares the eyewitness testimony to some other independent measure of truth.
Nothing of the sort is possible for evidence of bigfoot because that independent measure of truth does not yet exist for bigfoot.
Another CLASSIC from a skeptic.
Skeptics always refer to "evidence" in terms of "proof".
This is what's being done here, yet again...by the use of the word
correct.
Evidence does NOT need to be "correct"...."proven"..."verified" or "known" to have been created by whatever it's purported to be evidence of....in order for it to carry "weight", and thereby indicating a certain "degree of probability".
Example:
In any crime...a person is arrested based on one or more pieces of evidence...which have indicated some "degree of probability" that that person committed the crime.
The evidence carries some "weight" in pointing towards that particular person....even though that person may not have
actually been the criminal.
Whether or not the evidence is
correct is irrelevant. It's only indicating a
chance, some probability, that that person is the criminal.