Slimething
Illuminator
- Joined
- Nov 14, 2006
- Messages
- 3,790
That could be the most logically flawed, poorly informed piece of drivel that I've ever had the misfortune of reading.
You haven't visited his website, then?
That could be the most logically flawed, poorly informed piece of drivel that I've ever had the misfortune of reading.
You haven't visited his website, then?![]()
Of course, there are multitudes of quotes against evolution religious theory because nature and creation itself is full of contradictions against this religion.
And so a few real quotes get through as the mainstream religionists can not censor every true scientist.
http://www.geocities.com/davidjayjordan/Evolutionisareligion.html
how about this:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Strata_(novel)
creator has a sense of humour and is playing a practical joke by faking evidence for the age of the world and evolution and giving us the brains to deduce contra-biblical accounts of Earth's origin...
Jim,
OK I'm not an anti-evolutionist
Terry Pratchett said:The excavation showed that the fossilized plesiosaur had been holding a placard which read, "End Nuclear Testing Now".
That was nothing unusual.
But then came a discovery of something which *did* intrigue Kin Arad.
A flat earth was something new ...
Here are my "favourites":You haven't visited his website, then?![]()
So is the following contention by Milton true or false?
"Although making no public comment, Dawkins evidently took this point on board, because he dropped the claim from all later books and concentrated instead on attempting merely to mitigate the improbability of Darwinism by other means."
Milton's claim preceded "The God Delusion", but in that book does Dawkins specifically take on the following assertions by Milton?
"In 1992, I pointed out in print that Dawkins’s suggestion is mathematically flawed. It is true of the probability of unrelated events (such as tossing a coin) but is untrue of related events such as the cumulative natural selection of random genetic mutations. Indeed it is the cumulative nature of natural selection (which Dawkins proposed as its greatest strength) that is in fact its greatest weakness from the point of view of its improbability.
"The need for genetic mutations to occur in the correct sequence to feed into the one-way accumulation of natural selection at just the decisive moment is the very factor that makes it so increasingly improbable as a natural mechanism.
"From a mathematical viewpoint, the probability of life evolving via the natural selection of ten big mutations is exactly the same as the probability of life evolving via ten thousand small mutations, if the order in which the mutations must occur is taken into account (and, of course, the order is crucial)."
What, specifically, is wrong with Milton's analysis?Set to the westminster Chimes:
Wrong wrong wrong wrong wrong wrong wrong.
Milton's reasoning only applies if the end product is predetermined. Milton is applying a priori reasoning from an a posteriori viewpoint, and assuming that the life we see today is the life that had to evolve. It isn't. The fact is that the a posteriori probability of evolution on earth producing the life that exists today is formally 1. If you don't set a target for evolution then random mutation can produce any outcome. It's anthropocentric arrogance that allows him to make such a basic mistake.
True, but for life to evolve it has to come from somewhere, right?
Lots of things.What, specifically, is wrong with Milton's analysis?
No, I saw it, but it doesn't answer the question. Milton is not arguing that the life we see today is the only possibility, but rather that random mutations are just as likely be deleterious or produce lesser complexity as they are to be beneficial or to produce greater complexity. So, it's a tautology to say: "Well, we're here, so the cumulative effect of random mutations and natural selection must have led to the mind-boggling complexity of man, not to mention the complexity of other animals." Yes, we and they are here, but there are two other possibilities: (1) Evolution guided by some process, and (2) A special creation.This -
Sorry, did you miss this reply first time round?
If it's entirely wrong, how about a mathematical model demonstrating the plausibility of random mutations and natural selection producing man from a single-celled organism in under 4 billion years?Lots of things.
See wollery post for starters.
Secondly he ignores the entirety of Dawkin's argument.
The probability of one animal making a large jump is smaller than the probability of one animal making a small change, this change being passed through the population, and one of any of these animals making the next jump.
Assuming the genes spread right through out a population of fixed size and a uniform mutation distribution and whatnot the probability of the first event occurring will be (Population size)^(number of steps -1) smaller than the probability of the second event occurring.
Basically, it is entirely wrong.
Set to the westminster Chimes:
Wrong wrong wrong wrong wrong wrong wrong.
A good introductory text into population genetics, the field that
mathematically describes changes in the gene pool is:
Principles of Population Genetics, by Hartl and Clark , 1989, Sinauer,
Sunderland, Mass
None of the math is very daunting (it's just an intro text after all)
but it's really critical (IMHO) to understanding what evolution is all
about. And again, lots of refs.
No, I saw it, but it doesn't answer the question. Milton is not arguing that the life we see today is the only possibility, but rather that random mutations are just as likely be deleterious or produce lesser complexity as they are to be beneficial or to produce greater complexity. So, it's a tautology to say: "Well, we're here, so the cumulative effect of random mutations and natural selection must have led to the mind-boggling complexity of man, not to mention the complexity of other animals." Yes, we and they are here, but there are two other possibilities: (1) Evolution guided by some process, and (2) A special creation.

Only two? You lack imagination. What about "time is a loop and everything is its own cause" or "there are infinitely many universes all happening in parallel, so everything we imagine is true" or "there is no physical reality and we are dreaming ourselves" or "cosmic pirates stole our memories"?Yes, we and they are here, but there are two other possibilities: (1) Evolution guided by some process, and (2) A special creation.
You are absolutely correct that mutations are just as likely to be deleterious, but these mutations result in the organism with that mutation failing to procreate as well as its unmutated fellow organisms. This means that deleterious mutations are naturally deselected. Benificial mutations result in an organism procreating better than its fellow organisms, so its mutation is passed on to more of the next generation, and that generation pass on to more of the next, and so on.No, I saw it, but it doesn't answer the question. Milton is not arguing that the life we see today is the only possibility, but rather that random mutations are just as likely be deleterious or produce lesser complexity as they are to be beneficial or to produce greater complexity. So, it's a tautology to say: "Well, we're here, so the cumulative effect of random mutations and natural selection must have led to the mind-boggling complexity of man, not to mention the complexity of other animals." Yes, we and they are here, but there are two other possibilities: (1) Evolution guided by some process, and (2) A special creation.