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Princeton Nukes ESP Department

Just for the sake of my curiosity. What would be the way of facing the quantum measurement problem using Occam´s Razor Linda or anyone?

Occam's Razor is used to choose between competing theories. What theory are you placing in competition with quantum mechanics?

Also, what is the problem? Don't simply reiterate the definition of the "quantum measurement problem", but explain how you see this as creating a problem.

Linda
 
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I'm in this late, but was wondering o-blue's take on this reading, that was posted several years ago in a thread discussing mediumship and cold-reading. Ersby may remember the thread.

“medium” or “M” = person performing reading
“sitter” or “S”= person claiming reading
“host/hostess” or “H” = people hosting event
“unidentified”or “U” = partygoer; other than the host.

[introductory remarks omitted; Medium does say he is going to keep things “light” and avoid bad subjects, so not to worry]

M: Okay. Let me start out by saying that I have no real control over the impressions I get. Sometimes I feel things strongly, but sometimes- sometimes not as well. I’m . . I’m getting though a strong impression of an older lady, and I’m seeing a strong picture of roses. The roses are very strong, and I’m getting a definite feel that there is a strong connection to someone here. Is that making sense to anyone?

S: [Raised hand] My grandmother was named Rose.

M: Okay. Okay. Now you’re- ? [question]

S: Jan [changed].

M: Okay. But I am getting a very strong impression that you are connected to this energy – more than just your grandmother.

[pause]

M: Were you named after her, in fact?

S: [laughing] Yes, I was.

M: Middle name?

S: Yes.

M: Okay, because I’m seeing the connection there. I’m also seeing two roses together, two of them . . .and I’m seeing like- I’m seeing a picture of the symbol for Gemini, like there are twins involved. Does that make sense to you?

[unidentified]: Her grandmother was a twin.

S: She had a twin sister.

M: Okay. That makes sense, because I am seeing these two roses together. I am also getting a “6” connection – either a connection to June or the sixth of the month?

S: No. . . No.

M: Are you sure? This would be an anniversary or special occasion, and I want. . . I want to say this is for June.

[pause]

M: This would be a connection to the grandmother, not to you directly. It seems more like something important to her than to you directly, but it is an anniversary or something like that, something every year.

S: I can’t think of anything.

M: Okay. I may be wrong, but I get a definite impression there, and so- And you may want to ask about that, okay?

S: Okay.

M: Now your grandmother, she is on your father’s side?

S: Right.

M: Okay, because I am sensing that the connection is through your father. And I’m seeing a little boy fishing. Is there someone who – is fishing important to anyone?

S: My father.

M: Okay, because I am seeing a little boy fishing, and getting a feeling like almost exasperation. It- It isn’t anger or anything like that. More like “oh, he’s fishing again” kind of thing. Like he was always doing it, or always wanting to do it. And I’m getting a picture of a dark green or dark fishing pole. Either dark, dark green or black with green on it, and I want to say it is connected to the boy. Does that make sense?

S: [laughs]

[pause; nothing audible]

M: Do you have a sister?

S: Yes. Linda. [changed]

M: Younger sister?

S: Yep.

M: Because I am getting a sense that she wants me to acknowledge you and a smaller girl, Linda. And I’m also getting some concern- Mild concern about you- Not about anything really serious, but its connected to your finances or your job. I’m seeing children connected to your work, but not directly. Not like you’re a teacher, but somehow connected to schools or schoolwork. Do you understand that?

[unintelligible sounds] [From memory, I do not know if sitter answered or how]

M: And its like- its like you want to be more creative and do something more creative, like your job is not allowing you that, and you are sometimes frustrated with it, but you are concerned about making it, or being a success. Does that make sense?

S: Some. [laughing]

M: I believe that this is related to your job, that she feels that you have been dissatisfied with some parts of your job, because- I feel there was a big change within the last year or so? There was some kind of change in how you have been looking at your job and the chance to do something else or make a change related to that?

S: Yeah.

M: And I think that your grandmother is picking up your concerns, and she wants you not to worry about success, you know?

S: Mmmm. [I think; non-commital grunt sounds]

M: And success in the future depends on how everyone defines success, you know?

S: Yeah.

M: Success means just having more money to some people, but others would be happy to have things published or- Or just know that they have created something new for themselves, even if no one else saw it. Does that make sense?

S: Yes.

M: Because I get the feeling that she understood success and the real meaning; and I am getting- getting a real feeling that she wants you to know that understanding too.

S: Okay.

M: And let me just say, to end this- I get a very strong impression that you are independent- a very independent thinker, but you sometimes let yourself be talked into listening to other people and go against your instincts, but then you usually regret not just going with your gut. Do you understand that?

S: Yes. [laughing]

M: Okay, and she is telling you to trust yourself more and your own decisions more. Okay.

S: Okay.

[end]
 
I'm not sure I understand. Paranormal claims also seem to be exceptions to natural laws. And both seem to require a similar approach with respect to evidence - documenting that natural, known explanations have been ruled-out.
[/quote]

"appears to be" yes - but are they? From our current scientific position some inherently odd and weird ideas may seem 'paranormal - yet actually be entirely normal and mundane, just rare phenomena outside the scope of our current understanding.

Are you thinking that "supernatural" refers to something that couldn't happen, such as a human levitating or walking on water? And "paranormal" refers to phenomena that show up as natural events, but unusual in amount (such as making accurate statements)?

Yes. Paranormal = normal phenomena we just don't understand yet. Some will prove to be nonsense. Some will prove to be artefacts, just illusions created by some other effect or our gullibility. And so, I do not doubt, will turn out to be quite prosaic and normal once we understand them scientifically. So some phenomena will be sorted to the "rubbish" pile, some the "true" pile, and some the "this is why it seemed like that but what was really going on was..." pile.

I'm not sure how useful it is to distinguish the two, as I haven't really seen distinctions made by those who claim paranormal or supernatural powers. Are ghosts paranormal or supernatural? The purported mechanisms for both are outside the realm of natural law - psychics claim to draw on the spirit world which is not subject to the constraints of the laws of nature. And they both reduce to natural mechanisms when there is an opportunity for proper investigation - such as fraud or psychological mechanisms. And Hume's statement applies equally well to both.

Ghosts? Well a ghost is just a report of something- the causality underlying that report, the thing behind the human experience - could be many, many things. "Ghost" is just a category for a type of experience, and I gravely doubt there is one cause which explains even 5% of all "ghost" cases. However, yes, a ghost could be supernatural, and many claim they are, but could just as easily be natural - we look on the ghosts of dead stars, whether on TV, or in another sense in the sky at night. Generally I assume any phenomena I encounter in the natural world is naturalistic, so at best paranormal. Hume I'm afraid made me doubt the usefulness of "supernatural" - I even played with trying to envisage an entirely naturalistic interventionist theology a couple of weeks back, on another forum. :) SO if i see a goblin - well i am going to assume I'm hallucinating, but if we capture a goblin, and other people see and we get to study goblins - its natural. Goblins move from paranormal to normal.

I have seen this argued here in the past (by one of the Davids, I think). That paranormal claims represent a real phenomenon that is of yet undiscovered. But when discovered and studied it will be incorporated into normal science. But that just sounds like normal science, to me. There are many things we do not fully understand. Arbitrarily selecting some of those things out and calling them paranormal doesn't seem to be useful.

I agree totally. So, incidentally, did Robert Jahn for many years as I recall. Parapsychology is just anomalies research isn't it?

It creates an artificial distinction that doesn't seem to represent any sort of consistent characteristic or quality, except that they have been associated with magical thinking.

Yes, but the problem is that association might be obscuring real areas of potential interest, hidden by the mountains of grievous woo.

Could you give some examples of how you would differentiate the two, and how it would matter?
Linda

I will but I'm actually very tired and run down - but ten years ago I wrote a response to a piece by Richard Dawkins which addresses this i think - and I posted it on here during a discussion, at http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showthread.php?t=66829
fourth of fifth post down.

I believe I actually mention CSI(COP) and Randi in it. That was ten years ago, but still reflects my position...

cj x
 
I'm not sure I understand. Paranormal claims also seem to be exceptions to natural laws. And both seem to require a similar approach with respect to evidence - documenting that natural, known explanations have been ruled-out.

"appears to be" yes - but are they? From our current scientific position some inherently odd and weird ideas may seem 'paranormal - yet actually be entirely normal and mundane, just rare phenomena outside the scope of our current understanding.

Yes, there are many things we do not fully understand. Some people have selected an arbitrary subset of these things, applied some magical thinking and declared them paranormal. But from my perspective, they fit right in with all the other inherently odd and weird things I observe.

Yes. Paranormal = normal phenomena we just don't understand yet. Some will prove to be nonsense. Some will prove to be artefacts, just illusions created by some other effect or our gullibility. And so, I do not doubt, will turn out to be quite prosaic and normal once we understand them scientifically. So some phenomena will be sorted to the "rubbish" pile, some the "true" pile, and some the "this is why it seemed like that but what was really going on was..." pile.

So why not just call them normal? That is what science investigates, after all - stuff that seems weird. Lots of "paranormal" stuff is much less weird than the other stuff science investigates. I am reminded of one of my favourite Asimov quotes "the most exciting phrase to hear in science, the one that heralds new discoveries, is not Eureka! (I found it!) but rather, "hmm.... that's funny...."

Ghosts? Well a ghost is just a report of something- the causality underlying that report, the thing behind the human experience - could be many, many things. "Ghost" is just a category for a type of experience, and I gravely doubt there is one cause which explains even 5% of all "ghost" cases. However, yes, a ghost could be supernatural, and many claim they are, but could just as easily be natural - we look on the ghosts of dead stars, whether on TV, or in another sense in the sky at night. Generally I assume any phenomena I encounter in the natural world is naturalistic, so at best paranormal. Hume I'm afraid made me doubt the usefulness of "supernatural" - I even played with trying to envisage an entirely naturalistic interventionist theology a couple of weeks back, on another forum. :) SO if i see a goblin - well i am going to assume I'm hallucinating, but if we capture a goblin, and other people see and we get to study goblins - its natural. Goblins move from paranormal to normal.

Why were they paranormal to begin with?

And I still disagree that those who promote the idea of the paranormal are operating under the assumption that these phenomena will fall under normal science, once understood (especially if I consider the vehement rejection of any normal science explanations for these phenomena by paranormal researchers and practitioners). It seems that "violates laws of nature" is the key characteristic of their ideas. I probably have not been exposed to a representative sample, though. You probably have a better idea of the general attitude.

I agree totally. So, incidentally, did Robert Jahn for many years as I recall. Parapsychology is just anomalies research isn't it?

But not all anomalies are called paranormal. In fact, most anomalies are not taken up under the paranormal umbrella. And much of what gets called paranormal is not anomalous.

There is no particular characteristic that makes a phenomenon paranormal. Events I consider quite normal get brought into that category by others. It seems to consist of a hodge podge of normal events and a few anomalies to which magical thinking is applied when considering an explanation. The label paranormal doesn't seem to have much of anything to do with the actual events, and everything to do with the person considering the situation.

I'm suggesting that paranormal, as a category, serves only to describe the person talking about the phenomenon. It does not serve to describe any particular characteristic(s) of the phenomenon itself.

Yes, but the problem is that association might be obscuring real areas of potential interest, hidden by the mountains of grievous woo.

YES!

I will but I'm actually very tired and run down - but ten years ago I wrote a response to a piece by Richard Dawkins which addresses this i think - and I posted it on here during a discussion, at http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showthread.php?t=66829
fourth of fifth post down.

I believe I actually mention CSI(COP) and Randi in it. That was ten years ago, but still reflects my position...

cj x

Well done! Thank you for referencing that.

To elaborate on what you wrote and my perspective.....

The problem with continuing to refer to the paranormal and to consider parapsychology a separate field of study, is it gives the false impression that there exists a set of phenonomena that are fundamentally different from what is studied by normal science. That lumping these phenomena together implies that they share important characteristics. And that the characteristic "science cannot explain these phenomena" actually refers to a coherent, consistent, and real quality. Instead, what falls under paranormal is a small selection of the things that current science does not yet fully explain and a bunch of stuff that is readily explained (but the explanations are unpalatable to those who believe in magic). I think that when we talk about the paranormal, it should be made clearer that what we are really talking about is how beliefs can frame your perspective - that "paranormal" is a characteristic of a person, not a characteristic of any particular phenomenon.

Additional comments:

You refer to both supernatural and paranormal fairly interchangeably throughout the article, bolstering my position that there isn't any real difference between the two, in the way that they are generally used.

I completely agree with your criticism about Dawkin's comment about needing a psychiatrist. That is a very wrong way of thinking about it. It is far more revealing and enlightening to science to realize that people as normal as you and I (:)) can have these experiences.

Your criticism about Occam's Razor was based on a misapplication. Occam's Razor would not choose the "economical" explanation of "the medium is genuine" over "elaborate fraud". "The medium is genuine" requires a new (not proven independent of the example) entity - psi or some other force - in order to explain the results. "Elaborate fraud" is a known entity. Therefore, Occam's Razor would choose the parsimonious "elaborate fraud" and any claims by supporters of the paranormal that Occam's Razor supports paranormal explanations, on that basis, would be fallacious.

Linda
 
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Some will prove to be artefacts, just illusions created by some other effect or our gullibility. And so, I do not doubt, will turn out to be quite prosaic and normal once we understand them scientifically.

This is where your logic break. They also could very well ALL be rubbish. And up to now with the amount of data gathered and what hold as evidence from paranormal article, I would say they are all unrpoven rubbish without a shred of evidence.
 
Ah, but some have already. And I noticed my typo -that should read "some" not so. So I very much doubt it's all "rubbish" - must be some interesting stuff. Rubbish is a fairly subjective term anyway.


I liked your .sig I thought I'd talk about Quantum mechanics, just to see what you thought of my ideas -- originally from Dawkin's forum -- On QM - my problem with many paranormal hypotheses and paranormal believers stuff is two fold (QM = quantum mechanics...)

1. Scaling problems --The QM school of psi enthusiasts are attempting to apply stuff from a quantum level, like entanglement, to macro phenomena (ok molecular level) I always thought classical physics worked at the macro level??? - mind you my physics is crap, but this sounds well dodgy to me... Radin might be worth looking at The Entangled Mind, 2006. I have serious issues with it, but still worth reading - my physics is sub-GCSE (CSE in fact!) I'm quite logical though. So what is wrong with his ideas? Do QM really apply at non-quantum level in any way? Now Penrose with his Quantum Consciousness http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roger_Penrose#Physics_and_consciousness
is interesting at least. I believe its since been refuted, but at least it makes sense to me - there is a proposed mechanism?

2. The real issue is often what I call the Analogy Error. I developed this to try and explain to friends and colleagues why I refused to get excited about psi and QM. An ex-girlfriend of mine had the unenviable job of 'typesetting' - graphic layout these days - a journal of QM. I could never follow the maths. Never. I'd read the Abstracts, and then just look as the page swum before my eyes, formulae dissolving in to abstract ink blots. However, people I knew could - and would sometimes explain an article to me, using analogies. Now I think an awful lot of people understand QM through science journalism, books like The Tao of Pooh, or wikipedia articles. Yet these are all analogies. So I show a student a passage in Isaiah, traditionally associated with the Messiah being born in a cave. In Greek it says cave - in Hebrew the word is better translated "fasthold". Then they make the flip from reading the Christian interpretation, to seeing what's really there, and the original context...

Now my problem is because we don't speak the lingo, maths, most of us well enough to understand QM in its own terms, we understand it as an analogy, designed to model how it works. That is well and good, and allows us to grasp it easily. However if we then try to draw conclusions from the metaphor/analogy model, we might run in to real problems, unsupported by the mathematical reality of the QM. I'm not sure I am describing thsi well - I'm a ghosthunter and third rate theologian not a physicist - so I'll try one more example... If I look after my friend child Doris, and tell her mother,"Doris was as good as gold", it would be obvious that attempting to exchange her sterling or melt her down and make jewellery out of her would not work. The analogy doe snot always lead to flaws - if you took it as "Doris was cool and can visit again", fair enough. My main point however is that the analogies used to describe QM are not QM, and non-physicists should be wary of drawing conclusions from the analogy.

I may simply be talking complete crap of course. I often do.

cj x
 
Just got Bob Park's latest "What's New" and he comments on the closure - his last sentence caused me a chuckle or two:

...snip...

Exciting huh? They report "deviations from randomness" before major disasters, such as 9/11 and the "Christmas tsunami" in the Indian Ocean. They believe this is evidence of global consciousness. Or maybe RNGs are causing disasters http://bobpark.physics.umd.edu/WN05/wn021805.html ?
 
Have you ever found any ghosts?

Loads. I filmed some. :) I can replicate them at will. One involves a lampost, light rain, and someone being in the right place, the other at a famous UK haunted house just the owner lighting a wood fire, a blow hole and air currents. I have found a few genuinely bizarre cases though, which defy my explanation. I witnessed a couple with my own eyes in good light.

How do you get customers?

I don't - or rather I never charge the public, not even expenses. I work in paranormal TV occasionally, write a bit, and scrape by. About once a month I run a ghosthunting event, often for sceptics, but even then I prefer to work for near cost. I'm not really in to money. I also work in TV development and write rpgs as well as various academic commitments. I survive, but don't make a mint, probably because of my opposition to mediumship and psychism on principle... which is a hard stance to hold when you work in paranormal TV, and tends to not be popular with your bosses!


Do you have a website?

Nope. I get referrals, and contacted and asked to look at stuff, and have no desire to advertise. I'll normally ask someone more local. I'm pretty lazy. I have a few friends I have a little private forum with - I think some are members here (hard sceptics), others witches, mediums, and hard core Christians. We all get on ok, just chat. That's the closest thing... helps me keep perspective on how others see the world.
 
Linda, you raised many excellent points, and I'm not evading answering. I'm going to have a look at a church, and will answer tonight. My old reply to Dawkins was useful?

cj x
 
Loads. I filmed some. :) I can replicate them at will. One involves a lampost, light rain, and someone being in the right place, the other at a famous UK haunted house just the owner lighting a wood fire, a blow hole and air currents. I have found a few genuinely bizarre cases though, which defy my explanation. I witnessed a couple with my own eyes in good light.

Can you make those "genuinely bizarre" cases available so we can examine them?

I don't - or rather I never charge the public, not even expenses. I work in paranormal TV occasionally, write a bit, and scrape by. About once a month I run a ghosthunting event, often for sceptics, but even then I prefer to work for near cost. I'm not really in to money. I also work in TV development and write rpgs as well as various academic commitments. I survive, but don't make a mint, probably because of my opposition to mediumship and psychism on principle... which is a hard stance to hold when you work in paranormal TV, and tends to not be popular with your bosses!

Which shows have you been on? What places did you have to investigate?

Nope. I get referrals, and contacted and asked to look at stuff, and have no desire to advertise. I'll normally ask someone more local. I'm pretty lazy. I have a few friends I have a little private forum with - I think some are members here (hard sceptics), others witches, mediums, and hard core Christians. We all get on ok, just chat. That's the closest thing... helps me keep perspective on how others see the world.

What's the forum's URL?
 
My experience communicating with some (the ones that make the others look bad) members of skeptical clubs, sure.
 
Linda, you raised many excellent points, and I'm not evading answering. I'm going to have a look at a church, and will answer tonight. My old reply to Dawkins was useful?

cj x

Yes, and nicely written, too.

I don't have anything to add to your post about analogies and the scaling issue in QM - you did a good job of describing the problems.

Get some rest. :)

Linda
 
With that type of mind reading ability you could win a million dollars!

If you lept from

My experience communicating with some (the ones that make the others look bad) members of skeptical clubs, sure.

to inferring "mind reading", you may need to update your critical thinking skills.
 
If you lept from



to inferring "mind reading", you may need to update your critical thinking skills.

Didn't "leap from" anywhere - just read what you posted and claimed, and since mind-reading is the only way you could know what you posted was a fact mentioned that you could win a lot of money with such an ability.

Unless of course you were just making it up?
 

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