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Loch Ness Monster real?

You wouldn't? Not when you see the other shot of the same footage? You don't think this screams 'feline'?


[qimg]http://img.villagephotos.com/p/2004-8/799047/fentiger.jpg[/qimg]

I can't see what else it can possibly be if not feline.

I'm not now sure which pictures are being discussed. The one that Wm Parcher posted, with the white back legs, looks pretty convincingly like a domestic pussycat or "moggie" to me. The one that you posted in company with a big spotted cat and a well fed looking moggie looks too vague to identify for sure. If those are both shots from the same footage, then I think that it's footage of a housecat, distorted in some portions by distance and blur. If it's different beasts, then I think Parchers is a cat for sure, and most likely a moggie, and yours is maybe a cat.

I am not doubting that alien cats have gotten loose in England, and occasionally been spotted, photographed and caught. I'm only doubting that some of the pictures involved constitute reliable evidence by themeselves of anything at all except the presence of some probably feline animal.
 
I am not doubting that alien cats have gotten loose in England, and occasionally been spotted, photographed and caught. I'm only doubting that some of the pictures involved constitute reliable evidence by themeselves of anything at all except the presence of some probably feline animal.

Exactly; hence my analogy with urban myths before. The crypto guys assume a phenomenon from a few scattered cases of escape, where none need exist. They're drawing connections between folk legends (eg black shuck) and found big cats (say an escaped leopard cat) and in turn with anecdotal reports of other animals ("I saw something in a field, looked to me like a big cat"). Again, where no connection need exist. I can only assume, because like good 'ol Fox Mulder, they "want to believe".

Carcharadon said:
There has been alien cats wandering around Britain. Who called it a 'phenomenon' anyway? It isn't really. It isn't all that remarkable to have 'some' alien big cats wandering around parts of Britain. I never said there were lots of them. I never said all the pictures undoubtedly show alien big cats.

Just spotted this; let me clarify in light of it (and sorry for the continued hijack). If you were simply claiming that several big cats have escaped/been released by their owners over the years, then you'll find no scepticism from me; you have the corpses, and the photos of those. And no, it isn't all that remarkable. But you're not just saying that, are you? You're posting lots of other photos, and claiming that those also represent said cats. To me, whether you call it such or not, that is a "phenomenon"; the phenomenon of big cats at large in the British countryside, as opposed to a handful that survived for an amount of time before being recaptured or killed. Do you see the difference? One is in line with the physical evidence, and the other is plainly "reaching"; extrapolating beyond the limits of the evidence. To me, it's like the urban myths; you get an email urging you to check wherever you sit for dirty needles because of some attached tall tale. Well, some individuals no doubt will have been stuck by a used needle; it doesn't mean that we should all be afraid of that happening to us. Same thing here; big cats have got out. Doesn't mean there are X many out there right now.
 
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Just spotted this; let me clarify in light of it (and sorry for the continued hijack). If you were simply claiming that several big cats have escaped/been released by their owners over the years, then you'll find no scepticism from me; you have the corpses, and the photos of those. And no, it isn't all that remarkable. But you're not just saying that, are you?

Yes I am. I even said there might be a dozen or two dozen (whatever) wandering around. There might be a periodical replenishment when the odd illegal owner of one of these exotic pets decide to let them loose.

You're posting lots of other photos, and claiming that those also represent said cats.
No I didn't. I only posted examples of TWO that I found very convincing. It was Willian Parcher who posted all the other pictures. I didn't. Go and look at my posts again. I merely said that there are some examples of pictures which are clearly not showing moggies. William Parcher then asked to see them and I gave him a link to sniff around. He then went to that link and found the examples that he thought were the most controversial....and posted them here. He ignored all the shot or captured examples by the way until I then brought them up.

To me, whether you call it such or not, that is a "phenomenon"; the phenomenon of big cats at large in the British countryside, as opposed to a handful that survived for an amount of time before being recaptured or killed. Do you see the difference?
Yes I do see the difference, which is why I am not arguing, for example, that there are hundreds of them breeding all over the place. The point is that some scoftics will poo poo everything, even though we have proof that there has been wild alien cats roaming around the British countryside.
Same thing here; big cats have got out. Doesn't mean there are X many out there right now.
And conversely doesn't mean that when certain witnesses claim to have seen an alien big cat that we should ignore them or ridicule them, or say they are mistaken....when we have bona fide proof that some have been found out there. Let me ask you two questions.

1. What do you think about the so called 'Fen Tiger' around Cambridgeshire, considering we have eye witness reports plus a piece of footage that clearly isn't showing a mere moggy?

2. How about, for example, the Beast Of Bodmin, which also had many eye witness reports, even from an ex Royal Marine Commandos sent to try and hunt it?

http://www.scottishbigcats.co.uk/ourpress307.htm
 
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I read something interesting recently, that the more famous of the Loch Ness monster pictures were actually of an elephant that waded into the loch. A circus had parked on the banks, and one of its showmen took the happy snaps, either with deliberate subterfuge on his mind or simply as a memento, which became the Nessie evidence we all have grown to love. I'll have to find where I read that.

Nonetheless, butchers of the word 'evidence' love to quibble over what it means when it comes to proving the existence of cryptozoological specimens.

Does evidence for Nessie exist? Well, first of all, evidence is a subjective term applied to various artefacts and articles of information, applied when an individual is satisfied that the article represents a true representation of the phenomena. Hence, while a person can legitimately describe anything as evidence, they are then obliged to support that description with reason. An article gains strength as evidence if it is unique to a phenomena. Hence, a burnt spot on my carpet could indeed be evidence for the devil, although it is rather weak as that due to the fact that other phenomena could account for this observation as well.

Therefore, evidence is not proof, by any means, but rather a comment on the confidence one has in a claim. The claimed evidence surrounding the existence of the Loch Ness monster is arguably rather weak. Photographs could well be evidence, however there are many other phenomena which could account for them. Anecdotes are the same. Since there are no other articles or observations, such as remains or prints, then the weight of evidence supporting the claim is remarkably weak.

It then falls to the individual to accept the claim on such minimal evidence. Nobody can be begrudged doing this, however if this threshold of evidence for belief is so low, one can only wonder how they manage to believe in any claim that has such minimal evidence. If they aren't that credulous, they must be selective in those claims they support on such minimal evidence, and hence are letting their desires influence their thinking.

Athon
 
Nonetheless, butchers of the word 'evidence' love to quibble over what it means when it comes to proving the existence of cryptozoological specimens.
There are a lot of these clowns, lately. Apparently adolescent little hissy fits and incessant badgering is good deflection for the fact that beyond their vitriol they have nothing substantial to support their beliefs. Doubt based on poor evidence can do little against the erratic emotions of the monster fixated romantic.
 
I read something interesting recently, that the more famous of the Loch Ness monster pictures were actually of an elephant that waded into the loch. A circus had parked on the banks, and one of its showmen took the happy snaps, either with deliberate subterfuge on his mind or simply as a memento, which became the Nessie evidence we all have grown to love. I'll have to find where I read that.

No, that was merely a claim/ suggestion There is no more supporting evidence for that then there is for some mysterious 'monster' in the Loch.

Nonetheless, butchers of the word 'evidence' love to quibble over what it means when it comes to proving the existence of cryptozoological specimens.

I don't think many claim to 'prove' anything. Most suggest the possibilty there 'could be' something mysterious.


Therefore, evidence is not proof, by any means, but rather a comment on the confidence one has in a claim.

Who is saying otherwise?

The claimed evidence surrounding the existence of the Loch Ness monster is arguably rather weak.

Admittedly. But on the flip side it isn't non existant either.

Photographs could well be evidence, however there are many other phenomena which could account for them. Anecdotes are the same. Since there are no other articles or observations, such as remains or prints, then the weight of evidence supporting the claim is remarkably weak.

But is it ruled out completely altogether?

It then falls to the individual to accept the claim on such minimal evidence.

One doesn't even have to accept it. There is a midway. The midway would be "hmmmmmm, possibly"

Nobody can be begrudged doing this, however if this threshold of evidence for belief is so low, one can only wonder how they manage to believe in any claim that has such minimal evidence.

Depends on what the 'claim' is. A previously uncatalogued flesh and blood animal? Or supernatural being? Both do not equate to each other.

If they aren't that credulous, they must be selective in those claims they support on such minimal evidence, and hence are letting their desires influence their thinking.

Athon

I hear this a lot. I have no deep rooted 'desire' to want bigfoot, the Loch Ness Monster or big cats to be out there. No skin off my nose if they aren't. I don't sleep at night dreaming about them. If they are proven not to exist it will not effect my life in any way, shape or form beyond visiting the odd message board.

Recently it was suggested in this thread there is a desire to 'want' big cats to be on the loose in Britain. Excuse me??? I have no desire whatsoever to have a panther or a puma waiting in the woods and watching me as I go on my rambles and walks. No thanks.
 
Carch, I wouldn't say that you are arguing this because you want big cats to be living in UK. But it does appear as if you do want eyewitnesses to be believed, and ultimately for them to be correct.

The problem is with witnesses ability to accurately tell us what they saw. The photos I posted show that witnesses can be spectacularly wrong. But it's worse than that - because the big cat research websites seem to be wrong as well since they are either unable or unwilling to purge the moggies from their photo/video evidence base. We may not even know the full extent of how many and how frequently moggie pics are presented as panthers. These websites and even news agencies may have already rejected scores of moggie photos because they are too obvious. We only see the pics and videos that we are shown.

We can't make the best evaluation of the Fen Tiger, because we are deprived of the video. We do have the statement of one zoologist, but he suggests it may be a black puma which puts his credibility in question.

Since we know that many people see (and photograph) black moggies and then tell others that they saw a panther or puma(!) - what are we supposed to think of the Beast of Bodmin? You say an ex-Royal Marine Commando saw it. Did he receive training on distinguishing moggies from panthers by the military?

Hoaxers are another wildcard. We know they exist because they have been caught. Hoaxers don't need to be released from a cage before roaming the UK countryside.
 
I only posted examples of TWO that I found very convincing. It was Willian Parcher who posted all the other pictures. I didn't. Go and look at my posts again. I merely said that there are some examples of pictures which are clearly not showing moggies. William Parcher then asked to see them and I gave him a link to sniff around. He then went to that link and found the examples that he thought were the most controversial....and posted them here. He ignored all the shot or captured examples by the way until I then brought them up.

I said: Let's see these pictures.
You said: Have a sniff around here for starters (ScottishBigCats).

You told me to go look at the photo evidence and I did. I found some obvious moggies. Would you agree that at least some of those animals are moggies? If so, would you then agree that you and I are actually more observant and accurate than the big cat researchers and witnesses themselves?

I regard this as a problem in the UK (and a cultural phenomenon in itself). You may not. The same situation is happening in America and Australia. People see (and photograph) a moggie and then holler "panther!"
 
Let me break in with a voice from Wyoming, where my brother lives and has always lived.*

In the Big Horn Mountains, panthers have been increasing in numbers for the last 20 years; sightings and encounters are becoming frequent.

My brother once encountered a panther: it was trying to hide under somebody's pickup truck. From a safe distance, he watched as the cat gathered courage, slithered out from under the pickup, and skulked away, belly to the ground and snarling often over its shoulder.

My brother said that while the panther was under the vehicle "you would have sworn it was no bigger than a tabby cat." As the distance increased, the animal seemed to grow larger and more panther-like; by the time it had reached the edge of the timber and was about to disappear, it looked full-size, utterly un-tabby-like, and clearly a mountain lion.

My brother said the illusion was uncanny -- and he's been living among wild animals all his life. Would the illusion appear in a video? I doubt it, although it would seem that panthers are awfully good at crouching and creeping. Would the illusion appear in a still picture? Quite possibly, simply because the visual scene in a still picture provides fewer clues as to scale.

* Funny, I'm supposed to be the smart one. Oh well.

ETA: What's so cryptozoological about a big cat occasionally escaping into the English countryside? And I hope that, like many a wild one, he flees north into Scotland and lives a free life among the free.
 
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They seem to have the reverse illusion in UK. People are seeing and photographing black moggies and saying they are "panther-sized".
 
At the "Secret Gubmint Conspiracy to Know All About Mysterious Animals and Hide it From the Rubes Database" of course...where else???
 
No, that was merely a claim/ suggestion There is no more supporting evidence for that then there is for some mysterious 'monster' in the Loch.

Oh, I disagree. And here's why;

Evidence goes beyond the immediate. If I tell you 'I have a cat at home', and show you a photo of it, you might think that it is only the photo which constitutes evidence. And the evidence for it is weak -- that same article (the photograph) could be accounted for by other phenomena (another person's cat, for instance, or a stuffed one even).

Now, inisinuating that I'm probably mistaken would be ridiculous. Why? Because there is far more evidence here than which is apparent -- every time you've seen a cat at somebody's place constitutes evidence supporting my claim. The very fact that it is historically reported that people have had cats as pets, and that shops sell cat toys...it all constitutes a little bit of evidence supporting the possibility that my claim (I have a cat at home) is true.

So if I told you I had a polar bear at home, and showed you a picture, you might be somewhat dubious, even if I showed you a photo of a polar bear in a lounge room. There is less evidence that polar bears are kept as pets, let alone in some suburban neighbourhood. You'd demand further evidence.

Lastly, if somebody said 'I have a dinosaur at home', and showed a picture, the evidence provided would be near non-existent. Indeed, that single photo would constitute the total evidence, and in itself be rather weak.

The elephant theory is supported by evidence that a) elephants are known to exist, b) a circus was on the shore of the Loch at the approxiamate time of the photographs c) elephants are known to go into the water with their trunks raised and d) the photographs could be of elephant trunks. The 'unknown animal' theory is supported by the photographs, and that on occasion new animal species are discovered (both incredibly weak forms of evidence) and that's all.

I don't think many claim to 'prove' anything. Most suggest the possibilty there 'could be' something mysterious.

Care to quantify that 'could be'? There 'could be' mole men under the earth, yet to take the possibility seriously and waste any time using that information to make decisions would require enough evidence to reach a threshold where people think it's more than just daydream speculation. Otherwise, what's to separate one speculative claim from the next?

Admittedly. But on the flip side it isn't non existant either.

And here's my point. At what point is it safe to say it is non-existent? I'm quite prepared to change my views when supportive evidence reaches my personal threshold, but until then, it just doesn't exist. There's no middle ground here - either it is real or it isn't. And in order for it to be considered real, I require the same amount of evidence that I would for anything else I believe in. Until that happens, it does not exist.

I can keep my mind open to the possibility of new evidence, but that's not the equivalent of having a present stance that something is possibly real.

But is it ruled out completely altogether?

That's not how science works. Acknowledgement of a phenomena relies on accumulation of evidence. Until a claim has that evidence, it cannot be supported. In the same way, I haven't 'ruled out' fairies, aliens, honest politicians or Elvis's clone living in a New York apartment. But none of those things I will entertain a single thought until I have reason to. Until then, they don't exist.

One doesn't even have to accept it. There is a midway. The midway would be "hmmmmmm, possibly"

That 'possibly' is the ability for somebody to change their stance when sufficient evidence accumulates. It is not some Schrodinger's cat, where a claim is both alive and dead at the same time.

Depends on what the 'claim' is. A previously uncatalogued flesh and blood animal? Or supernatural being? Both do not equate to each other.

No, although I suspect you're throwing a bit of a red herring in here.

The notion that uncatalogued organisms have been discovered in modern times is indeed evidence in support of the likes of the Loch Ness Monster and Bigfoot. But again, in the absence of any other material, it does little to increase the likelihood of these things being real. Dinosaurs once existed, and organisms which have remained unchanged for millions of years have been discovered, which lends evidence to the fact that dinosaurs could to. Yet this does not advance into demonstrating that dinosaurs continue to live today. For that claim to be made, further evidence would be required.

I hear this a lot. I have no deep rooted 'desire' to want bigfoot, the Loch Ness Monster or big cats to be out there. No skin off my nose if they aren't. I don't sleep at night dreaming about them. If they are proven not to exist it will not effect my life in any way, shape or form beyond visiting the odd message board.

You're kidding? Well, you must be kidding yourself, at least. Hell, I have a desire for it to exist. How cool would that be?!! The fact you act blase about their existence seems incomprehensible. You obviously take the possibility seriously enough to defend it...

Anyway, it's that last sentence I find odd. 'If they are proven to not exist...' is a safe out; you know full well that this statement is impossible. Nothing can be proven to not exist, and this comment of yours hints again at the fact that you don't understand how science works.

The reality of something is demonstrated by accumulation of evidence. I can't repeat that enough. I cannot prove that purple unicorns don't exist, but in order for them to achieve 'exist' status, I simply need to produce sufficient evidence.

Athon
 
I nominated you for that one Athon...

Thanks mate.

I really have to get around to writing a web page one day on the nature of evidence, and how people abuse the term. Just so I can put a link to it every time somebody demonstrates an ignorance on the words 'proof' and 'evidence'.

Saves time and effort then.

Athon
 
I should probably expand on one point, however, as I'm certain that it could become a point of contention. I said;

That 'possibly' is the ability for somebody to change their stance when sufficient evidence accumulates. It is not some Schrodinger's cat, where a claim is both alive and dead at the same time.

I stand by this, however I should clarify, that while something either exists or it doesn't, one can have a gradient of confidence in the veritibility of something.

I've got very little confidence (practically zero) that Elvis is still alive. I have a small amount of confidence (close to, but not zero) that aliens have landed on earth and interacted with humans in an intelligent manner. I have a medium amount of confidence that string theory goes some way to marrying quantum with classical physics. I have great confidence that Darwinian evolution explains global biodiversity.

I'll give Caracharadon the benefit of the doubt and assume that he has a moderate level of confidence in the existence of a sizeable, non-classified organism living in Loch Ness.

How does this level of confidence equate with a belief in the nature of what is real and what is not? Unfortunately, it doesn't. Objectively, something either exists or it doesn't. My confidence in it does not matter one way or another. What does impact on objective reality is the manner in which I use that confidence to make decisions in my life, and how those decisions impact on others.

If I sit in an arm-chair and say 'I am fairly confident that fairies exist', without telling anybody or doing so much as speaking my belief out loud (let alone getting up and looking for a fairy, or basing a single decision on the possibility), then this belief is entirely innocuous and is no different to a non-belief in fairies.

Yet, is this realistic? I can't say it would be common; we all make decisions based on our levels of confidence in a claim. I would never buy fairy teeth from a street-vendor, as I don't believe in fairies. I might buy a fossilised dinosaur tooth, as I am extremely confident that dinosaurs once existed.

If this level of confidence in the Loch Ness monster encourages individuals to inspire a culture where decisions are made in the belief it exists, in spite of the fact that this is based on an exaggerated level of confidence, then we have cause for concern. Money and resources that could be better spent elsewhere is one practical concern, however falsely increased confidence levels can be damaging to society in less concrete ways.

Anyway, I thought I should clarify the difference between 'existence versus non-existence' as a dilemma, and a spectrum of confidence in terms of personal belief.

That is all. :)

Athon
 
You could really have some fun over in the Bigfoot threads ..

My basic contention is that anything can be evidence, but you can't ignore the question of exactly what it is evidence of..

i.e. No footprints can be considered evidence of Bigfoot until you show that the critter exists.
Lacking that, they are only evidence that a print was made, and at best; what a Bigfoot print might look like, if such a creature does exist ..
 
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