Michael Shermer on "The Scientific Method"*
Elements of the
scientific method ( hypothetico-deductive):
Induction -- Forming a hypothesis by drawing general conclusions from existing data.
Deduction -- Making specific predictions based on the hypothesis.
Observation -- Gathering data, driven by hypothesis that tell us what to look for in nature.
Verification -- Testing the predictions against further observations to confirm or falsify the initial hypothesis.
Through the scientific method, we may form the following generalizations:
Hypothesis -- A testable statement accounting for a set of observations.
Theory -- A well-supported and well-tested hypothesis or set of hypotheses.
Fact -- A conclusion confirmed to such an extent that it would be reasonable to offer provisional agreement.
Through the scientific method, we aim for
objectivity: basing conclusions on external validation. And we avoid
mysticism: basing conclusions on personal insights that elude external validation.
Science leads us toward
rationalism: basing conclusions on logic and evidence. And science helps us avoid
dogmatism: basing conclusions on authority rather than logic and evidence.
It is important to recognize the fallibility of science and the scientific method. But within this fallibility lies its greatest strength: self-correction.
A
scientific law is a description of a regularly repeating action that is open to rejection or confirmation.
Scientific progress is the cummulative growth of a system of knowledge over time, in which useful features are retained, and nonuseful features are abandoned, based on the rejection or confirmation of testable knowledge.
Pseudoscience: claims presented so that they appear scientific even though they lack supporting evidence and plausibility.
Modern
skepticism is embodied in the scientific method, which involves gathering data to test natural explanations for natural phenomenon. A claim becomes factual when it is confirmed to such an extent that it would be reasonable to offer temporary agreement. But all facts in science are provisional and subject to challenge, and therefore skepticism is a method leading to provisional conclusions.
A
skeptic is one who questions the validity of a particular claim by calling for evidence to prove or disprove it.