Brainster
Penultimate Amazing
- Joined
- May 26, 2006
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Emerson College poll out today:
Buttigieg seems like a non-starter; he has been unable to get any support at all from Black voters. Shapiro? I don't see a supporter of Israel getting the nomination. Newsom's support has been dropping in Emerson's polling from 25% in August 2025 to 20% in February and 16% today. AOC? She's gone from 4% to 9% to 11% in that same series of polls. Beshear has some appeal as a Democrat who has proven he can win in a red state, and his support has been growing as well. Harris? The last Democrat to lose a presidential election and then come back to win the nomination was Adlai Stevenson in 1952/1956, but the circumstances were dramatically different. Stevenson was seen as a sacrificial candidate since there was little hope of beating Eisenhower in either year. Indeed he was a little chapped that he wasn't the presumptive nominee in 1960. By comparison, nobody among the Democrats thought Trump was unbeatable in 2024.
Former Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg leads the Democratic primary with 18%, followed by California Governor Gavin Newsom at 16%, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 11%, Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro at 10%, former Vice President Kamala Harris at 10%, and Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear at 9%. Eighteen percent are undecided.
Buttigieg seems like a non-starter; he has been unable to get any support at all from Black voters. Shapiro? I don't see a supporter of Israel getting the nomination. Newsom's support has been dropping in Emerson's polling from 25% in August 2025 to 20% in February and 16% today. AOC? She's gone from 4% to 9% to 11% in that same series of polls. Beshear has some appeal as a Democrat who has proven he can win in a red state, and his support has been growing as well. Harris? The last Democrat to lose a presidential election and then come back to win the nomination was Adlai Stevenson in 1952/1956, but the circumstances were dramatically different. Stevenson was seen as a sacrificial candidate since there was little hope of beating Eisenhower in either year. Indeed he was a little chapped that he wasn't the presumptive nominee in 1960. By comparison, nobody among the Democrats thought Trump was unbeatable in 2024.