A few observations, as veterans of our country’s wars:
1. The Ukrainians' incredible will to fight is the difference in this war. Our veterans of Vietnam, Iraq and Afghanistan dealt with training forces with unity issues. Ukrainians have no such issues.
2. Russia’s lack of a NCO corps and sustainment has led to operational chaos. Troops being lost, not knowing their mission, or running out of fuel. We see these stories all over the place.
3. Nothing is guaranteed, but Ukraine CAN win this war when all is said and done, because their will to fight and defend their homeland is more powerful than an invading Army in chaos that lacks synchronization.
4. Putin’s attempts to take all of Ukraine has made Ukraine stronger, and opposition against Putin and Russia stronger among the people.
5. There is no way Ukrainian people will accept a puppet government, so even in the short-term if it appears Russia is more powerful, in the end they will lose during stability operations.
6. Each day this war lasts, opposition in Russia increases. Wars become increasingly hard to win if support falters at home. Even for Putin.
7. The experts know a lot, but war is a human experience. It isn't a board game. You can win every battle and lose a war. Successful operations have to support a strategic idea.
8. Russia and Putin are on the ropes. They can’t coordinate war fighting functions of fires, maneuver, and sustainment. Without it, their ground invasion will be very costly or simply fail.
9. The longer Ukraine fights, the less likely Russia wins.
That's why, in our view, it is increasingly likely Ukraine

will defeat Russia in their homeland, in the end.