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2020 Presidential Election part 2

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Here's a graph extrapolation - presumably using a quadratic equation formula - showing the end result to be 53K in Biden's favour.

From a tweet:

Biden will most likely win #Pennsylvania by more than 50,000 (53,535) votes, as #BlueShift projections show - The relationship between remaining votes and Biden's lead is stunningly stable. #Election2020results #Elecciones2020 #USWahlen2020 | Data stream by
@alex_gaynor
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However, were calculating election by mathematical formulae an infallible method of ascertaining electoral outcome, we wouldn't need to bother with counting any further!
 

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Vixen said:
Here's a graph extrapolation - presumably using a quadratic equation formula - showing the end result to be 53K in Biden's favour.

From a tweet:




However, were calculating election by mathematical formulae an infallible method of ascertaining electoral outcome, we wouldn't need to bother with counting any further!
Click to expand...
Dave Wasserman (The Cook Political Report) even goes further:
"If anything, I think people doing simple extrapolation are *underestimating* the additional margin Biden could get from the remaining uncounted Philly ballots, for this reason."

Detailed argumentation: https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1324961426742661121
 
Trump Tweeted on Dec 24, 2016

Vladimir Putin said today about Hillary and Dems: "In my opinion, it is humiliating. One must be able to lose with dignity." So true!
 
Donald Trump Jr. tweeted

@DonaldJTrumpJr
Does anyone really believe that Joe Biden shattered Obama’s historic 2008 numbers?
Does anyone really believe that he did that mostly in big cities?
C’mon man!!!
 
Kevin Sorbo tweeted

@ksorbs
Joe Biden has gotten more votes than any other president ever. Even more than Obama. That sounds totally legit
 
The Military ballots in Georgia, 3-1 to Biden?

Not surprising, soldiers want a commander that doesn't call them suckers and losers.
 
Rudy W. Giuliani tweeted

@RudyGiuliani
Americans are giving us so much evidence of election misconduct, it’s a full time job to follow up.
Some really powerful cases will come down very soon.
 
Captain_Swoop said:
Rudy W. Giuliani tweeted

@RudyGiuliani
Americans are giving us so much evidence of election misconduct, it’s a full time job to follow up.
Some really powerful cases will come down very soon.
Click to expand...

Translation:
"I actually don't have anything, so I will continue to do what I do best -- **** in the pool."
 
It’s funny to see the idea that more people like Biden than Trump slowly forming in their minds in real time. Like it had never occurred to them that it’s possible. They’re not there yet, but they’ll get there eventually.
 
Firestone said:
Dave Wasserman (The Cook Political Report) even goes further:
"If anything, I think people doing simple extrapolation are *underestimating* the additional margin Biden could get from the remaining uncounted Philly ballots, for this reason."

Detailed argumentation: https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1324961426742661121
Click to expand...

That's true. There are several ways of looking at this:

  • the demographics of the remaining votes by area
  • recent historical voting
  • poll predictions - self reporting
  • the level of certainty

As the future is always uncertain, I like to factor in a level of caution. As we have seen people who claim to have voted Biden must have voted Trump. People like to 'follow the crowd' so might feel shy about admitting their true political allegiance.
 
Captain_Swoop said:
Donald Trump Jr. tweeted

@DonaldJTrumpJr
Does anyone really believe that Joe Biden shattered Obama’s historic 2008 numbers?
Does anyone really believe that he did that mostly in big cities?
C’mon man!!!
Click to expand...

Donald Trump Jnr's laptop, as caught on camera.
 

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Eric Trump tweets

@EricTrump
Does anyone believe that Biden, a candidate who had a tough time filing a room, got 8.89 million more votes than Obama 2012? This while @realDonaldTrump set vote records never seen before in the Republican Party (achieved 7.5 million more votes 2016) and is “down”?
 
Captain_Swoop said:
Eric Trump tweets

@EricTrump
Does anyone believe that Biden, a candidate who had a tough time filing a room, got 8.89 million more votes than Obama 2012? This while @realDonaldTrump set vote records never seen before in the Republican Party (achieved 7.5 million more votes 2016) and is “down”?
Click to expand...

I believe it, Eric. A lot of people hate your Daddy. And being able to fill a room doesn’t translate to votes at the ballot box. Ask Bernie Sanders.
 
Skeptic Ginger said:
Declaring is a mere formality. Best to just get on with developing your transition team which I think is what he's doing.
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Agreed.

It'll take at least two months just to get a start on finding all the worthless Trumpista sycophants and sinecures and weeding them out. Not to mention seeing how many of the competent, experienced, and apolitical workers that Trump dumped are willing to come back to work.
 
"Donald Trump attacked Science, and now he's about to get his ass kicked by Science's older brother, Math." - Seen on the intertubes.
 
Captain_Swoop said:
Eric Trump tweets

@EricTrump
Does anyone believe that Biden, a candidate who had a tough time filing a room, got 8.89 million more votes than Obama 2012? This while @realDonaldTrump set vote records never seen before in the Republican Party (achieved 7.5 million more votes 2016) and is “down”?
Click to expand...


They just can't understand that not endangering the public by not holding crowded rallies during a pandemic is a good thing, can they?
 
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