TurkeysGhost
Penultimate Amazing
- Joined
- Apr 2, 2018
- Messages
- 35,043
Polling 2016 and now
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/biden-is-polling-better-than-clinton-at-her-peak/
Not mentioned in the article is Jill Stein. Hillary lost the rust belt states by the amount of votes given to Jill Stein.
Should it have been?
Did the Greens perform unusually well in 2016? Is there any evidence that 3rd party voting was more of a factor in this election than it ever is? Pointing at the normal amount of people voting Green smacks of special pleading for people not willing to admit that HRC just ran a poor campaign and that people don't really like her that much as a politician.
The Libertarian party outperformed the Greens (3% vs 1%) and it seems likely that these right wing voters would have been more likely to vote Trump if 3rd party was not an option. The elimination of 3rd party likely would have only increased Trump's lead, not narrow it.
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