Thanks for both your posts. (and for the peanut gallery I am unclear on your genitals and don't think it's relevant) I was going to do a piecemeal reply to your long post but it might not be helpful. So i'll just ping a few thoughts out.
I think we need to tease a couple of things apart. Are we saying that the justification for excluding transpeople is ACTUAL risk, or are we saying that the justification is PERCEIVED risk and discomfort.
Who might be included in "we" could be problematic. I'm speaking for myself, although I'm sure other people share some of my opinions, but I'll answer for myself.
The answer is both, and the two interact. I'll try to explain.
There is a real risk of rape in the world, obviously. I think that risk is increased if the number of situations where men and women interact when unclothed is increased. However, I don't have numbers to say by exactly how much.
Moreover, while the overall risk of rape may go up slightly, there are situations where the real risk is, for all practical purposes, zero. I often discuss high school transgirls using the girls' locker room. The actual risk of rape in that case is so close to zero that it can be ignored. There are too many witnesses and a group of girls could easily defend against a single, unarmed, attacker.
So this is where the perceived risk comes in. First, I want to say that the term "perceived risk" isn't a very good choice. It suggests that it's an error or mistake, and that is very definitely not what I'm getting at. It's not so much a perceived risk, but rather an instinctive fear. It is a quite natural feeling. We call it "modesty" or "privacy" or "fear" or perhaps some other term, but the discomfort, anxiety, or fear is very real, and it is not irrational. It might be non-rational in some cases, but that's different.
I have suggested, without proof, that the origin of that fear or anxiety is the very real risk, generally, of sexual assault, but it isn't terribly important if I am right about that origin or not. The anxiety is still real, and still a negative, and it can't be erased simply by declaring that the person, who has all the equipment necessary for rape is really a woman. If you prefer to take rape out of the picture entirely, you could say that the person with all the equipment that men have. In other words, if it is perfectly natural to experience anxiety when disrobed in the presence of a man, it is just as natural to experience anxiety when disrobed in the presence of a transwoman, because in fact from the perspective of the disrobed person, the two situations are completely indistinguishable.
Because I think it matters and you seem to be flip-flopping between the two basically saying that it's not just discomfort because men are actually a danger but even if they aren't then it doesn't matter because the discomfort is still real.
So, yes. That's correct, or nearly so. See above.
Let me be clear on something. I do not believe that a woman saying 'i don't feel comfortable around a transwoman in a changing room' is saying anything more real or more valuable or more in need of acting upon than a man saying 'i don't feel comfortable around gay guys in the locker room' or 'i don't feel comfortable around black guys in the locker room'. I just don't.
I know. I think that's daft, and I think you consistently ignore all of the reasons presented to you why the situations aren't comparable, but so it goes.
I acknowledge all of these emotional responses are real emotional responses and I think the best answer to that is to provide private spaces for people who have discomfort issues where practical. And where it's not practical there is going to have be an element of 'suck it up'
I agree. I think those spaces are called "women's locker rooms".
The third element seems to be a dismissal on your side that transwomen are losing anything if they are banned from women's spaces or worse still that you don't really care if they are losing something or not.
That's close to correct.
In my last post I said that you need to provide a description of what the transwoman is losing if she isn't allowed to use the women's locker room. I note you haven't done so. I don't want to be in the situation where I am saying what's important to them. That's where straw men are born. So, you are advocating for access. What do you think they are losing if they don't get it?
I am specifically referring in this instance to a situation where there is a separate facility available that the transperson chooses to not use. In that case, they aren't losing privacy. They aren't losing access to the pool. They aren't losing safety. So, tell me what they are losing, and I'll tell you whether or not I dismiss it. If I understand the situation, I very likely will, but I want to be sure I understand what I'm dismissing before I dismiss it.