Maybe more like mid-April. The schools are mostly on holiday now because it is the end of the school year anyway. But they are due to reopen in the first or second week of April.
Ok, thanks. I was expecting a hit from the re-opening of public places, but the schools are the one I'm most curious about.
Apparantly people still aren't obeying the lock-down in Italy, which in some sense is good news: maybe it's not working not becuase it can't work, but just because in practice there isn't really a lock-down.
Sounds like the latter - 40% out and about isn't a lockdown at all.
I made comments about the end of January that I doubted western democracies' ability to do what China did in shutting people down.
For example, Germany has shown exactly 2 critical cases for quite a few days, in a period in which quite a few have died.
They probably figure it's irrelevant information at this stage. Someone - or several someones - in the medical system would need to spend time on something that's completely trivial when you get down to it.
A snapshot just now of the countries in positions 4 through 6 in total cases:
Notable is the marked difference in the total cases to deaths ratio.
All about testing. Test widely, get real data. Germany & South Korea provide the hope, Italy provides the evidence that if people don't work together - governments and citizens - the results are disastrous.
Education is a provincial responsibility in Canada, so school closures varied across the country. Some provinces closed schools as of Monday this week, while here in mine they stayed open all week. However a lot of parents kept their kids home and teachers were showing up to empty classrooms.
I took my kids out of school last Monday, because our testing has been so woefully inadequate, as we're now starting to see.
It would only need to survive until inhaled by another person nearby.
The question remains: Does the virus exist in exhalation at all?
Possibly, maybe even probably, but it doesn't matter.
Even if you inhale ten single viruses, the chances of catching Covid-19 are virtually zero. It's not measles, and the number of cases where people have sat close to infected people on aeroplanes for 16 hours and not caught it shows that it's not an effective means of transmission.
I tell ya, hand - mouth is the route. Here's another example - a family reunion, no doubt with lots of close contact and kissing and eating food together:
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-51978164
Worth noting that three of the dead were under 60, and one or two of them may have been well under.