The fact that like clockwork, respiratory infections surge in the community when kids go back to school after summer break begs to differ.
Bingo!
It's always easy to track through 'flu trackers, too.
Then you can add in Japan closing schools and not having anything like a European explosion.
Kids are driving this and I keep failing to see how people are missing that very important fact.
What can I use to clean microphone grilles? Theres a foam part and a metal part. This is my main point of terror right now. Everything else they tend not to touch
Can you disconnect the mic? Sticking it in an oven at 80 deg C for 10 minutes should kill viruses and hopefully not ruin the electronics.
I'm guessing that this is an idiosyncratic definition of "the Pacific", used colloquially in NZ and immediate surroundings?
Yep. We have an extraordinarily large Pasifika population - more than the islands themselves, apart from Fiji - and it's standard usage.
Given india's characteristics, if it were anything like italy (and started about a month earlier than italy did) we should be seeing bodies spilling out of there, headlines or not
Well, I've been banging the India drum for 6 weeks now.
It will come out sooner or later, and there won't be a lockdown there, because it would kill a lot more than the virus.
I'm very pleased travellers from India, of which we have truckloads, will be required to quarantine themselves.
Are we looking at a higher mortality rate in the specific genome of the virus that hit Italy (which went directly to Spain and Brazil through 'ski travelers' it seems), but lower rates elsewhere because of these small changes from what started in Wuhan?
(this would be apart from population densities and public transport numbers...if they can somehow extract that out and just concentrate on deaths per genetic population)
I think you'll find Italy is well behind on tests and the true number of infections understated by a factor of at least five. I'd expect them to have a slightly higher death rate due to the age of their population, but they have good hospitals and shouldn't be anywhere near the 5% they're showing right now.
Still many parts of the world where community spreading has yet to take off. Once it does, I guess some places will go through the same n months’ long cycle again, maybe even more than once.
And another bingo.
I was trying to make this point earlier in the economics thread - when countries get infection rates under control (if they manage it at all) it's going to burst right out as soon as people go back to work and kids go back to school.
It looks to me like we could be under lockdowns for a year and even then it wouldn't work, so I don't see any easy answers without vaccine or drugs, and they're both zero at the moment.