Aridas
Crazy Little Green Dragon
Looks like Impeachment proceedings have officially begun.
The Trump Presidency: Sweet/Sweat 16
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Segnosaur
Penultimate Amazing
Some more good polling news for the Democrats:
From: https://theweek.com/speedreads/864097/6-democratic-candidates-are-beating-trump-new-texas-poll
President Trump might not want to look at a new poll conducted by Univision and the University of Houston. The survey shows six Democratic presidential candidates leading the incumbent in Texas.... The poll also revealed that 40 percent of voters would vote for any Democratic candidate over Trump, compared to just 33 percent who are committed to voting for the president.
Again, with over a year to the election, there is no guarantee that this sort of lead will hold up. But it must be a worry to Republicans to see Texas, a state which has been solidly republican for decades (where the republicans often had double digit leads in the vote, and where Trump won by ~9%) go from a republican lock to a possible swing state.
Hopefully it will mean the GOP will be pouring all sorts of resources into Texas to try to shore up their support there (which will limit how much they can spend in some of the swing states.) Of course, the risk is that the democrats will similarly spend a lot of money there to try to flip the state when there are better targets out there.
From: https://theweek.com/speedreads/864097/6-democratic-candidates-are-beating-trump-new-texas-poll
President Trump might not want to look at a new poll conducted by Univision and the University of Houston. The survey shows six Democratic presidential candidates leading the incumbent in Texas.... The poll also revealed that 40 percent of voters would vote for any Democratic candidate over Trump, compared to just 33 percent who are committed to voting for the president.
Again, with over a year to the election, there is no guarantee that this sort of lead will hold up. But it must be a worry to Republicans to see Texas, a state which has been solidly republican for decades (where the republicans often had double digit leads in the vote, and where Trump won by ~9%) go from a republican lock to a possible swing state.
Hopefully it will mean the GOP will be pouring all sorts of resources into Texas to try to shore up their support there (which will limit how much they can spend in some of the swing states.) Of course, the risk is that the democrats will similarly spend a lot of money there to try to flip the state when there are better targets out there.
Yeah Texas was gonna go blue last time as well.
https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/09/clinton-texas-trump/499097/
https://www.texastribune.org/2016/09/07/brief/
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/can-democrats-turn-texas-and-arizona-blue-by-2016/
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opin...b55f5e-4de0-11e6-a422-83ab49ed5e6a_story.html
https://www.npr.org/2016/10/26/4994...lary-clinton-actually-win-the-lone-star-state
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/oct/22/democrats-texas-hillary-clinton-polls-donald-trump
https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/09/clinton-texas-trump/499097/
https://www.texastribune.org/2016/09/07/brief/
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/can-democrats-turn-texas-and-arizona-blue-by-2016/
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opin...b55f5e-4de0-11e6-a422-83ab49ed5e6a_story.html
https://www.npr.org/2016/10/26/4994...lary-clinton-actually-win-the-lone-star-state
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/oct/22/democrats-texas-hillary-clinton-polls-donald-trump
Skeptic Ginger
Nasty Woman
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2 weeks? That's more insulting than respectful. Probably just something for Trump to Tweet his own horn about.
No, according to Pelosi it's not an Impeachment Investigation it's a "Well you see it's a mumble, mumble hey look over there a squirrel!"
So the Dems are gonna spin their wheels over whether it's impeachment or sparkling Presidential Investigation's monster before if even gets to the House of Congress that's actually useful and has a purpose.
https://www.cnn.com/2019/09/12/poli...ion-vote-house-judiciary-committee/index.html
Segnosaur
Penultimate Amazing
Yes, there was talk of Texas flipping for the Democrats last time. But back then, the best opinion polls showed Trump and Clinton virtually tied; perhaps a reason to be optimistic, but not TOO optimistic. Now, we are talking about polls that show actual, solid Democratic leads.
(Again, it still is early. A better indication about their real support will be whether such a lead holds up after the primaries, when the Democrats have actually picked their candidate.)
Segnosaur
Penultimate Amazing
Maybe its an attempt to minimize the impact on christmas shopping. Granted, its still well before Christmas itself, but maybe Trump and the republicans figure waiting a few weeks will mean price increases due to tariffs won't hit until people have gotten some of their shopping done already.
Skeptic Ginger
Nasty Woman
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Ignorant, not awkward, like the idiot legislator who thought a cold spell with snow in DC meant climate warming couldn't be happening.
Belz...
Fiend God
If their hearts aren't into it they shouldn't do it at all, and focus on the elections.
Andy_Ross
Penultimate Amazing
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Trump Tweets
In fact, my views on Venezuela, and especially Cuba, were far stronger than those of John Bolton. He was holding me back!
Quote Tweet
Marco Rubio
@marcorubio
Just spoke to @realDonaldTrump on #Venezuela
It’s true he disagreed with some of the views of previous advisor
But as he reminded me it’s actually the DIRECT OPPOSITE of what many claim or assume
If in fact the direction of policy changes it won’t be to make it weaker
In fact, my views on Venezuela, and especially Cuba, were far stronger than those of John Bolton. He was holding me back!
Quote Tweet
Marco Rubio
@marcorubio
Just spoke to @realDonaldTrump on #Venezuela
It’s true he disagreed with some of the views of previous advisor
But as he reminded me it’s actually the DIRECT OPPOSITE of what many claim or assume
If in fact the direction of policy changes it won’t be to make it weaker
quadraginta
Becoming Beth
Watching the local media on a daily basis I did not see so much of this building this up as a bellwether election. Only what I have mentioned so far, that it was noteworthy that the margins were so close.
This was the case even before the cheating was exposed.
To say that the incredibly tight margin in a district with the GOP credentials which the 9th has had for half a century is a bellwether is not particularly misleading, and certainly can (IMO) be viewed as indicative of the coming general election.
What the producers of the various major news outlets decide to do with their airtime doesn't change my view of that at all.
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quadraginta
Becoming Beth
You bet. But were I to say what I want to there is no doubt that yellow cards and possibly suspensions would be in my future.
Definitely NSFW.
Yeah. That's a good start.
Our GOP here in NC has proven that there is nothing too low for them to stoop to.
Hellbound
Merchant of Doom
The GOP should swap from an elephant to a limbo bar.
Delphic Oracle
Philosopher
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Christmas is already here. Distros are so overstuffed it's already in store stock rooms and overheads.
Segnosaur
Penultimate Amazing
That's kind of worrysome.
If a known warmonger like Bolton was "holding Trump back", then what's going to happen now that Trump doesn't have that supposed moderation?
I can just imagine the conversation:
Bolton: "I think we should invade cuba and venezuela"
Trump: "Why can't we use nuclear weapons?"
Bolton: "That's unwise"
Trump: "You're fired"
Segnosaur
Penultimate Amazing
I'm not involved in the retail business at all...
Stores may be well stocked, but will that inventory last until after christmas? Or will they need to get new shipments as the inventory starts to sell out?
plague311
Great minds think...
It's not like that was totally out of right field or anything. Cruz won by, what? About 2%? No, they didn't win but it was certainly closer than the GOP had wanted.
I agree the Dems shouldn't push for Texas, treat it like every other election cycle. I think their focus should be on Florida mainly, and they should push relatively hard there because of the new wave of voters, and the fact that they have a bit of a love\hate relationship with Trump.
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ponderingturtle
Orthogonal Vector
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More likely interfering with our liberation of greenland.
Morally, logically, political, and socially you are correct.
Personally I live in a Florida county which is 40% registered Democrat and 36% registered Republican, and went for Trump by a margin of something like less than 2% last time and there's not enough liquor distilled on this continent to make me look forward to being voter in a swing metro area in a swing county of a swing state that during one of the most heated political elections in my lifetime.
kellyb
Penultimate Amazing
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In all seriousness, Trump was reported to want an actual direct invasion/ground war in Venezuela.
This is the guy who Trump has put in charge of Venezuela.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dXrxQghfuxA
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