Incorrect. We have not had Trump confirm or Deny he is DD.
We do have a statement from the white house that "Trump won the arbitration", suggesting that yes, indeed he is the DD.
If the NDA is invalid, she would likely return the money. I believe her attorney said that's not a problem.
Its probably not a problem, as she may earn a lot more from media interviews, book sales, etc.
But, as one analysis suggested, it may depend on the judge. Since some of the aspects of the case are so murky, the judge may determine rule that the money can be considered a "gift".
If the NDA is valid, then she probably needs to STFU or gets hit with the million dollar per incident fine.
I don't believe she would be fined. Fines involve punishment for breaking criminal law; this case is more about civil/contract law. She might be
sued for violating a valid agreement, but that would likely require Trump to show up in court and/or disclose things he would consider embarrassing.
If so, many people have made the argument that they don't believe it will matter much. I tend to agree, people have accepted that trump is a sleazy adulterer. This admission likely won't change any minds.
Once again... while most Trump supporters won't be swayed, it may cause a few to become disillusioned. Death by a thousand paper cuts.
And even if it doesn't change his level of support, the fact that it is bothering Trump provides some satisfaction. Trump is bad... he is a racist/bigot, and his policies have harmed (or will harm) millions of people. If we can't stop him we can at least get some enjoyment out of seeing him suffer too. Like the film of Hitler getting hit in the groin with a football.
Of course, this is assuming that Trump
doesn't suffer long term legal problems (such as being found guilty of fraud) over the issue.