Trump could win presidency: Yes or No?

Nov 4 place your bets

  • Trump will win, 100%

    Votes: 42 16.9%

  • Hilary will win, 100%

    Votes: 82 32.9%

  • Trump will win, but I'm worried Hil might triumph

    Votes: 9 3.6%

  • Hilary will win, but I'm scared the chances.

    Votes: 116 46.6%
  • Total voters
    249
T. Roosevelt said "talk softly and carry a big stick."
Trump definitely is in the top 1% when it comes to carrying big sticks, conversely he is in the bottom 1% when it comes to talking softly. A man of extremes - whatever is being measured, he never falls near the mean.
 
Foolmewunz said:
I think it's already hurting him. My read on the situation, which could be totally wrong, is that there's a ceiling in there for Trump and he's hit it. I feel that the last holdouts who were likely to switch to Trump came over with the OMG She's Dying nonsense. And some of that support is soft.

If I'm right, Trump's peaking at 40% of the vote and that won't get him elected. (Ignore the 2-way polls - why we even still have them is beyond me.) The daily Trump Steals Money From Salvation Army Bucket headlines are going to keep him running and hiding from the press and that'll just bring out more of them. And who knows how damaging the latest Playing Footsie With Russia is going to be. He had to dump Paulie The Weasel, but he's still kept his Russian connection hiding in the background.

More important is that Hillary's holding on and apparently stable in the swing states she needs, which already put her over 270, but she's also closing on his temporary lead in two biggies - OH and FL. And he's done as much as possible to shoot himself in the face (he ran out of feet long ago) in those states, particularly OH.
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Another drip drip story

http://mobile.nytimes.com/2016/10/0...taxes.html?smid=tw-nytimes&smtyp=cur&referer=

Trump's casino losses would have allowed him to write off $915M taxes over 15 years.
 
jimbob said:
Trump's casino losses would have allowed him to write off $915M taxes over 15 years.
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From those haters at the NY Times :

Tax experts hired by The Times to analyze Mr. Trump’s 1995 records said that tax rules especially advantageous to wealthy filers would have allowed Mr. Trump to use his $916 million loss to cancel out an equivalent amount of taxable income over an 18-year period.
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so he'd write off the tax on $915M, not $915M in total.

The irony is that had the casinos made a profit they'd almost certainly have avoided tax on it legally. Smart people do that.
 
CapelDodger said:
From those haters at the NY Times :


so he'd write off the tax on $915M, not $915M in total.

The irony is that had the casinos made a profit they'd almost certainly have avoided tax on it legally. Smart people do that.
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There's nothing wrong in it, on the contrary. Provided those casinos were kept under close scrutiny by the IRS and other incorruptible local authorities...
 
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ZiprHead said:
How Hostile Poll-Watchers Could Hand Pennsylvania to Trump
http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/09/2016-election-pennsylvania-polls-voters-trump-clinton-214297#ixzz4LyBtfPui

"canvassers sent by GOP operatives had gotten students to sign petitions supporting medical marijuana or lower car insurance rates, then used their information to submit bogus changes to their voter registrations."
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That quoted incident was from 2004.

I'm not saying it couldn't happen today, but to drop the date from the quote was misleading.
 
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Interesting...

Despite the "horror week" for Don, I see LA Times' poll shows an increase in those who would vote for him.

The juggernaut might be unstoppable.

Trump only being 2.5% behind right now should be a sobering thought for US voters.
 
The Atheist said:
Interesting...

Despite the "horror week" for Don, I see LA Times' poll shows an increase in those who would vote for him.

The juggernaut might be unstoppable.
Trump only being 2.5% behind right now should be a sobering thought for US voters.
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Feels like it to me :(

These scandals seem not to damage him. Indeed they seem to be actually benefiting him through better name recognition.
 
The Don said:
These scandals seem not to damage him. Indeed they seem to be actually benefiting him through better name recognition.
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That seems to be absolutely true. The things he's done should disqualify from being elected dog catcher, but the voters for POTUS seem to be lapping it up.

I guess it means contrarianism rules.
 
Chicken Littles whining because one poll from many, many other didn't show as big fall for Trump? Talk about cherry picking.
 
Mader Levap said:
Chicken Littles whining because one poll from many, many other didn't show as big fall for Trump? Talk about cherry picking.
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I have to agree;and the LA Times poll is not highly though of by pollsters.
And at least one of the Chcken Littles has along history of disliking Americans, so naturally he is pulling for Trump because it will justify his hatred.
As for the other, he seems to be a Brit who is still shell shocked by Britex,and is pretty much takes the most pessimistic view possible.
 
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