Trump could win presidency: Yes or No?

[aleCcowaN]

Just curious, but where are you getting polling info from?
I have no issue with them, just wonder.
Can you provide links for each, when you post them? If they are not always the same source.

Thanks in advance,
DT.

Mainly from the "new polls" section of Real Clear Politics and Huffington Post. The reason is not that I trust them above others, but they contain direct links to the questionnaires and briefs of the pollsters, so I can judge for myself, find patterns and biases and make correction to depict my mental image of the election.

I promise to add some links in future posts.

BattleGROUND states.

Thank you very much. I'm always willing to improve my English.

 

[Dog Town]

Mainly from the "new polls" section of Real Clear Politics and Huffington Post. The reason is not that I trust them above others, but they contain direct links to the questionnaires and briefs of the pollsters, so I can judge for myself, find patterns and biases and make correction to depict my mental image of the election.

I promise to add some links in future posts.

Thanks again.Your up to date info, is appreciated.

 

[aleCcowaN]

And what the changes are from the last time too, please...

Please +1

You're asking too much.

I'm not going to register a domain sixfortynine.com, and suckle from the tit of the central limit theorem and a Montecarlo made in Excel like certain prophets of numerology do.

Start browsing here. You can follow some polls in every state. Notice that the list of battleground states is not exactly the same I use, nor all the polls they have I'm posting them here, neither all the polls I'm posting here are there.

Also play with 2-way and 4-way presidential polls. You'll learn about how people who plays for Johnson and Stein are going to flip on November.

 

[Dog Town]

You're asking too much.

Fair enough. I can certainly figure out the changes myself.

 

[CapelDodger]

It's interesting that the Family Doctor doesn't mention that Trump's father died of Alzheimer's ...

Porphyria can manifest in a very similar manner.

 

[CapelDodger]

Mainly from the "new polls" section of Real Clear Politics and Huffington Post. The reason is not that I trust them above others, but they contain direct links to the questionnaires and briefs of the pollsters, so I can judge for myself, find patterns and biases and make correction to depict my mental image of the election.

I for one appreciate you sharing. I know you care about not being wrong and won't do a slapdash (or worse, motivated) job.

I'm not going to register a domain sixfortynine.com, and suckle from the tit of the central limit theorem and a Montecarlo made in Excel like certain prophets of numerology do.

Heaven forbid.

 

[aleCcowaN]

Wow! A new battleground state?

Poll from Emerson on Colorado: Trump 42%, Clinton 38%

But don't dismay because:

Emerson's polls are weighted on 2012 results so they may be biased towards Trump nationwide. And nationwide they got Trump 43%, Clinton 41% so they may be pointing to a momentary tie like other polls. Results that come from Clinton's 9/11, something that will bounce back soon and will be soothed like Trump's Khan.

In the case of Colorado, Johnson has 13%. Johnson is very strong in New Mexico, Utah and Colorado. Generally, when Johnson voters are pressured, they chose Clinton over Trump in a 4/3 ratio, but this is more like a 3/2 in the East Coast, for instance, Virginia, and like 1/1 in the West. They say it is because the religious base who supported Cruz can't stand Trump -but can't stand Clinton even less-.

I for one appreciate you sharing. I know you care about not being wrong and won't do a slapdash (or worse, motivated) job.

Thank you, I appreciate that.

 

[phiwum]

And me telling from before the end of the primaries until November 8th that Clinton is gonna win by 2 -maybe 3- points and between 60 and 100 electoral votes, what part plays in that impression? I want details.

No role.

 

[PartSkeptic]

Despite my workload, I need a little distraction, like reading the thread. To provide some stimulus, I will throw in some short posts. Sorry, but I won’t be defending them.

http://blog.dilbert.com/post/150449295541/when-reality-turned-inside-out

Our next president will either be an offensive, rich, divisive, bigot with a bad haircut or Donald Trump.

Of course, I predict that Trump WILL be the president, and after a couple of years you guys will be saying “Why did we think he was so terrible?” (Answer – the rich elite were controlling the media)

 

[acbytesla]

Despite my workload, I need a little distraction, like reading the thread. To provide some stimulus, I will throw in some short posts. Sorry, but I won’t be defending them.

Of course, I predict that Trump WILL be the president, and after a couple of years you guys will be saying “Why did we think he was so terrible?” (Answer – the rich elite were controlling the media)

No I wont. If we do elect that megalomaniac you'll be asking how the national could be so stupid. That last sentence of yours is a joke right? No candidate ever benefitted from the media the way Trump has.

I can't stand Trump not because he's a conservative or a Republican, but because hes an arrogant stupid man. I've never seen anyone in my life baffle so many people with bs. The man is corrupt, self centered and greedy.


Not exactly someone you see as President.

 

[Dog Town]

Not exactly someone you see as President.

Sadly, because of the Democats poor choice, we just might!
No one to blame but the Democrat party at this point! Idiots!

 

[The Great Zaganza]

IF Trump becomes President, it will be because of the media and in spite of the GOP.

No one ever abolished the system that brought them into power.

From what we know of Trump, the next 4 years will be White House Apprentice, with the cabinet being hired and fired routinely and publicly to distract from any actual crisis.

 

[Edward Charette]

Trump all the way up

 

[The Atheist]

IF Trump becomes President, it will be because of the media and in spite of the GOP.

Disagree entirely.

If Trump wins, it will be because a majority of voters are barking mad and unaware of the consequences.

Exactly like Brexit.

 

[Foolmewunz]

Disagree entirely.

If Trump wins, it will be because a majority of voters are barking mad and unaware of the consequences.

Exactly like Brexit.

Or it will mean that the pessimists and cynics are right and that the voter is not as stupid as we are all suspecting, but actually understands that things like jobs and the economy run in cycles and that the war/anti-war tendencies of both the major parties are the same,.....


.... AND....

That they vote with their emotions and race/xenophobia are ultimately far more important to them than any other topic. That was the everlasting truth to come out of the Southern Strategy. The candidate can be in favor of a four hundred per cent tax rate, want to legalize aardvark sex and thinks that you should wear sandals with socks..... As Long As He Hates The Same People You Hate.

 

[Craig B]

That was the everlasting truth to come out of the Southern Strategy. The candidate can be in favor of a four hundred per cent tax rate, want to legalize aardvark sex and thinks that you should wear sandals with socks..... As Long As He Hates The Same People You Hate.

Are aardvarks in zoos in Dixie required to be celibate?

 

[The Great Zaganza]

Are aardvarks in zoos in Dixie required to be celibate?

That'S Jill Stein's central policy issue.

 

[Foolmewunz]

Are aardvarks in zoos in Dixie required to be celibate?

Hoisted by my own editing petard. I originally had another word where "sex" resides, but it was specifically objected to by the Amazing Randi and I'm not sure if I'd have gotten past that slut, Automo D'Action (three shows nightly), who's still stalking me. (It's a term usually used with goat-*******.)

 

[Mader Levap]

Mainly from the "new polls" section of Real Clear Politics and Huffington Post. The reason is not that I trust them above others, but they contain direct links to the questionnaires and briefs of the pollsters, so I can judge for myself, find patterns and biases and make correction to depict my mental image of the election.

Did you just admitted to fake poll results to be more to your liking before you present them here?

 

[The Great Zaganza]

Bill Clinton said it rather well: Hillary's biggest supporters are those who have worked for her or have worked For/ with Trump.